Pitcher Evaluation Topic

I went back and did a search on low control pitchers succeeding in the ML, and it seems like its possible.  I would like some opinions on this player:

Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Garland Alston

His control is being projected at a 62.  I am operating with the assumption that he will make it to a minimum of 50 max of 60. 

I play in Detroit, and am a big believer in having a solid defensive team.  I am projecting him to be somewhere between my #1 and #3 starter in three years.  Career ERA under 4.00.  Does this seem feasible?

This comes up because a vet just suggested that Alston would be a AAA flameout or a #5 starter at best.  Considering he was trying to trade me for him it seems like he was just upset that I turned down the deal, but I am curious on peoples take on a player like this. 

Thanks in advance your observations.
1/21/2011 10:57 AM
you need to give us his other projections as well
1/21/2011 11:00 AM
well, judging by his initial ratings, I'm guessing he ends up something like this guy Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Kennie Millwood
1/21/2011 11:03 AM
If you already drafted him #3 overall, I think we know your position on him.

To answer your question more generally, I've had pitchers with control in the 40s be useful ML arms.  62 isn't all that bad.
1/21/2011 11:10 AM

His projections are as follows....Splits 80/89, Vel 90,  pitches 77, 65, 80, 88, 9 stamina, 92, ctrl 62.

Thanks for the info already.  I think Kennie Millwood will be a good comparison as long as Alston gets his control to the mid to upper 50's.

1/22/2011 6:25 PM
Those pitches are great. Assuming he comes a couple pts short at each rating, I'd say sub 4ERA for sure. Millwood is a good comparison. I don't know about a 3.4ERA but definitly 3-something.
1/22/2011 8:31 PM
Posted by boogerlips on 1/22/2011 8:31:00 PM (view original):
Those pitches are great. Assuming he comes a couple pts short at each rating, I'd say sub 4ERA for sure. Millwood is a good comparison. I don't know about a 3.4ERA but definitly 3-something.
I agree. His control won't hurt him THAT much, he's a solid pitcher. Whoever the 'vet' was that said that was just butthurt about the trade.
1/22/2011 11:31 PM

Only 140 BL innings but I've had similar success with similar pitchers.

Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Willie Gates

1/23/2011 7:45 AM
Pitching in Huntington.  Pretty good in a hitter's park with a good D.

Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Chico Marquez
1/23/2011 7:51 AM
One of my old players.  I was mocked for saying he'd be a solid BL SP.

Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Gary Phelps
1/23/2011 7:56 AM
Posted by MikeT23 on 1/23/2011 7:56:00 AM (view original):
One of my old players.  I was mocked for saying he'd be a solid BL SP.

Hardball Dynasty – Fantasy Baseball Sim Games - Player Profile: Gary Phelps
The guy who drafted him knew what he was doing.
1/23/2011 2:42 PM
Thanks guys.  Appreciate the feedback.  Some owners make such a habit of trade rape that when they get turned down their feelings get hurt.    
1/24/2011 4:34 PM
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