I am new to HBD and my initial thought is that the game should technically all be done on randoms however I am starting to wonder if there are streaks built in to the game. I am just getting started and only through about 10 games but no one seems to be performing at all near wear they should be. Obviously you expect some players to have a bad start to the season but what I have experienced so far is strange.

I have 10 players who have gotten regular playing time. So our strictly defensive guys with horrible hitting ratings. Some are have hitting ratings.

Below I am posting them all with their stats from last year, career, and this year.

Hitters
Average (Last Year/Career/This Year
245/258/161
281/324/194
296/289/214
244/290/250
308/288/417*
272/264/231

Purely Defensive Guys
276/250/250
My other two defensive guys are their first year in the majors and are hitting around .250 this year each.

So I am not here to complain that guys are getting off to a bad start. What I am here to find out is how the games engine works. If there is not any type of streaks I should ignore the bad starts and still bat everyone based on their ratings because if everything is just based on number then what happened the last 10 games makes no difference and my best chances to win are still with these guys.

But, if the game has some type of streak type thing worked in then I should move these guys down in the order and move up the guys who seem to be hitting. As of this point other than my guy who has had a great start batting .417 my three defensive guys have better averages than the rest of my team.

I started the season playing all three of the purely defensive guys but was losing some close games so I tried to give myself a bit of an offensive boost. Now I am scoring less runs and allowing more...

ADMIN has stated that there is no streak logic built into the engine.

Alright, well I will just hope the dice start rolling my way

No streaks are specifically built into the game, but any game based on statistical probabilities is going to have streaks due to natural peaks and valleys in the probabilities of player performance.

It's similar to many such streaks that happen in real life-- maybe Derek Jeter is in a 1-for-22 slump, and he's not letting it get into his head at all; that just happens to be the outcome of his at-bats. Maybe later in the season he goes on a 16-for-28 tear for no reason at all. It's the nature of the game.

The answer to your question is that you shouldn't be switching around your lineup based on slumps or hot streaks, unless you're superstitious. You MAY want to consider moving your lineup around if you get the sense that a player just isn't as good as you once considered him to be, and he consistently puts up weaker numbers than guys below him (or if a guy is better than you thought he'd be), but statistical streaks should have nothing to do with it.

Umm 10 games, sample size is your issue.

Quote: Originally posted by kneeneighbor on 6/09/2010...size is your issue.

That's what she said.

I know, they are always like there is no way that thing will fit in here.

Quote: Originally Posted By kneeneighbor on 6/09/2010Umm 10 games, sample size is your issue

That, but also compounded by a lack of experience.

Perhaps the game isn't programmed like you think.

When players continue not to perform as expected (over or under), adjust your expectations.

Probably regular statistical fluctuations, but do look at the stadium stats that you are comparing to. (i.e. you are playing in Iowa City, a primarily pitchers' park, and you may have had a stadium with better hitter effects). 10 games into a season accounts for a little more than one series at home and one away, so small sample size is more likely to be what you are seeing, but do keep ballpark effects in mind as you set your expectations

Quote: Originally posted by kneeneighbor on 6/09/2010I know, they are always like there is no way that thing will be felt in here.

FTFY

There has to be some type of streak. No one hits exactly the same on a linear basis all season long. I just obtained two guys in separate deals, both killed the ball for about 20 games. Now, one has tailed off significantly, the other is still hitting out of his league. Small sample size yes... but that is a pretty good example of a 'streak', isnt it?