I didn't have time to write up my Round 3 drafts, so I'll try to remember why I did stuff at the draft plus do a bit of a post-mortem now that the season is over.
1894 Phillies + friends
1.02 1894 Phillies
2.23 1892 Giants
3.02 1892 Colts
4.23 1893 Colts
5.02 1897 Ted Breitenstein
Silver King of course went with the 1st overall pick. The 1885 Giants with Mickey Welch and Tim Keefe plus a stud Roger Connor went 3rd overall. pedro opted for Claude Hendrix with the 2nd pick. I, of course, just went for the offense. The 1894 Phillies have 4 studs--Billy Hamilton, Sam Thompson, Ed Delahanty, and Lave Cross. The first 3 are top 12 players in Lg2 while Cross comes in as the 4th-best 3B. Pitching? No there is none of that. Jack Taylor was considered but didn't make the cut. Tuck Turner (all bat, no glove) and Jack Clements (all bat, no arm) were the final two spots forming part of a platoon at their respective positions.
After a long wait, I needed some pitching. Amos Rusie of the 1892 Giants was the best available (at least, I'm presuming that). He checks in as the 4th-best pitcher in Lg2 with volume considered (571 innings) though just 26th in ERC among SP. I also got the larger half of my catching platoon with Buck Ewing. The last 4 spots got me nothing of note.
Just having to wait out pedro on the turn, luckily I'm right back up. Still needing almost 1000 innings, I went with the 1892 Colts, which brought Bill Hutchison. Like Rusie, more volume than anything, his 2.91 ERC is solid but more importantly he comes with 747 innings if I could use them all. (Note: I got 565 innings out of Hutchison, plus 578 from Rusie, for 1143 total.) Offensively, I need SS, 2B, and half of an OF. This gets me two of those 3. This version of Bill Dahlen (foreshadowing) ended up at SS for me (he has better fielding ratings at 3B B+/A+, but Cross is already there so his C-/B at SS is what I get). Jimmy Ryan isn't exciting but he platooned with Tuck Turner in RF.
Another long wait, though luckily I don't need much. Depending on how many innings I could get out of Rusie and Hutchison, I need a few more there. Plus I need a 2B (or SS). And I have my final team pick then a quick turnaround to the free agent. Interestingly, it's Bill Dahlen's clone that's the best option there so I go with the 1893 Colts. This Dahlen will play 2B. The only other semi-useful player I got here was Fritz Clausen to pitch out of the pen, though he's not great.
There wasn't much on the free agent market so I just went with the best pitcher. Ted Breitenstein is worse than Rusie and Hutchison but he's better than Jack Taylor, who was the next pitcher in line from my drafted teams, and allowed me to grab both Turner and Clements from the Phillies.
Outlook: I had high hopes for this team and expected them to lead the league in scoring with good enough run prevention. I guess that's kind of what happened--we won the division and advanced to the next round--but the offense was underwhelming, just 9th in the league. The pitching wasn't great but wasn't terrible and that was good enough. Defensively, we were near the bottom in Errors but 4th in + plays and just 18 (-) plays. Early on the win% and Exp% were hovering around .600 and in a relatively-weak division we built up enough of a lead that the decline over the course of the season wasn't felt as much, but the W% consistently trickled down ending below .550 and the run differential actually went negative at one point before rebounding in the last part of the season.
Thompson, Hamilton, and Delahanty were good individually (though Delahanty disappointed relative to expectations), but the rest of the lineup was pretty mediocre outside of Buck Ewing, who was the 2nd-best hitting catcher. Cross and the two Dahlens were just okay and the Turner/Ryan platoon in RF was not great.
The pitching was not expected to be great but Rusie was more than good enough, ranking 11th in ERA among qualified starters while leading the league in innings. Hutchison was 2nd in innings, though his 5.16 ERA was below league-average. I neededa bout 300 innings from the bullpen--Breitenstein threw 209 innings in long relief with a 5.94 ERA while Fritz Clausen was really bad (8.10 ERA).
1886 Wolverines + friends
1.05 1886 Wolverines
2.20 1890 Browns
3.05 1890 Stars
4.20 1890 Athletics (PL)
5.05 1890 Deacon McGuire
In what ended up being my ONLY 1st Round pick that got me a good pitcher, it was also my best team. The 1886 Wolverines lasted to the 5th pick of Lg1 and I was fortunate to get Lady Baldwin as a 642-inning ace with 1.91 ERC (4th-best of any Lg1 starter). As a bonus, Phenomenal Smith is one of the best relievers with 1.67 ERC, though just 33 innings. And on offense, the Wolverines have the #1 1B and #4 overall player in Lg1, Dan Brouthers. Hardy Richardson is another no-doubt starter in the OF. And I ended up using Charlie Bennett as my backup catcher, so got 5 useful players from this pick. Sam Thompson was the 6th spot and while he's solid, I ended up not needing his at-bats in the OF.
I think I mostly chose the 1890 Browns for the pitching combination of Elton Chamberlain and Toad Ramsey, though it was a solid depth pick with 6 usable pieces. They combine for over 650 innings so get me most of the way to what I need. Joe Neale is no Phenomenal Smith but his 83 innings and 2.23 ERC were a nice fit in the bullpen. The prize on the offensive side was 3B Tommy McCarthy, who I had rated as the #1 3B in Lg1. However, I also got what ended up being a platoon between Count Campau and Chief Roseman (Roseman is D-/D- in the OF but D/C+ at 1B so I actually shifted Brouthers to RF against lefties).
At this point, I'm mostly set on innings but need catcher, SS, 2B, and maybe an OF upgrade (Sam Thompson was my current 3rd OF). With the 3rd pick, I made what was mostly a one-player pick. The 1890 Syracuse Stars brought the #1 2B in Cupid Childs, giving me the #1 player at 1B, 2B, and 3B. At the time, both OF Rasty Wright and SS Bones Ely looked like they might figure into the equation, though neither really did. This was all about Cupid.
After the long wait, I remember zeroing in on the 1890 Athletics (PL version) who provided exactly what I needed but having to sweat out the selection. Luckily, they made it to me. Billy Shindle can't field but he has good range and can really hit (he ended up "leading" Lg1 with 166 errors but had 18 plus plays and was 4th among SS in OPS). His teammate Mike Griffin isn't a great hitter but can really play defense and he and his A+ range manned CF for me. I still need a catcher, but these two guys filled much needed spots for me with one of the last picks of the draft, so I felt fortunate.
With the free agent pick, Deacon McGuire was about all I could ask for. He hit 8th but is a serviceable catcher with a B arm. Sign me up.
Outlook: I felt pretty good about this team once it got pulled together. They started off slow and had a negative run differential 1/3 of the way through the season, though the W-L record was holding higher. A 10-game winning streak bumped the W% up to around .600 where it stayed for the middle part of the season. Starting with game 123, we lost 10 of 11, but at that point had a huge cushion in the division. We righted the ship and ended up with 92 wins and the 8th pick in the Round 4 draft, though for a while, we were in the mix for the top couple picks.
Baldwin was fantastic, winning 46 games with a 3.63 ERA. We were only about .500 in the half of games he didn't start, which began with Ramsey starting but I swapped to Chamberlain part-way through. Both ended up with identical 4.78 ERA. Neale and especially Phenomenal Smith (2.53 ERA) were really good out of the bullpen. Offensively, the three #1 position guys held their end of the bargain with Brouthers, Childs, and McCarthy as my 3 best full-time hitters. In a part-time role, Chief Roseman mashed and actually led the team in OPS, slashing .389/.487/.494 in 312 PA. Campau was solid as the other half of that platoon and both Shindle and Richardson were good as well. The weak spots in the order were Mike Griffin in CF and at catcher, though the catching tandem more than held their own with the other catchers. Overall, a very solid performance from this team.
1895 Phillies + friends
1.07 1895 Phillies
2.18 1895 Pirates
3.07 1893 Browns
4.18 1895 Giants
5.07 1895 Bid McPhee
I can't resist a good offense but I should've this time. I don't feel as comfortable with the older eras and I shouldn't have put so many eggs into the mid-1890s Phillies offense. Like the 94 version, the 1895 Phillies are all offense. I did end up rostering pitcher Al Orth but he was only a mopup. This was, of course, all about the offense. The lead trio was the same as 1894 with Delahanty, Hamilton, and Thompson. The biggest difference was that Lave Cross was not good in 1895 but Jack Clements was better and with double the at-bats. I did also roster Tuck Turner again but he ended up being a non-factor.
Scrambling for an entire pitching staff starting in the back-half of the 2nd-round after 40+ picks have been made is not advisable, yet I did it 3 times in this draft. For this team, it was the 1895 Pirates led by Pink Hawley. His ERC of 2.74 was decent (46th in Lg2 among SP) but his volume was elite and those 546 innings actually put him as the #1 overall pitcher in Lg2. Teammate Brownie Foreman was a solid bullpen add. Jake Stenzel was the best hitter here and a top 25 OF but unfortunately the 95 Delahanty did not play 1B so I had to pick one of the 4 OF to move to 1B, which ended up being Stenzel. His teammate Jake Beckley had A+ range at 1B but a much worse bat so he was simply a defensive replacement.
My third pick, the 1893 Browns, brought two key pieces. Ted Breitenstein was my #2 starter with 2.91 ERC and 470 innings. Not great for this league, but what do you expect trying to fill half your innings in the 3rd Round. Jack Glasscock is fine at SS wtih C/B- defense and a .370 OBP. Steve Brodie is a nice outfielder but at this point, I'm already overloaded there.
Still need 2B, 3B, a backup catcher, and some innings. Only one team and a FA left to go. The 1895 Giants bring George Davis to play 3B and I also used Duke Farrell as my backup catcher. Amos Rusie joins the staff with similar numbers to Breitenstein, though I used Rusie out of the pen.
Finally, I need a 2B. Bid McPhee isn't that great, but like Glasscock he brings decent fielding (C/B-) and a solid OBP (.392).
Outlook: I wasn't as sure what to make of this team. The infield wasn't as solid as the 1894 version, with an OF playing out of position, low-offense/avg-defense guys up the middle, and a worse 3B than Lave Cross. The OF was awesome and the catching spot should be better. The pitching was similarly patched together later in the draft, though Pink Hawley graded out similarly to Rusie.
As for how it played out, well...it was interesting. Things started out quite poorly, culminating with a 9-game losing streak to put us at 5-15. We immediately corrected course going 12-3 over the next 15, getting within 1-game of .500 and with a positive run differential. However, the rest of the first half of the season hovered just below .500. We entered the ASB at 39-42 but immediately went on a 9-game winning streak, finally breaking the .500 barrier. At game 104, we reached a high point with a 56-48 record and had gotten into position to advance. From that point on, however, it got ugly. We lost 6 in a row and 15 out of 17. Overall, we went 19-39 down the stretch to fall well out of playoff and advancement contention.
The offense was pretty good, though not top 5 as I had hoped. Hamilton and Stenzel weren't terrible but fell below expectations. Glasscock, McPhee, and Davis were all well below-average for their position. The bright spots were Delahanty, Thompson, and especially Clements who lapped the catcher field in hitting.
Defensively, the pitching and fielding were quite bad, ending with the 3rd-worst run prevention in the league. All 3 of my bulk pitchers (Hawley, Breitenstein, and Rusie) ended with ERAs in the upper-5s. Brownie Foreman led the staff with a 4.65 ERA. Unlike the 1894 crew who at least had great range, this defense had a ton of errors and below-average range, which didn't help the staff.
Overall, a bit disappointing but mostly in the range of expectation. 75-87 isn't terrible against this competition and if the offense was just good but not great, this was the likely result.
1887 Browns + friends
1.11 1887 Browns
2.14 1886 Quakers
3.11 1887 Hoosiers
4.14 1886 Orioles
5.11 1887 Jimmy Say
Okay, this was the dumbest pick of them all. I had already gone heavy on the hitting with both 94 and 95 Phillies. At least have some sense to get some pitching! But no, I just couldn't resist Tip O'Neill (#1 hitter in all of Lg1) and company from the 1887 Browns. Bob Caruthers (as an OF!) was Tip's best teammate. I ended up using the other 4 teammates as well with Arlie Latham, Charlie Comiskey, Yank Robinson, and Dave Foutz all in the fold. Latham and Robinson both had catching ratings as well as other positions (3B for Latham, 2B/3B/OF for Yank). Yank was D-/B/D- so he made sense in the field, but maybe Latham's D-/D+/B- could play there? (Spoiler alert: I did end up playing him at catcher. It wasn't great as he was 2nd in errors and 5th in passed balls, though he threw out a respectable 33% of runners.)
Shocking, I know, but I have no pitching. Enter the 1886 Quakers to get Charlie Ferguson. He rates as the 12th-most valuable SP in Lg1 and 7th in ERC. Both Ed Daily and Dan Casey join the staff as well. They ended up comprising my entire bullpen, both pitching in long relief. Unfortunately, the amazingly-named Cannonball Titcomb did not make the cut. Jim Fogarty is the only regular from this team on the hitters side. He started most games in center, though he was relieve by teammate Ed Andrews as he was a bit short on innings. Sixth man George Wood was a deep bench player.
Depending on what I do with Latham, I need a SS and either a 3B or Catcher. And I still need some innings, hopefully enough to improve on Daily and Casey as well. The 1887 Hoosiers fill two of those holes. Jerry Denny is the #6 3B in the league, with A+ range and some pop in his bat. Friend of the program, Jack Glasscock, also brings A+ range though much less with the bat, at SS. While those two were the main draws, the Hoosiers also came with Otto Schomberg. I had Comiskey plugged in as the starting 1B but Schomberg was right there with him. Interestingly, Comiskey has the higher $/PA, largely due to his 94 speed (vs 59 for Schomberg) and possibly his BAVG advantage. But Schomberg had A+ range, had better OBP and SLG, and was lefty. I ended up going with Schomberg against righties and this league ended up very RHP-dominant, so Otto got the lions share of the at-bats and ended up performing well.
The last pick shifted Latham to catcher, so my offense was set. That made this a one-player pick, with the 1886 Orioles brining me Matt Kilroy to round out the pitching staff and not much else. Kilroy has a decent 2.62 ERC and 721 innings (which I know I can't use all of). No other Orioles did anything of note.
Jimmy Say is just an 81 PA backup 3B/pinch-hitter. Not much needed and not much left of the free agent pickings.
Outlook: I definitely had the lowest of hopes for this team. While the Browns offense is good, it's not quite as good as you think after looking at it. O'Neill is amazing, of course, but Caruthers is just a ho-hum 16th-best OFer. Latham is a poor-fielding catcher and not special at 3B. Same for Yank at 2B. Comiskey and Foutz ended up getting supplanted and were relegated to platoon/bench duties. At least the Phillies offense brings 3-4 absolute studs with them.
As the season started out, those fears were realized. At the 35-game mark, the record was just 11-24. A 6-game winning streak (and 7 of 8) was quickly followed by an 8-game losing streak and for most of the 1st half of the season the record and Exp% hovered around .400. Things slowly crept upward but still at game 124 our record was 55-69 (.448) and the Exp% was only slightly better (.482). I categorized this team as one of the "Unlikely" to advance teams, despite a generous criteria to deem teams on the Bubble.
Then, BAM!, out of nowhere this team ripped off a 16-game winning streak. What?! That got us to 2 games above .500. The last 22 games were basically par, 11-11 record with a +4 run differential. Got us above .500 and had I needed the team, it would have advanced, though we fell short of the wild card by 2 games.
The offense finished 3rd overall (my Wolverines were actually 1st) and Tip O'Neill held up his end of the bargain, leading the league in Runs Created. Bob Caruthers finished in the Top 25 (exactly 25th) as well. Everyone else was average-ish, except for Fogarty who really struggled.
The pitching actually held up better than expected. Overall run prevention was 18th-best. Ferguson was above average (3.67 ERA, 17th-best among qualifiers) in his 542 innings. Kilroy was essentially average. Sparky used Dan Casey primarily over Ed Daily out of the pen and he struggled to a 6.05 ERA in 250 innings. The defense held up as well with average fielding and above-average range.
For a while, this looked like the biggest failure, but then this team's fortunes completely flipped with the 1895 Phillies and this group ended up respectably over .500 and in an advancement place. Probably should have gone for more pitching, but anything around .500 in the later rounds of these tournaments is a good result.