If you are D2 recruiting D2 ineligible, he will rarely go JUCO. If you are recruiting a D1 and fail to wow him with AP points, he will go JUCO. You need to show your love. Also remember, if he is given promises and he is still ineligible and shows up, the promise will not stick for that first year. But if he becomes eligible after you sign him, you may be stuck with promises you never intended to follow through on. Just watch out.