
Meet Justin Dearmond. He's the best player in the state of Oklahoma.
Growing up in small-town Indiana, he spent his formative years watching Bob Knight... and he always dreamed he'd wear the cream and crimson someday. But when he was ten, his family moved to Cherokee, Oklahoma, a town of 1630 people with (get this) two black people. Total.
He hates Oklahoma - and racist remarks naturally follow, as he's the only black guy on the team and opposing fans are quick to seize the opportunity. He dreams of getting AWAY from Oklahoma and returning to the Midwest, especially if he can be a Hoosier.
Of course, being a black kid playing basketball with white kids never hurts, and when you're 6'6" and NBA-caliber talent, it's no surprise that you can put up 41.4 PPG in a senior year like Justin did. But there's no doubt in his mind: the moment he graduates, he's getting out of Oklahoma and talking to the coach at Indiana - after all, Indiana was one-and-done in the NCAAs last year, so he'd be able to step in and contribute right away.
So when it's almost time to ink a letter of commitment, Justin is considering...
...Oklahoma and Oklahoma State?
In the HD world, it's likely that the coach of Indiana never even found OUT that this player wanted to go to Indiana (unless he's scouting OK,) and even if he did, the recruiting battle was always going to be between Oklahoma, OK State, and maybe Kansas or Texas. Indiana was never, ever going to have a chance.
Conclusions:
1) You being the favorite school should be visible on all players, not just the one's you've scouted. If a player from Minneapolis is a lifelong Dookie, Coach K would know - and if he didn't, the player would call him.
2) Distance advantage should be somehow tied to recruiting prices or made stronger. I don't really see many 500+ -mile-away teams beating UCLA for a recruit from Compton, if UCLA really wants him.