Is a half season a decent sample size? Topic

Here are some 1st half/2nd half stats from mlb98417, a 90M theme league with no WW, DH, AAA, and severe roster restrictions.  These are all full-time players. 

Note: 1st half stats are exact, 2nd half stats determined by splitting the difference between 1st half and overall stats. 

The Steady


1911 Ty Cobb
1st: .408/.465/.511
2nd: .408/.459/.637

1905 Cy Seymour
1st: .383/.405/.551
2nd: .381/.415/.535

Cobb's SLG shot way up, but other than that stable seasons for both players.

The Comeback Kids

1982 Al Oliver
1st: .281/.343/.396
2nd: .385/.419/.546

1897 Billy Hamilton
1st: .280/.381/.332
2nd: .330/.451/.416

Both players underperformed in the 1st half (especially Hamilton, who costs 7.8M).  Oliver rebounded to the point where he greatly overperformed in the 2nd half, whereas Hamilton at the very least came close to earning his salary.

The Disappearing Acts

1929 Babe Herman

1st: .382/.436/.570
2nd: .300/.348/.478

1994 Bret Boone
1st: .357/.402/.518
2nd: .309/.344/.402

Both overperformed 1st half, underperformed 2nd half.  I wouldn't say by a wide margin in any of the 4 half seasons, but when you compare them side-by-side it seems drastic enough.

I found plenty examples in this league of Steady, Comeback Kids and Disappearing Acts.  My unscientific conclusion is that half a season is not such a great sample size.

1/24/2012 2:35 AM (edited)
Clearly your HOFMC varied due to failures or successes in other leagues. And in your particular varience codices, your players' performaces fluctuated. The Cobb/Seymour lines are proof.
1/24/2012 9:37 AM
Here we go again with the HOFMC
1/24/2012 11:21 AM
I'm not taking the bait Crazy and am sitting this one out. lol
1/24/2012 4:20 PM
WAIVE THEM!!!!
1/24/2012 9:40 PM
Posted by chisox378 on 1/24/2012 11:21:00 AM (view original):
Here we go again with the HOFMC
The truth does not fear those that fear the truth.
1/24/2012 11:46 PM
Is a half season a decent sample size? Topic

Search Criteria

Terms of Use Customer Support Privacy Statement

© 1999-2025 WhatIfSports.com, Inc. All rights reserved. WhatIfSports is a trademark of WhatIfSports.com, Inc. SimLeague, SimMatchup and iSimNow are trademarks or registered trademarks of Electronic Arts, Inc. Used under license. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.