Posted by jdno2 on 3/20/2015 3:57:00 PM (view original):
1. Why would you play -5 vs. LaVerne? They don't shoot them well normally, but -5 seems quite extreme. So then they go out and have their best perimeter performance of the year and hit 8/18 on 3's vs. your -5. I've observed playing -5 leads to anomalous results, both good and bad. Guess you got burned this time.
2. I think you're overthinking the rebounding disadvantage. Against a tough SOS you're only getting outboarded by 2 per game. That's not too bad, and really an overall 37 REB rating isn't that terrible. I've had some D3 teams play with 28/29 team REB ratings...now that's something to be concerned about. Not 37. IMHO.
Also, I think you're overthinking the Triangle vs. Motion difference and don't think this is the root of your problems.
3. Generally speaking, I think your offense isn't that efficient, but it's not obvious to me why that is looking at your ratings. And it looks like you have Fernberg as the focal point of your offense, but he's one of the least efficient guys when factoring in FT%. So I think part of the issue is your distribution and I do agree with the poster who said you were shooting too few 3's. I'm not saying to start jacking them up but I think you made the right adjustment given your team's PE and FT ratings.
4. I think your FT% isn't that great, especially given you're shooting more of them with your conservative perimeter game. So this is hurting your team's offensive efficiency as well.
5. So what I'd do, and I know this gets poo poo'd on the board by everyone, but experiment a few games going with all 0's on the distribution. I'd have Campbell and Kelling at either 0 or -1 on 3's, and Henley, Smith, and Surrett at -1. Everyone else at -2. I may be a bit conservative on my 3's, but this is what I'd do for a few games. Hopefully what you'd see is a bit better offensive efficiency, better scoring balance, and maybe you'll start winning some of these close games you've been losing (lot of single digit losses this season vs. a tough schedule).
And fwiw, I've had good success running all 0's on offense (even won a few titles running it) and still use it on some of my current teams, though I will say it depends on the team composition and sets you run. I think in general it works pretty well when you seemingly have good scoring balance on your team. That is, when you lack a true workhorse 99 PE kind of guy or 99 LP with 80 ATH or something like that. You don't have either of these, so at this point, what do you have to lose really? I understand the reasons why going all 0's just doesn't seem optimal, and I don't disagree with them, I'll just say that I've been pleasantly surprised probably over 80% of the time I decide to use it (after switching from setting away from setting the distro myself) and feel it gives me better offensive efficiency than if I hadn't used it. YMMV of course.
i generally run -5 against teams that have noone over 60 this just happened to be the first time it hurt me last time I played La Verne I ran -4
I guess Fernburg as the focal point wasn't the best idea, I just don't have Kelling/Cambell maxed out PER ratins yet as Kelling should end up low 90's and Cambell close to max per. I don't know but Henely could be a good scorer, I just don't like focusing my distro on a PG unless he has a 90+ per as mine always end up turning the ball over too much.
The only player I have really shooting extremely well is Sharpe at 52%
I did p my 3's and I will continue to up as Cambell/Kelling go up as I have them both at 0 and Henely and Smith at -1 I will put Surrett up to -1 for the next few games and see how it works
I will also switch to 0 for distro at the beginning of the season I was running around 15 for Fernburg, 10 for Smith then I switched to a 6,5,4,3,2, and then 1's for everyone else.
I noticed FT% has really killed me especially in those close games I always seem to be shooting under 70%
Would you even think running Kelling/Campbell at +1 or is that to early I usually wait until they hit 70 spd 80 per but if what I'm at isn't enough I could maybe up to +1 and see how it goes.
Do you have any ideas for tempo, I generally stick to normal, and move to uptempo when facing bad teams or lack of depth, and slowdown for any uptempo press teams or fb/fcp unless I think I have a ath/spd advantage where I could get them in foul trouble and run a normal or uptempo.