I don't think you get considering credit until you are considered. I am not 100% sure on this though. It shouldn't really matter though, if you are that far behind you won't be catching up.
You can estimate the effort the sim put in based on the status of it's other recruits and the amount of open scholarships. I used to be have more accurate #'s but it was to hard to keep track of my I estimate that the sims #1 choice gets 30-40% of it's budget, the #2 choice gets 20-30% of it's budget and the #3 choice gets roughly 10%.
I hope that helps.