I will add my little bit to this: As last season in Capra began I did a bit of looking back at previous teams. I didn’t look at all 46 of my seasons but 30 or 35 of them. I looked only at PC and cERA over those seasons, comparing my two most frequently used catchers. I have generally considered PC as an important attribute and have very rarely played a C with a PC below 60. I only considered seasons where there was at least a 10 pt difference in PC between my two C’s, figuring anything closer just generated noise. It worked out that in something like 50% of the seasons the higher PC catcher had the lower cERA; in 25% the difference was negligible, and in 25% the lower PC catcher performed better. On the whole, adding up all seasons, a difference of 10 pts worked out to something like .08 runs in cERA, which was close to Mike’s long term study. In any one season there was a 50% chance that there was no PC advantage, but over time the difference existed.
Flip a coin three times and you get little accurate data. Flip it 103 times and the data is relevant.
I had a 79 PC “main” C last season….but the study made me more comfort going with a guy with 67 as my vL platoon. He hit something like .339/.945 vL with a cERA of 3.60. My main guy had a 3.40 cERA.
it’s just one season, but in this case my vL guy hit way more well enough than to cover the .2 cERA difference.
I am a believer in catcher arm strength, btw.