I don't know if anybody remembers this, but I've posted threads about Frank Trower twice already - one when I recruited him to ask what people thought he would do, and one in which I pondered cutting him but decided instead I wanted to see my experiment through.  Basically the question was, how much of perimeter shooting efficiency is determined by PER alone?  The answer now seems to be a lot.  Trower is a great test subject because he has crossed the "magical" 70 PER barrier where most guys allow people to shoot 3s at a decent clip, but he has poor speed and terrible BH compared to most players with 70+ PER.  So far this season against a decent SOS he's shooting well over 40% from 3-point land, and his PER certainly isn't elite.  Obviously the sample size is fairly small, but it's not tiny - 114 attempts.

114 three point attempts and 18 two point attempts?  Wow.  When you consider that those two pointers were probably jumpers inside the three point line anyway, it makes you wonder if the guy is allowed to dribble.

Pretty efficient scorer with 175 points on 132 attempts.  I would definitely take those numbers on my team.

I have been very pleasantly surprised.  My original guess going in was that he'd grow in to something like maybe a 35-38% 3 PT shooter with a lot of turnovers.  After he shot 35% last season I sort of increased my prediction to the 38-40% range, and it's possible he'd still regress to that over a bigger sample size, but I would guess that would be a significant outlier, most likely he is comfortably better than a 40% shooter against the opposition he's faced so far.

He is turning the ball over a lot for a guy with his shot volume.  175 points on 165 possessions is still reasonably efficient, but more in line with what you might expect from a traditional perimeter guard shooting about 39-40%.

And then when you factor in .4*17 ~ 7 possessions worth of FTs, he's barely over the point-per-possession border which generally defines a reasonably efficient scorer.  But it's certainly not horrible.

I've had a couple of similar type guys at D1, if you extrapolate out to higher ratings (70ATH/60SPD/60BH/85-90PER) that are among the best 3pt shooters in school history.  I think PER is a lot more important than a few people seem to think.

Good news for Thomas McClouth coming down the stretch of his Sr season, and hopefully NT...

Dahs, do you have him at +1 or +2?

+1, he was at 0 last year; I'm surprised with his LP that he takes as many 3s as he does, but I'm not complaining - his efficiency is higher on 3s and I still don't take as many shots from outside as I would prefer as a team.

Delvecchio looks incredible but doesn't shoot incredibly or anything...have you considered shifting some of his distribution to Trower?