I'd like to determine what constitutes doubtful and questionable among the amateur draft prospects. Is the term "Undecided." considered questionable or doubtful? And does "May Sign" always mean questionable?

Also, if a low end doubtful prospect is taken earlier in the draft than expected, are they still likely to turn down the initial offer?

I've always operated under the assumption that "May sign if the deal is right" and "Undecided" have questionable sign-ability concerns, and "probably won't sign" prospects are doubtful.

If you take a low end doubtful prospect in the first round because you are gambling on receiving the type D compensation pick in the event they reject, it might be worth a try. You run the risk with a doubtful prospect that their initial demands will be 7 million or so, and they either accept or reject the your offer, rather than simply turning you down and coming back with a higher one.

If you have a 1st rounder not sign, do you get to pick in the same spot with the type D pick?

Quote: Originally Posted By a_ersberg on 6/10/2010If you have a 1st rounder not sign, do you get to pick in the same spot with the type D pick

Yes, actually very slightly worse since the guy with the scheduled pick goes ahead of you. So if you fail to sign pick 15, you pick 16th (assuming no one ahead of you also fails to sign).

All this assumes you offer what the player wants and he rejects it.

Do you get compensation for a 2nd round pick? I believe so, but I picked a guy that was "not likely to sign" He just came back w/ a secondary offer of 7 mil, which I in no way want to sign unless I had 7 mil just sitting around at seasons end, but wouldn't mind the extra pick next season in round 2. I think you get compensation for unsigned picks (with offers made and declined) in rounds 1-3. Am I correct?

taz-- yes, you are correct.

Just for the sake of clarity, you can get Type D picks for "true" picks from rounds 1-3. So no supplemental rounds, no existing Type D picks, etc.