Here are the Preseason Predictions for the MWC for Season 46 based on the sRPI. It looks like Utah, TSU, UNLV, and SDSU all have a good shot at playing in the NT. Air Force, N.Texas, and TCU looked headed to the PI. Of course recruiting hasn’t happened yet so a lot can change, especially for CSU who has a ton of openings. Good luck this year guys.

 

NT Guarantee sRPI=250

NT 80% shot sRPI=235

PI 80% shot sRPI=225

No Chance sRPI=215

 

PREDICTED STANDINGS

East

1.      Utah (263.46) (+10)

2.      Texas Southern (239.5) (+2)

3.      TCU (230.34) (+4)

4.      Denver (223.15) (+4)

5.      New Mexico (218.47) (+7)

6.      BYU (205.84) (+1)

West

1.      SDSU (241.64 (+5)

2.      UNLV (238.7) (+0.5)

3.      Air Force (233.81) (+3)

4.      N.Texas (227.01) (+2)

5.      CSU (221.71) (+4)

6.      Wyoming (215.47) (-1)

 

Top Player/Top Recruit

BYU- J.Paton (228.94)   /  R.Straker (211.33)

Denver-Brannigan (252.37)  /  M.McCurdy (225.41)

New Mexico-S.Nord (237.45)  /  T.Heckman (219.59) (Ineligble)

TCU-R.McCoy (265.73)  /   C.Stauffer (235.82)

TSU-J.Husman (274.75)  /   H. Zhu (215.19)

Utah-P.Draughn (294.93)  /   K. Wright (270.98)

Wyoming-A.Price (240.54)  /   C.Cavitt (199.21)

Air Force-J.Carter (266.06)  /   D.Brooks (231.78)

N.Texas-J.Carper (249.1)  /   J.Ziebol (225.11)

SDSU-Engelberg (266.96)   /   G.Sullivan (240.41) Jr. 

UNLV-J.Minich (275.81)  /   E. Freeberg (206.78)

CSU-Prusinski (255.41)  /   C.Zimmer (226.68)

how are those numbers calculated?

The top part telling you what your NT chances are, is based on past experience. The sRPI is a weighted value (increased importance for ath, def, etc.; eliminate any value for Dur) for your player's attributes. If you want a longer explanation you can look through the old forums on Phelan, when I did sRPI for the MWC and for Phelan as a whole.

Just an update to show how the sRPI did: The only teams out of order were N.Texas moved up 2 spots and UNLV moved down 2 spots. Utah, SDSU, and TSU all made the NT as predicted. UNLV did not. TCU and N.Texas made the PI as predicted. Air Force barely missed. 

FINAL STANDINGS

1. Utah RPI 20; 2nd Round
2. TSU RPI 43; Sweet 16
3. TCU RPI 62; PI 3rd Round
4. Denver RPI 172
5. New Mexico RPI 198
6. BYU RPI 240

WEST
1. SDSU RPI 60; 1st Round
2. N. Texas RPI 67; PI 1st Round
3. Air Force RPI 91
4. UNLV RPI 128
5. CSU RPI 222
6. Wyoming RPI 260