2012 - Doomsday Tournament: What's On Your Mind? Topic

I got 2 of 6, one of which is my first team ever to win a playoff series, my first ever TOC and possibly my first world series win.  This tournament has been very good to me.
12/25/2011 6:21 PM
I got 8 of 12 through to round #2 (5 of which advanced via playoffs), 2 reaching the WS.
12/25/2011 6:45 PM
9 of my 14 teams advanced, all via making the playoffs...
12/25/2011 7:52 PM
6 out of 10, 5 playoffs and one with 87 wins.
12/26/2011 8:56 AM
this draft is like pulling teeth...just check in like 3 times a day, people...
12/29/2011 12:44 AM
yeah!
12/30/2011 12:53 PM
I only had 2 teams, both the last one in the division to be picked. One of them advanced as a wildcard team, which made it to the WS but lost. That team actually won its first round of the TOC. Anyone else advance to the 2nd round of the TOC with your team?
12/30/2011 5:07 PM
Picking stadiums for round 2 was tough.  The strengths, and I use that term loosely with some of these teams, just didn't match up between the offense and the pitching staffs.  Should be interesting to see what worked and what didn't
1/3/2012 2:23 PM
I started round 1 with 10 teams and made round 2 with 7 of them.  I won 2 WS.  I wish I made predictions on round 1, but I'll do it with round 2.

Here are my predictions for my 2nd round teams:

AL 12/97 - Great pitching led by '97 Clemens and a surprisingly good 2nd pick with the 1912 hitters including Cobb and Speaker who are both $10M+ players.  However, defense is suspect like most deadball fielding teams.  Let's hope we get a lot of strikeouts.  My best team in the 2nd round.  Prediction:  90 wins.

AL 46/00 - Well I got Ted Williams and the rest of the lineup is above average.  I also have the best pitcher in the game in 2000 Pedro.  However, the rest of my starters are bad but I do have a decent bullpen.  I'll win every 5th day and coinflip the rest.  Prediction:  83 wins.

AL 57/31 - Mantle and Ted Williams are a monster combo and the rest of the lineup is good.  Pitching is top heavy with my top 3 starters and then garbage after that.  I have no bullpen.  I also have to hope my pitching normalizes well.  Prediction:  85 wins.

NL 02/44 - Barry Bonds leads this group and the rest of the lineup is pretty good.  Pitching is below average and I have no discernable ace.  Also, I don't have much of a bullpen.  Prediction:  81 wins.

NL 24/46 - I got Hornsby in his .424 BA season.  Unfortunately, my 2nd best player also plays 2B.  And the rest of the lineup is below average.  My pitching staff is forgettable, and there is no "wow factor" anywhere on that staff.  Easily my worst team in the 2nd round.  Prediction:  75 wins.

NL 47/01 - Hitting is well balanced, but overall pretty average for this league.  I got some high obp guys, so we'll see how that plays out.  Starting pitching is the strong point with all starters over 140 ERC+, and bullpen is average to good.  Prediction:  85 wins

NL 65/03 - Hitting is well balanced and was good value considering I chose them late in the 2nd round.  But overall, is probably league average.  Pitching staff is the best out of all of my teams.  My top 4 starters are all $30k+/IP.  My bullpen is led by '03 Gagne and is probably top 25% in the league.  Prediction:  88 wins.
1/4/2012 1:52 PM
I like the idea of making some predictions here, so I'll join in.  I started round 1 with 12 teams and advanced 7 to round 2

AL 1902 bats/1971 pitching - Deep pitching staff in a pitchers park.  Hopefully the offense can give me enough to win.  No real power, but some good OBP and AVG guys.  The pitching staff may get beat up on the road in hitters parks.  Average defensive team that is better than most defensively from that era.  Prediction: 87 wins

AL 1924 bats/1954 pitching - No power after the Babe, but a ton of OBP and some good slugging.  Good speed at the top and slightly above average defense.  Pretty good starting pitching, but not a very deep bullpen.  If the bullpen can hold up, they could be a contender.  Prediction: 88 wins

AL 1971 bats/1906 pitching - This team will go as far as the pitching and defense can take it.  They should keep me in most games, but the offense is underwhelming to say the least.  Only 1 guy hit over .300 and only 2 had OBP over .400.  Some decent power, but no speed.  Hoping to win a lot of 3-2 or 4-3 games.  Prediction: 84 wins

AL 1998 bats/1948 pitching:  A lot of power and some good averages on the offensive side.  Decent speed and some pretty good defense.  The starting pitching should keep me competitive, but again, the bullpen scares me.  I have a feeling I am going to be switching closers a lot.  Prediction: 79 wins

NL 1932 bats/1962 pitching: Very left-handed lineup, with some good power.  Pitching is suspect.  I don't like that my 3rd best pitcher only threw 184 innings.  I will either have to start him in the bullpen as the closer or really manage his innings.  Top 2 starters, Gibson and Drysdale, should be good on the days they pitch.  I don't think they can be very good, but can be competitive if they are in a weaker division.  Prediction: 84 wins

NL 1936 bats/1942 pitching - Probably my favorite team in this round (which also means they will probably be terrible).  Very good balance on offense.  Lot of OBP and average.  Good slugging.  Solid defense, but not spectacular.  The pitching is deep and has some quality arms that can win games even if the offense struggles.  Prediction: 90 wins

NL 1998 bats/1948 pitching - Odd that I have a 98/48 combo for the AL and NL.  This is probably my worst team.  I get Sosa in his 66 homerun season and a lot of power to go with him, but the bottom third of the order is way below average.  The pitching is top heavy, with 2 pretty good starters and not much else.  We may need to win some shootouts to have a chance.  Prediction: 73 wins
1/5/2012 10:11 AM
Been busy with work and all - I'll try to get all of the rosters from all eight leagues checked sometime before the weekend is over.
1/6/2012 2:25 AM

Here's how my projections worked out:

AL 02/97 - Projected wins 90, actual wins 92.  Played out pretty much how I thought.  I had to switch out shortstops in the middle of the year due to Donie Bush's .179 BA.  I didn't get 1st place as I was in a tough division, but I got the wildcard.

AL 46/00 - Projected wins 83, actual wins 93.  Whoa, that was a surprise.  Pedro dominated going 23-3, winning the Cy Young and played better than was expected of him, which is saying something because he's Pedro Martinez.  And the rest of the staff was pretty bad, as I thought they would be.  The real surprise was the offense, Ballgame and Cullenbine really shiined.  I won 1st place by 10 games.

AL 57/31 - Projected wins 85, actual wins 79.  It would have been worse if it wasn't for a 10 game winning streak near the end of the season.  Teddy Ballgame and the Mick played to expectations however hitters 5-9 underperformed.  Yogi Berra and his .643 ops was a dud.  Lefty Grove was excellent, Lefty Gomez was horrible.  Predictably, I had no bullpen and that cost me some games.

NL 02/44 - Projected wins 81, actual wins 72.  Oops.  Renteria should not have been my leadoff hitter, and Scott Rolen underperformed, but the rest of the lineup lived up to their expectations.  Pitching was all around below average, nobody was horrible, but nobody stepped up and overperformed either.  My bullpen was equally bad.

NL 24/46.  Projected wins 75, actual wins 80.  A nice surprise since I had really low expectations for this team.  Don't underestimate a 1924 Rogers Hornsby as he tore it up.  Lineup was solid 1-8.  Starters all had ERAs ranging from 4.53 to 5.00 which kept me in a lot of ballgames.  Unfortunately, my closers were horrible and I should have tinkered with my bullpen more.  I may have won me more games, but I wouldn't have made the playoffs anyways.

NL 47/01.  Projected wins 85, actual wins 82.  I was really disappointed with this team because I think they were better than this.  Hitting was solid all the way through, starting pitching was mostly in line as well.  The bullpen however was a mess.  BK Kim pitched like he did in the World Series and with the exception of Steve Karsay, the rest of them underperformed. 

NL 65/03.  Projected wins 88, actual wins 90.  They started out slow, but really came around in the second half.  Curt Flood and Gene Oliver played above expectations and the rest of the lineup did well.  Starting pitching was actually not as good as I thought especially Carlos Zambrano and Mark Prior and thier 6+ ERAs.  The real difference was the bullpen.  Gagne dominated and the rest of the bullpen was to expectations.

Projected total wins 587, actual total wins 588.  That's one more than I thought.  The one thing thing I noticed is that bullpens do make a significant difference.  My teams with modern bullpens averaged 89 wins.  Older teams averaged 77 wins.

3/12/2012 12:10 PM
I'll try and get the leagues set up and the numbers sent out within the next day or two.
3/22/2012 11:30 PM
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2012 - Doomsday Tournament: What's On Your Mind? Topic

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