The NBA in Allen Topic

jslotman
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Scheduling 10 sims on the road to increase wins is a pretty old high DI tactic. 
12/5/2011 3:54 PM
cheeznsweet
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Posted by dahsdebater on 12/5/2011 2:48:00 PM (view original):
You oversimplified cheez.  Team A is scheduling all 10 of it's sims on the road.

Yeah, I did forget that.  Thanks dahs.

Adding in the 1.4 wins per road win, if all of Team A's conference played all 10 ooc games on the road and went undefeated, the minimum RPI would be .6021 if all of the ooc teams went winless and played a schedule where their opponents went winless.  I know that's not possible - someboday has to win the games - but its close enough to make the point.

Oh, and that .6021 RPI would be like 40th-50th. 
 

12/5/2011 4:06 PM
reinsel
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And THAT is the problem with using RPI as the sole determination of NT-worthyness.  (Not that the ACC schools aren't all NT worthy, but you could find 10 0-26 teams that the Sun Belt could beat).
12/5/2011 5:09 PM
Rails
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Posted by cheeznsweet on 12/5/2011 4:06:00 PM (view original):
Posted by dahsdebater on 12/5/2011 2:48:00 PM (view original):
You oversimplified cheez.  Team A is scheduling all 10 of it's sims on the road.

Yeah, I did forget that.  Thanks dahs.

Adding in the 1.4 wins per road win, if all of Team A's conference played all 10 ooc games on the road and went undefeated, the minimum RPI would be .6021 if all of the ooc teams went winless and played a schedule where their opponents went winless.  I know that's not possible - someboday has to win the games - but its close enough to make the point.

Oh, and that .6021 RPI would be like 40th-50th. 
 

Also Cheeze, Teams will have an avg of 18 conf games, not 16 with the ct.  The issue I have with HCA is that in DIII winning at a d- sim is much easier than at Duke.  1.4 for a road win should be reduced at D3.  In fact does D3 even use RPI, I think it only uses regional ratings...
12/5/2011 5:35 PM
jslotman
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Through 108 games, the ACC in Allen has lost precisely once.  Granted that their scheduling is mostly road SIMs, but still an interesting statistic.       
12/7/2011 10:21 AM
jskenner
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Cheeze, I think your math is off. You're not adding in the 10/26 part of the Opp and Opp-Opp percentages. In your scenario, the conference RPI would be much higher, nearing .700

12/7/2011 10:36 AM
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