Free Throw Rating Topic

I have a RS junior who is rated as a "c" free throw shooter but is 17-33 this season for a tad under 52%. Is this normal? Does something else effect FT shooting?
12/28/2009 8:00 PM
It's not unusual to see such a variance. It is a small sample size too. It will likely come closer to the expected range as your season progresses. HCA in road games and fatige can have a dramatic impact also.
12/28/2009 8:17 PM
Me thinks his 68 stamina probably plays a role in it then.
12/28/2009 8:29 PM
weena makes good points, and you are right, the stamina probably does play a role.

however, with such a small sample size, you don't need any other factors to explain it. estimating your C free throw shooting at 70%, which is probably generous if incorrect, puts the odds at:
(33 choose 17) * (.7^17) * (.3^16) = 0.011684344
or 1.2%, which is quite likely when you are talking about the ft performance of a single player in a domain of something like a hundred thousand players.

edit: i copied the results out of google, that is why there are the useless decimal places. for those who don't know, google has a very useful built in calculator that is poorly documented, but it is quite powerful and convenient.
12/28/2009 8:37 PM
I'd be curious to know if a players position plays a role. Big guys are notoriously bad FT shooters.
12/29/2009 8:33 AM
I'm not sure how it woudl work statistically, but does the one and one make the split between high and low FT shooting even more? Because a good free throw shooter that makes the first as often as not will also have the same good chance to hit the second. . where the bad one that misses the first is stuck with the miss?
12/29/2009 8:40 AM
33 FT's seems like a small portion to be drawing a conclusion from..
12/29/2009 8:00 PM
Most foul shots tend to be during the last part of each half, whether it's getting that 7th team foul or being intentionally fouled.
12/30/2009 3:43 AM
From my D-3 team.

Bruno 100STA B(85) 75%(-10)
Dubose 96STA B-(82) 77%(-5)
Ammons 84STA C(75) 58%(-17)

In general it's about 8% from where your letter grade it for high stamina guys. 8% is also the difference from a freshman's high school stats and their free throw grade.
12/30/2009 3:56 AM
Quote: Originally posted by Trentonjoe on 12/28/2009I have a RS junior who is rated as a "c" free throw shooter but is 17-33 this season for a tad under 52%. Is this normal? Does something else effect FT shooting?

Story has a stamina rating of 69 which would probably explain it.
12/30/2009 3:58 AM
Free Throw Rating Topic

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