How do you think I'll have to finish up to get.... Topic

in to the tourny. Below is my entire schedule and how I've done up until this point. This is my first year coaching and the nonconference schedule I was stuck with was fairly weak and as you can tell I've lost to the two best teams I've faced. Currently my RPI is    and as of right now I only play three teams in my conference the rest of the way who have double digit RPI's. I'm wondering how well I'll probably have to end up doing to get into the tournament, and maybe a rough estimate of a seed since my RPI is probably not going to be very high, or my SOS for that matter.

04/14/11 am Virginia Wesleyan 7-7 196 185 Sim AI 3-0 -3 68-78 w
04/15/11 am at Baruch 6-7 81 40 gianrosa 1-3 +3 80-76 w
04/16/11 am at SUNY Geneseo 4-9 228 95 Sim AI 1-0 -12 84-73 w
04/17/11 am at Olivet 7-7 173 104 Sim AI 1-0 -22 72-54 w
04/18/11 am Luther 11-3 102 241 XJchessman 2-2 -3 93-83 l
04/19/11 am Randolph-Macon 8-6 193 269 Sim AI 1-1 -12 69-83 w
04/20/11 am U. of New England 5-9 246 148 Sim AI 1-2 -18 57-74 w
04/21/11 am at Eastern U. 4-10 256 172 Sim AI 1-2 -15 85-62 w
04/22/11 am at Marywood 5-8 270 260 da_penguin 1-1 -14 87-68 w
04/23/11 am Fairleigh Dickinson, Florham 10-4 28 35 paland 0-1 +1 83-74 l
04/24/11 am Off Day  

 
Conference
Date Opponent Record RPI SOS Coach Record Against Spread Result  
04/25/11 am at Benedictine 0-14 376 257 jihadjihad 24-23 -48 89-43 w
04/26/11 am MacMurray 1-13 327 153 hickman1b 43-38 -38 57-73 w
04/27/11 am Off Day  
04/28/11 am Principia 5-8 350 377 Sim AI 36-44 -22 54-74 w
04/29/11 am at Westminster (MO) 10-4 35 15 drethyljr 11-40 +1  
04/30/11 am Maryville, Saint Louis 8-5 159 231 atjscheider 42-39  
05/01/11 am Concordia (IL) 9-5 86 113 Sim AI 31-19  
05/02/11 am at Fontbonne 9-5 158 230 msuduo 49-33  
05/03/11 am at MacMurray 1-13 327 153 hickman1b 43-38  
05/04/11 am Blackburn 1-12 363 238 wildcat98 29-54  
05/05/11 am at Principia 5-8 350 377 Sim AI 36-44  
05/06/11 am at Webster 8-6 303 381 Sim AI 21-27  
05/07/11 am at Maryville, Saint Louis 8-5 159 231 atjscheider 42-39  
05/08/11 am Dominican 4-10 344 326 spinny6784 28-21  
05/09/11 am Off Day  
05/10/11 am Aurora 7-7 127 67 bookworm529 22-24  
05/11/11 am Fontbonne 9-5 158 230 msuduo 49-33  
05/12/11 am at Blackburn 1-12 363 238 wildcat98 29-54

Thanks for the input, its greatly appreciated.
4/28/2011 2:10 PM (edited)
Since I guess it looks like I forgot to put it up there..my RPI is currently 113 and my SOS is a measley 283. Also it looks like I currently only play two more teams with double digit RPI's currently. Anyways thanks for any input.
4/28/2011 2:08 PM
I highly doubt you can make the tournament without winning your conference tournament. 
4/28/2011 2:25 PM
you will not make the NT nor the PIT, unless you win the CT. 
4/28/2011 2:25 PM
Agree with the previous comments. You have no shot unless you win your conference tournament. Your RPI is already well outside of tourney range, and the remaining teams on your schedule have a composite losing record. There's just no way for you to make up enough ground.
4/28/2011 2:28 PM
Damn, thats what I was fearing. Guess thats what happens since this is my first year and this team already had a pretty dang bad nonconference schedule and a pretty weak conference as well. thanks
I'll just try to build for the coming years then.
4/28/2011 2:57 PM
How do you think I'll have to finish up to get.... Topic

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