How do plus HRs work? Topic

mamxet
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wondering how to think about this with pitchers.

If I have two pitchers who are about equal in overall quality, but one gives up (normalized) more HRs does that mean that I should try to spot him in low HR parks?  will that turn some of his HRs into outs or doubles/singles?

Or, should I be looking at rates of non-HR hits and worrying about whether doubles become HRs?

or am I overthinking this???

3/27/2012 11:35 AM
zubinsum
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Yes you are overthinking this. Use the pitcher with a higher HR/9# in low HR parks like the Astrodome. Also, besides HR pitchers don't have much control over hit type.
3/27/2012 11:57 AM
Trentonjoe
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I think lost HR's turn into doubles in - HR parks.
3/27/2012 1:45 PM
Trentonjoe
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Hit's turn into HR's in + Parks.   

The event tree looks(something) like this:

In play?
Out?
HR?
triple?
double?

3/27/2012 1:46 PM
zubinsum
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Posted by Trentonjoe on 3/27/2012 1:45:00 PM (view original):
I think lost HR's turn into doubles in - HR parks.
Doubles or triples, depending primarily on the ratio of doubles to triples of the hitter.
3/28/2012 2:32 AM
redwingscup
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you need to look at the HR/9# vs the HR/9 RL number.  The + number gives you an idea as to how the pitcher did against the league that given season.    think about normalization.  Zub's comments are correct. 
3/28/2012 9:43 PM
How do plus HRs work? Topic
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