I just had a draft completed this morning and I was wondering about something after I signed my #1 pick. I have a 20 college scouting budget and a 14 advanced scouting budget so naturally one would conclude that the college scouting budget should be more accurate. After signing my guy some of his ratings actually dropped and his overall dropped by 2 points. Are these new projections more accurate despite the 14 budget or should I rely more on what I had him projected at pre-draft and expect him to come closer to those higher rankings instead?

Your college ratings were better.

To be completely accurate in answering the question, your college projections were MORE LIKELY more accurate than the advanced scouting projections you see now. But having 20 M scouting does not guarantee your projections are better for an individaul guy than having 14 M scouting. It just makes it more likely.

From a practical standpoint, and to answer your question, I'd trust your college projections more since they are likely to be more accurate.

Which specific ratings dropped?

I see the "overall" dropped by 2; putting aside the (almost) uselessness of overall ratings, if his pitching/hitting ratings dropped, it's very different than if his speed/temper/patience ratings dropped.

You might find something interesting by looking at his amateur scouting ratings and his professional scouting ratings and comparing the individual ratings that "dropped". Perhaps even add those observations to the notes on his player card so you can revisit it when he gets to pro season 2 and 3 and 4.

This is my 3rd year, and I have yet to see any player reach or exceed the projected ratings. If you were able to have 20 mil on all of your scouts, coaches and training... you could have exact ratings. And a 30 millon dollar payroll.

Maybe.



Or, just accept the fact that your player will end up within 4-5 pts of the projected.

I have seen many players exceed their original projections in individual categories. The reason it isn't noticed sometimes is because the projection is now raised to the new rating. Being identical, you might assume that he had just reached his max potential, but he actually exceeded it if you are paying close attention. I only have 2 teams and I tend to micromanage, so I do notice it when a guy exceeds his original projections.