pedrocerrano's two teams are facing last place teams, so his teams are definitely alive to go 2-0.
4/13/2022 8:28 AM
As predicted, pedrocerrano's two teams each won, and the two other 82-win teams (nocomm999, pmars2001) each lost game #161. Along with DarthDurron's 83-win team (which lost to glowguy and is 1 game behind the division lead), only two spots are available for five teams.
4/13/2022 2:07 PM
But the biggest drama is in League 2, where four divisions remain undecided and the NL East is sitting at this with a 3-way tie still possible:
1931 Brooklyn IndianCubs 86-75 0.534 - 1 6-4 W3 31-50 55-25 kstober
1928: When You're Smiling 85-76 0.528 1 - 2-8 L4 42-38 43-38 nocomm999
1927 Dandy Travis 85-76 0.528 1 - 7-3 W4 41-40 44-36 redcped
J4 L2 1926 DET/NYG/WSH 85-76 0.528 1 - 5-5 L3 41-39 44-37 Chisock
4/13/2022 2:35 PM
I should be thrilled to get 10 (maybe 11) teams into round 5. In the round 4 draft, I had 10 picks in the first half of the drafts (i.e., picks 1 thru 12) and 5 picks in the latter half (picks 13-24). I will have 8 of the 10 "top-half" teams advancing, failing with 1913 (bad pick at #7) and 1982 (pick #10, they have .557 Exp Win%, best of any non-advancing team). Of my bottom half picks, I will get 2 or 3 team in with 1963 (pick #22, barely), 1996 (pick #14) and maybe 2014 (pick #24, needs to win games #162 and #163). So, basically, in aggregate, I shot par.

That being said, I can't imagine a worse overall finish by my teams (that mattered). I mean, bad streaks happen, but for all these teams to tank at the same time is maddening. Let's recap...

1951: Was sitting at 80-58 with a healthy lead for the division. Currently on a 7-16 stretch including 4-4 vs two teams combining for 200+ losses. Going into final series, with a 2 game lead over 1950... Just need to got 1-3 to clinch a tie. Currently getting swept and one more loss = no playoffs.

1954: Was sitting at 75-58. Currently on a 12-16 stretch including 2 losses to a 69-92 team. Needed to go 2-2 vs division rival 1957 to clinch division. Lost 2 of first 3 games and another loss = no playoffs.

1963: Granted that this team had zero expectations. So just advancing to round 5 is a bonus. But was in the playoff race in a weak division. Currently on a 4-10 run and now one game back of the division lead with one game to play. We went 1-7 vs the two worst teams in the division.

1969: This team was the third overall pick in the round 4 draft and they did not disappoint. Was ranked in the top 2-3 overall records all season, until just recently. pedrocerrano's 20-game winning streak to pass me up isn't even the worst thing that happened.. We decided to go 5-8 down the stretch, including losing 2 of 3 (so far) to the 106-loss *worst* team in the league. Now this team is out of the top 4 for round 5 drafting purposes.

1976: This team is making the playoffs, but a 1-6 stretch to end the season flipped my team and 1973 from division leader to wildcard. Why does that matter? The wildcard gets to play a 93-win team. The division winner gets to play an 84-win team that's been outscored for the year. Oh, wait - maybe that's a good thing.

1996: Their latest 3-7 run within the division means this team is at risk of being eliminated from the playoffs. The standings right now are 88*, 87, 87 wins. We have 88. Yes, we went 1-3 vs the last place team. See a theme here?

2014: This team doesn't deserve to make the playoffs, but they are in a bad division and had a lead until they decided to go 3-8 down the stretch, including 2-6 vs the two 90+ loss teams in the division. Now, they are a game behind with one to play. Due to a below-.500 record, missing the playoffs here means missing round 5. Then again, missing round 5 with what would certainly be the last pick of the draft probably means not having to deal with a 90+ loss team.

Anyway, like I said at the start of this rant... I am very happy to get 10 (out of 15) teams advancing to round 5. But a 35-71 cumulative record "down the stretch" for teams that are cumulatively way over .500 has changed my playoff teams from a realistic shot at 11 to as few as 6. It wouldn't have hurt so much if we could simply beat the really crappy 100+ loss teams.

OK - done ranting. Time to prep for the round 5 draft.
4/13/2022 3:52 PM
The rant helped. Most of the teams that needed to win, did win their last game. At least we get a couple of game #163's now.
4/13/2022 6:47 PM
FINAL 162-GAME STANDINGS
(Per thejuice6's approval of course)
.
The top 46 plus two playoff teams below the line should advance to round 5. (The only question is me or ronthegenius in league 4)
.
Rank Team Name League Owner Wins ExpW% HmW% Playoff Pick#
-------- ------------------------------------------------ ----------- ----------------- ----------- -------- -------- -------- --------
1 1902 STL-CHI-CLE w/Siever 1 schwarze 105 0.656 0.630 1 2
2 1910: By the Light of the Silvery Moon 1 nocomm999 103 0.598 0.593 1 1
3 1971 CINC-HOU-NYY with Aaron 3 pedrocerrano 100 0.608 0.630 1 3
4 1944 Core of Reds / Cubs / Indians 2 ronthegenius 99 0.589 0.642 1 1
5 1969 BOS-CIN-HOU w/Messersmith 3 schwarze 97 0.621 0.617 1 1
6 1896 Colts, Giant, Phils And Cupid 1 joerat1 95 0.566 0.593 1 20
7 1901 BAL-BOS-PHI w/Burkett 1 schwarze 94 0.583 0.543 1 11
8 1983 Astros Padres Pirates 3 toysboys 93 0.548 0.605 1 23
9 2007 Peavy Does It 4 SteveIzzy 93 0.545 0.642 1 15
10 1993 LA-CHI-SEA w/Maddux 4 schwarze 92 0.530 0.519 1 9
11 Dazzy V and the Last California Grizzly 1 crazyamos 92 0.509 0.642 1 4
12 1920 Jackson Thrive 1 redcped 91 0.600 0.593 1 9
13 1946 Braves White Sox Cubs 2 toysboys 91 0.545 0.580 0.5 16
14 2006: Life is a Highway 4 nocomm999 91 0.503 0.556 1 11
15 1947 2 thejuice6 91 0.498 0.593 0.5 6
16 Indians with mismatched Sox 2 Jtpsops 90 0.556 0.642 1 19
17 1996 BOS-COL-CIN w/Maddux 4 schwarze 89 0.566 0.531 1 14
18 2011 CIN-SF-TOR w/Kershaw 4 schwarze 88 0.589 0.519 1 1
19 1954 BRK-STL-BOS w/Garcia 2 schwarze 88 0.570 0.543 1 4
20 1951 STL-PHI-PHI w/Williams 2 schwarze 88 0.555 0.543 0.5 10
21 1937 Bees/Red Sox/Indians 2 DarthDurron 88 0.534 0.519 1 9
22 1950 Jackie's Lackeys 2 redcped 88 0.502 0.531 0.5 13
23 1970 Cardinals, White Sox, Giants 3 mllama54 88 0.501 0.519 0 4
24 1976 CLE-BAL-MIN w/Morgan 3 schwarze 87 0.571 0.506 1 8
25 1911 Honus Bonus 1 redcped 87 0.570 0.506 0 3
26 1905 Cincinnati AmericanNaps 1 kstober 87 0.550 0.494 1 14
27 1999 Pirates Phillies Dodgers 4 toysboys 87 0.539 0.556 0.5 21
28 1957 Orioles/Reds/Tigers 2 DarthDurron 87 0.535 0.519 0 3
29 2001 White Sox/Marlins/Twins 4 DarthDurron 87 0.517 0.506 0.5 13
30 1973 Royals-Pirates-Astros 3 pmars2001 87 0.510 0.617 1 19
31 1919 BOS-BRKLN-PIT with Cobb 1 pedrocerrano 86 0.589 0.531 1 8
32 1928: When You're Smiling 2 nocomm999 86 0.549 0.531 0.333 7
33 1931 Brooklyn IndianCubs 2 kstober 86 0.545 0.383 0.333 20
34 1963 DET-CHI-BAL w/Mays 3 schwarze 86 0.525 0.556 0.5 22
35 1927 Dandy Travis 2 redcped 86 0.523 0.506 0.333 5
36 Teddy B and the Birth of the Hula Hoop 3 crazyamos 86 0.471 0.519 0.5 9
37 J4 L2 1926 DET/NYG/WSH 2 Chisock 85 0.533 0.506 0 22
38 1968 Cubs/ Yankees/Red Sox 3 glowguy 85 0.517 0.580 1 14
39 1904 Pirates, Cardinals, Athletics 1 mllama54 85 0.505 0.494 0 6
40 1906 Athletics/Phillies/Reds 1 glowguy 84 0.563 0.519 0 22
41 1914 Cardinals/Dodgers/Tigers 1 DarthDurron 84 0.541 0.519 0 10
42 Juice 1 - 1900 1 calhoop 84 0.541 0.506 0 16
43 Angelic Pirates Rock! 4 Jtpsops 84 0.507 0.543 1 7
44 1989 + Will the Thrill 3 markeking 84 0.490 0.531 1 13
45 1903: In the Good Old Summer Time 1 nocomm999 83 0.538 0.469 0 18
46 2005 CHC-FLA-TEX with Clemens 4 pedrocerrano 83 0.535 0.457 0 8
47 2002 Expos-Phillies-Blue Jays 4 pmars2001 83 0.506 0.543 0 3
48 1966 Tigers/Yankees/Cardinals 3 DarthDurron 83 0.504 0.494 0 6
-------- ------------------------------------------------ ----------- ----------------- ----------- -------- -------- -------- --------
49 1967: Magical Mystery Tour 3 nocomm999 82 0.545 0.531 0 17
50 1933 BOS-BRKLN-PHIL with Schumacher 2 pedrocerrano 82 0.539 0.469 0 2
51 Juice 4 - 2016 4 calhoop 81 0.511 0.457 0 6
52 1978 Caldwell Bankers 3 SteveIzzy 81 0.508 0.506 0 11
53 Juice 2 - 1955 2 calhoop 81 0.501 0.506 0 15
54 1898 Philadelphia GiantSpiders 1 kstober 81 0.494 0.444 0 23
55 1987 Athletic Sox 3 wallypipp 81 0.486 0.519 0 7
56 1982 NYY-SD-PHI w/Yount 3 schwarze 80 0.560 0.469 0 10
57 1 9 5 9 3 ybjsports 80 0.507 0.432 0 2
58 L4: 94 with a cone on top 4 3dayrotation 80 0.501 0.506 0 22
59 2004 Cleveland OrioleMarlins 4 kstober 79 0.526 0.494 0 20
60 2010 Men of Mets/ Tigers / Marlins 4 ronthegenius 79 0.500 0.531 0.5 17
61 1943 2 thejuice6 79 0.483 0.469 1 24
62 2008 Belting Beltrans 4 redcped 79 0.474 0.457 0 12
63 1917-Tris&Train 1 SteveIzzy 79 0.471 0.494 0 15
64 2014 CLE-NYM-MIL w/Cueto 4 schwarze 79 0.467 0.494 0.5 24
65 2021 A Bad Year 4 joerat1 78 0.513 0.481 0 16
66 2020 Giants/Astros/Reds 4 DarthDurron 78 0.498 0.556 0 4
67 2 0 0 9 4 ybjsports 77 0.473 0.519 0 5
68 1913 BOS-CHI-BRK w/Jackson 1 schwarze 77 0.453 0.481 0 7
69 Tucson Toros 3 parking31 77 0.444 0.457 0 5
70 1985 Philadelphia AstroExpos 3 kstober 76 0.467 0.420 0 12
71 1979 Cubs/Astros/Dodgers 3 DarthDurron 75 0.492 0.420 0 16
72 1939 Giants, Cubs, White Sox 2 mllama54 75 0.461 0.444 0 11
73 J4 L4 1998 ANH/LAD/SEA 4 Chisock 75 0.450 0.519 0 19
74 1991 + The Sultan of Shot 4 markeking 75 0.438 0.407 0 18
75 1945 CLE-NYG-BOS w/Potter 2 schwarze 74 0.458 0.420 0 21
76 1925 Cardinals Indians Giants 1 toysboys 74 0.455 0.432 0 13
77 1940 NYG-PIT-CHI w/Derringer 2 schwarze 73 0.439 0.432 0 14
78 1960 Mantle of Leadership 3 redcped 72 0.460 0.420 0 20
79 I've never Met such Giant Indians 3 Jtpsops 72 0.449 0.395 0 24
80 Twenty '13ers 4 urband 71 0.449 0.444 0 10
81 L2, 42: a pesky fellow 2 3dayrotation 71 0.409 0.420 0 12
82 2012 4 thejuice6 70 0.455 0.407 0 23
83 Los Angeles Angels 3 darny10 70 0.442 0.494 0 15
84 J4 L1 1908 BOS/PHI/STB 1 Chisock 70 0.442 0.370 0 12
85 1895 NYG PIT COLTS 1 firesalt 69 0.435 0.432 0 19
86 1956 Pirates/Red Sox/Cardinals 2 glowguy 69 0.433 0.457 0 17
87 1912 Naps, White Sox, Phillies 1 mllama54 67 0.434 0.370 0 21
88 1986 Mix of Cards / Reds / Indians 3 ronthegenius 66 0.420 0.333 0 18
89 2003 Dodgers, Angels, Expos 4 mllama54 66 0.397 0.370 0 2
90 1936 + The Mechanical Man 2 markeking 65 0.413 0.395 0 8
91 We Are Pretty Pretty Pretty Pretty Bad 2 joerat1 65 0.397 0.444 0 18
92 1899 1 thejuice6 65 0.338 0.395 0 5
93 1922 Robins- White Sox - Tigers 1 pmars2001 63 0.411 0.407 0 24
94 1953 Phillies, Giants, Red Sox 2 mllama54 57 0.427 0.358 0 23
95 1972 3 thejuice6 56 0.338 0.346 0 21
96 DA BUMS of 1894 1 razorclams 39 0.258 0.235 0 17
4/13/2022 6:49 PM
Tiebreaker games don't count in this, do they?
4/13/2022 7:03 PM
Correct. Never do.

(But obviously, in the instance of making or missing the playoffs, the tie-breaker matters - doesn't get included in win total though)
4/13/2022 7:28 PM
Well, we started with two teams in this league. And now five rounds in, still two teams. Onward.
4/13/2022 8:13 PM
FYI - I just noticed that in three of the four leagues, the #2 overall pick didn't advance to round 5. Meanwhile, in three of the four leagues, the 22nd selected team did advance to round.

That's got to be the fluke of all flukes.
4/13/2022 8:49 PM
SCHWARZE's list above is accurate for the 48 teams moving on to Round Five.

4/14/2022 2:04 AM
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