Where the projection report slips Topic

In Allen, we've got something interesting shaping up because of the degree of dominance that the ACC  - and this year, the Big 12 - have been displaying:

RPI:

1. N. Carolina St. A+ fmschwab ACC 18-2 .6344 8 .7118
2. Texas A jslotman Big 12 20-1 .6228 14 .7099
3. Oklahoma St. A- cornfused Big 12 18-3 .6514 3 .7079
4. Maryland A+ viperhoops ACC 16-5 .6689 1 .7071
5. UNC A+ girt25 ACC 16-4 .6588 2 .7054
6. Virginia A+ wang35 ACC 18-3 .6231 13 .6907
7. Kansas A+ jamespastine Big 12 15-5 .6369 7 .6868
8. Duke A+ acn24 ACC 16-4 .6215 15 .6819
9. Colorado A reinsel Big 12 15-5 .6480 4 .6783
10. Temple B+ cimmy426 A10 19-1 .5734 42 .6730
11. Boston College A+ brikeisco ACC 16-5 .6261 11 .6727
12. Michigan St. A+ Iguana1 Big 10 17-3 .5841 36 .6590
13. Syracuse A+ steginman Big East 18-2 .5785 41 .6578
14. Wisconsin A rogers Big 10 18-2 .5698 46 .6565

Rankings:

1. N. Carolina St. 18-2 1137 2
  Last Game: W 49-73 v. Virginia Tech (2/8)
2. Texas 20-1 1118 3
  Last Game: W 67-74 v. #1 Oklahoma St. (2/8)
3. Oklahoma St. 18-3 1117 1
  Last Game: L 67-74 at #3 Texas (2/8)
4. Maryland 16-5 1111 5
  Last Game: W 57-42 at Florida St. (2/8)
5. Syracuse 18-2 1105 4
  Last Game: W 53-91 v. Georgetown (2/8)
6. Temple 19-1 1096 7
  Last Game: W 50-60 v. George Washington (2/7)
7. Virginia 18-3 1090 6
  Last Game: L 63-76 at #12 Boston College (2/8)
8. Wisconsin 18-2 1087 8
  Last Game: W 71-58 at Purdue (2/8)
9. Michigan St. 17-3 1079 9
  Last Game: W 63-62 at Minnesota (2/8)

Projection report:

1. N. Carolina St. ACC fmschwab 1 1 8 18-2 6-0 12-2 0-0 8-2 Lock
2. Texas Big 12 jslotman 2 2 14 20-1 9-0 11-1 0-0 9-1 Lock
3. Maryland ACC viperhoops 4 4 1 16-5 6-1 10-4 0-0 5-5 Lock
4. Oklahoma St. Big 12 cornfused 3 3 3 18-3 8-1 10-2 0-0 8-2 Lock
5. Colorado Big 12 reinsel 10 9 4 15-5 7-2 8-3 0-0 6-4 Lock
6. UNC ACC girt25 12 5 2 16-4 6-1 10-3 0-0 7-3 Lock
7. Virginia ACC wang35 7 6 13 18-3 4-1 14-2 0-0 7-3 Lock
8. Syracuse Big East steginman 5 13 41 18-2 10-1 8-1 0-0 10-0 Lock
9. Wisconsin Big 10 rogers 8 14 46 18-2 4-1 14-1 0-0 8-2 Lock
10. Michigan St. Big 10 Iguana1 9 12 36 17-3 5-1 12-2 0-0 8-2 Lock
11. Kansas Big 12 jamespastine 14 7 7 15-5 7-0 8-5 0-0 7-3 Lock
12. Duke ACC acn24 15 8 15 16-4 9-0 7-4 0-0 7-3 Lock
13. Boston College ACC brikeisco 11 11 11 16-5 3-2 13-3 0-0 5-5 Lock
14. Temple A10 cimmy426 6 10 42 19-1 7-0 12-1 0-0 10-0 Lock


2/8/2012 10:44 AM (edited)
So you'll notice that the top four teams - NC State, Texas, OK State, and Maryland - are the same in all three rankings, even if the order changes slightly.  The problem, though, is that they're in each other's conferences.

While the consensus is clearly that those teams should be the one seeds, that can't possibly be the case, can it?  Say chalk holds - Syracuse and Temple win their CTs; MSU def Wisconsin in the CT final; NC State def Maryland in the CT final with UNC and Virginia as semifinalists and Duke and BC only in the quarterfinal; Texas def OK State in the CT final with Kansas and Colorado as semifinalists.

Who are the 1 seeds? 

2/8/2012 10:42 AM

Is this Craig Thompson posting? 

2/8/2012 10:44 AM
P.S. - in the real world, there are two #1 seeds from the same conference all of the time.  Given the consolidation of power in Allen to basically two conferences (plus four or five other teams) now, I can see the four #1's coming from two conferences. 
2/8/2012 10:46 AM
I'm saying, though, will it?  The WCAA selection committee has typically been more influenced by the CT than has the NCAA committee.
2/8/2012 10:48 AM
Can I drop down to a three seed?  That should minimize my chances of a second round ACC loss. 
2/8/2012 10:50 AM
IIRC, the ACC in Phelan had all 4 No.1 seeds two or three seasons ago, so it can happen.
2/8/2012 7:10 PM
ACC now have three of four in the projection report (though I honestly don't think UNC would be on the top line if this were the real NCAA Selection Committee). 
2/9/2012 10:43 AM
Where the projection report slips Topic

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