Projection Report Case Study Topic

Hi All, I have observed an interesting dynamic in the projection report over the last few days and I thought others might be interested in the findings -- I believe playing (and winning) against 150+ RPI teams may hurt you in the projection report far more than I had anticipated. Perhaps the answer is games against RPI 51-100 matters more than I anticipated? Open to suggestions here, but this didn't fit my priors for which team would be ahead on the proj report.

Below is the case study of two teams as currently stands in Tark -- Team 1 is 25-0 and Team 2 is 23-2, which makes comparing a bit easier.

Team 1 is the #2 on the proj repot and Team 2 is #1 on the proj report.
Record vs Team 1 (#2 on proj report) Team 2 (#1 on proj report)
RPI top 50 11-0 10-1
RPI 51-100 5-0 8-1
RPI 100-150 1-0 3-0
RPI 150+ 8-0 2-0
Team 1, 25-0 (RPI of 2) Team 2, 23-2 (RPI of 1)
Wins (# denotes RPI) Wins (# denotes RPI) Losses (# denotes RPI)
3 13 34
8 13 87
8 21
10 21
10 23
14 26
18 35
20 42
30 46
31 48
33 52
61 52
77 59
84 70
91 81
97 93
126 93
151 100
151 117
198 121
241 138
262 197
267 208
267
283

Note: Bold denotes road game.
4/14/2021 1:42 PM (edited)
Projection Report Case Study Topic

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