League 8 Draft Recap
I loved baseball in the 1980’s. I graduated high school in 1982. I played a lot of Strat-O-Matic baseball and even won a few regional Strat tournaments. In 1992, I finished in 2nd place in the very first TBA World Open Strat-O-Matic Baseball championship in New Orleans. So, I was really looking forward to this draft. As far as a pre-draft strategy, I think I will stick to what works for me. Wait on pitching. Take good hitters with good defense early and often and see how things shake out.
Round 1, Pick 1
1984 Ryne Sandberg ($8,329,537)
I think drafting first in these leagues is vastly overrated (in most cases). When I realized that I had drawn the top pick, I had mixed feelings. I don’t think there is a clear-cut top choice, but I also don’t want to screw this pick up. There are four stud pitchers that you can make an argument for with the top pick à ‘86 Scott, ’85 Gooden, ’86 Clemens and ’85 Tudor, but I’ve already determined to wait on pitchers. The top two hitters are ‘80 Brett and ’81 Schmidt. Picking either of those two would keep me drafting near the bottom of each round. After some research, I narrowed my options down to three players. I strongly considered ’81 Schmidt since his salary isn’t inflated like Brett. I also considered ’82 Yount and his MVP season. But with one eye focused on draft position (Sandberg’s salary was a bit cheaper than Yount), I decided there are more shortstops that I liked in the later rounds than second basemen. Plus, I was really into the Cubs in 1984 when they made the playoffs for the first time in 39 years. I remember exactly where I was when I watched the “Sandberg Game” on TV, where he hit those two late game tying HRs vs Bruce Sutter in the game that probably won him the MVP. Sandberg’s got nice numbers: .318/.372/.527 with 36 doubles, 19 triples, 19 homeruns with A/B+ defense. As a bonus, I learned that ronthegenius was hoping ’84 Sandberg would slide to him at pick #15 and he couldn’t believe I took him at #1. Maybe having first pick isn’t that overrated. EDIT: Ironically, at pick #15, ronthegenius took one of the other players I considered at pick #1… ’81 Mike Schmidt. See, I was right… Pick #1 is overrated as I would’ve been very happy getting ’81 Schmidt with pick #15.
Round 2, pick 8
1985 George Brett ($9,340,540)
After Rod Carew retired, my new favorite player was Wade Boggs. I guess I gravitate to high average hitters as favorite players. I could’ve taken one of Boggs’ many great seasons that was available here, but Boggs was never a great defensive player. ’85 Brett’s normalized slash is .335/.437/.574 and is a very strong defensive player (A-/B+). In retrospect, maybe I should have taken ’85 Boggs (.368/.451/.466, B+/C+). The defensive difference isn’t that great and Boggs has 758 PA compared to 665 for Brett. Brett is also $500K more expensive. Maybe I made a mistake here. I guess I was thinking maybe one of the poor defensive Boggs seasons would fall and I would take him to play DH. Five Boggs season got drafted before my next pick.
Round 3, pick 11
1985 Tim Raines ($7,611,310)
With this pick, I was considering ’81 Dawson for his A++ range or one of the good Tim Raines seasons. Not surprisingly, ronthegenius drafted Dawson (his favorite player) one pick in front of me. There just aren’t that many good switch-hitting outfielders in this era. When it was my turn to pick, my choice was ’84 or ‘85 Raines. Even though ’85 is the better hitter (.326/.410/.479 vs .313/.398/.444), ’84 is the better fielder (B+/A vs A/C-) and has more PA (723 vs 670), so I strongly considered taking him instead. But the ‘84 version has a salary that was $1 million more than ’85 version. I plan on taking ’84 Eddie Murray next round. I know 1B is extremely deep and I should wait, but ‘84 Murray gives me a second switch hitter that comes with A++ range defense.
Round 4, pick 9
1984 Cal Ripken Jr. ($8,000,528)
What the hell? Happyhours takes ‘84 Murray at pick #4.01. Doesn’t he know that there are about half a dozen first basemen that are better hitters than ’84 Murray including ’83 Murray? And that includes a few guys with A+ range (like ’88 W.Clark and ’88 Galarraga). I thought for sure I was getting Murray this round. With two picks to go before my turn, I decided now was the time to take ’80 Ted Simmons, my favorite catcher of the era. Then DarthDurron snipes him from me! I am in shock. Not sure what to do. I feel like somebody just hit a 2-outer on the river against my AA. Time to regroup and not go on tilt and pick a relief pitcher here (I thought about it).
It’s the fourth round and I do not have a single A+ range defender yet. It’s come down to ’81 Rickey Henderson or ‘84 Cal Ripken Jr. I was all set to take Rickey, then realized I can get somebody like ’80 Willie Wilson later. So, I went with Ripken even though I know that right-handed power hitters with lower OBP don’t generally fare well in the sim. Ripken’s slash is .304/.376/.502 which is only marginally better than somebody I can get seven rounds later, but his A+++ range is unique (see my Ripken selection post). I could’ve tried to take ’81 Henderson this round and maybe try to steal ’88 Larkin next round but Larkin’s hitting (.304/.357/.439) is worse than Ripken and his A+ rating is not the same as Ripken’s A++ range.
Round 5, pick 11
1981 Rickey Henderson ($7,650,489)
Wow, I didn’t expect ’81 Rickey to make it back to me. Both ‘80 and ‘82 Willie Wilson got taken as did ’80 Henderson. There was no decision here. I got my leadoff hitter and center fielder. Henderson’s stats: 733 PA, .323/.412/.443, with A++ range. Apparently, njbigwig wanted ’81 Henderson, so I’m glad I picked two spots ahead of him (good thing I didn’t waste that extra million dollars of salary on ’84 Raines). I’m not sure what I will do with my next pick.
Round 6, pick 12
1985 Steve Ontiveros ($3,284,864)
Sometime between rounds 3 and 4, I threw ’81 Rich Gossage into my team center, as the best RP in the era with 50-100 innings. Each round since, I’ve considered taking him. I went to sleep after my Henderson pick, convinced I would take Gossage if he were still on the board in round 6. With one pick to go, I thought for sure that footballmm11 was going add him to his Eichhorn/Fingers bullpen. But he took Lowenstein instead. Now, it’s my pick and I am wavering. I am looking at other RPs. I see that ’85 Ontiveros is nearly as good as Gossage (1.44 erc# vs 1.24 erc#), has a few more innings (75 vs 71) and has slightly better performance review stats. Ontiveros also averages more IP/G than Gossage, averages fewer bb/9 (2.3 vs 2.7) and is roughly a million dollars cheaper in salary, which means I pick ahead of footballmm11 next round instead of after him. Oh, and Ontiveros has A+ range, which is a bonus for a reliever. Boom. I’m convinced. Now, if Gossage is still on the board next round, I have to take him. Edit: Gossage went two picks later.
Round 7, pick 8
1983 Eddie Murray ($6,078,588)
One of the reasons I wanted to pick ahead of footballmm11 here is because I was going to take the first half of my catching platoon, Bo Diaz. There are a few Ron Hassey seasons that I like as the left-handed portion of the platoon. But then I started looking at 1B and OF. There are only a few impactful offensive players left. The two OFs I am looking at are ’88 Mike Greenwell and ’85 Dave Parker. There are a bunch of 1B left, including an A++ range season of Keith Hernandez. But I really wanted a second switch hitter, and Eddie Murray has a couple of really good seasons at 1B left. I chose ’83 Murray (.304/.393/.528) over ’82 Murray (.315/.391/.539) due to better defense (B/B vs A/C) and 57 more PA (680 vs 623). I still may draft another 1B (like Will Clark or Keith Hernandez) and play Murray at DH. Or I could draft ’85 Mattingly or ’82 Al Oliver to play DH.
Round 8, pick 9
1981 Bo Diaz ($3,729,779)
I was at a concert with my wife Friday night. I had put a few extra players on my roster in the Teeam Center so I wouldn’t have to think very long when my turn came up. My first choice (’87 Doyle Alexander) got taken by pedrocerrano with pick # 8.04. So, when I got the text, I quickly replied with the instructions to take ’81 Bo Diaz. There aren’t many good hitting catchers in this era and Bo Diaz (.317/.363/.538 & A+ arm) is one of the better ones. The only reason he lasted this long is he only has 313 PA. My plan was to platoon him and Ron Hassey.
Round 9, pick 8
1985 Bret Saberhagen ($6,877,782)
I decided to take my first SP this round and I had finally settled on ’82 Joe Niekro. One pick away, and I already had him typed into my spreadsheet. Then – boom – footballmm11 takes him as his first SP. Crushing blow. For some unknown reason, I took ’85 Saberhagen over ’82 Andujar, who I like better. Sabes’ numbers are ok… 236 ip, 2.48 erc#, 1.06 whip#, 0.58 hr/9#. The good news is that his bb/9# rate is low (1.4). The bad news is his oav# isn’t great for a league this this (.242).
Round 10, pick 10
1983 Steve Howe ($2,625,143)
1982 Joaquin Andujar is still available, and I probably should take him here, but I am trying to lower my salary so I can pick early as we get closer to the double-pick rounds. I was looking at both Kevin Saucier and Steve Howe, and since Saucier went a few picks earlier, it was clear that Howe wouldn’t last much longer. I do like Howe’s stats: 69 ip, 1.78 erc#, .221 oav#, 0.99 whip#, 0.25 hr/9#.
Round 11, pick 7
1981 Andy Rincon ($2,145,127)
Sure enough, Andujar went on the very next pick (after I took Howe). Oh well. My next choice at SP is ’87 Rick Reuschel. He’d be an interesting pick because his $6M combined season is good enough to be in the rotation, but he also has a nice 50-inning partial that is strong. I could use this $4 million salary difference to potentially sneak my way into the American League during the end-game part of the draft. Of course, I’d need to draft five SPs to offset losing 170 innings. Anyway, I love Rincon’s 7 ip/g and his 0 HRs. I have three RPs already but only one SP. I have the fewest total innings out of everybody so far.
Round 12, pick 6
1986 Ron Hassey ($3,569,090)
I was wavering between ’87 Reuschel and another RP (Doug Jones), but then mllama54 drafted ’80 Ron Hassey at pick #11.16. That meant I needed to take Hassey’s other good season immediately. If I lose out on Reuschel, so be it. But I can’t risk losing Hassey. FYI, '86 Ron Hassey is the only catcher with 300+ PA with AVG > .300 and OBP > .400 in this entire league… .323/.405/.468.
Round 13, pick 4
1980 Keith Hernandez ($6,974,884)
With just three picks in front of me, ’87 Reuschel is still on the board. Then I get pedro’s proxy text, listing ’87 Reuschel as his top choice. Oh well, so close. There just isn’t another SP that I want here. I temporarily type in RP ’85 Bob James onto my spreadsheet, but I am really looking at taking ’81 Keith Hernandez here to get another A++ range guy on my team. But then 3dayrotation finally posts… he takes ’81 Hernandez. WTF? I could’ve taken Bob James and moved up to pick #2 next round, but there are still 4-5 teams that need a 1B and really wanted Hernandez. Eddie Murray moves to DH.
Round 14, pick 6
1980 Marty Bystrom ($1,223,904)
’85 Bob James gets taken by chew3344 at pick #13.14. I will continue to grab cheap relievers so I move up in the draft order. Bystrom is one of seven pitchers in this era with 6 ip/g, whip# < 1.00, erc# < 1.80. The others: ’88 Milacki, ’87 J.McDowell, ’80 J.Richard, ’86 M.Scott, ’81 Rincon (already on my team) and ’89 D.Alexander. Bystrom’s stats: 36 ip, 1.78 erc#, 0.99 whip#. This moves me up to pick #3 next round.
Round 15, pick 3
1980 Reggie Smith ($3,288,228)
I considered taking ’83 Lloyd Moseby as my third OF, but Reggie Smith is a much better hitter and is a switch hitter. Plus, I may grab Moseby later. The pitcher I have my sights on is ’87 Pascual Perez. I am hoping to get him with the next pick. Reggie Smith only has 360 PA, but I love his slash of .323/.397/.512. His A/C- defense is not ideal, but a downgrade in defense is worth having another switch hitter in my lineup. I am certain that footballmm11 had Smith on his radar.
Round 16, pick 2
1987 Pascual Perez ($2,423,339)
I love it when I almost take a player, decide to take a different player and the guy I almost took makes it back to me the next round… Remember the search criteria I referenced with the Bystrom pick? If I expand the erc# from 1.80 to 2.00, the following pitchers now qualify… ’85 Gooden, ’85 Tudor, ’86 Clemens (all first round picks) and ’87 Perez. His numbers: 71 ip, 1.91 erc#, .207 oav#, 0.96 whip#, 0.52 hr/9#. I love short-inning SPs to use as relievers. I don't have to worry about them getting hit with fatigue after one inning.
Round 17, pick 3
1986 Moose Haas ($2,256,750)
1982 Dave Rozema ($1,010,366)
If I’m going to blow off starting pitching, I might as well blow it off until the end of the draft, and keep my high draft position. Adding two more bullpen arms here. I love guys with high ip/g numbers. Haas: 73 ip (6.03 ip/g), 2.19 erc#, .219 oav#, 1.06 whip#. Rozema: 28 ips (3.46 ip/g), 1.54 erc#, .189 oav#, 0.86 whip#. I like my bullpen. Hopefully, we won’t be trailing by too many runs by the time they enter the game.
Round 18, pick 1
1984 Rick Sutcliffe ($4,957,549)
1985 Bill Madlock ($1,167,551)
I worked my way all the way up from pick 12 to pick 1. As far as the guys I really need, I am waiting until the next two rounds to draft them. With these two picks, I was looking for a long-reliever / spot-starter and Rick Sutcliffe seemed like the perfect fit. Stats: 152 ips, 2.51 erc#, .223 oav#, 1.10 whip#. I am still planning on drafting three more SPs. Since '85 Brett only has 665 PAs and I expect him to bat high in the order, I needed a few more PAs so he can rest. '85 Madlock’s slash is .366/.428/.452 in 128 PAs, although his 3B-defense isn’t great (C/D+).
Round 19, pick 1
1984 Bert Blyleven ($6,954,608)
1983 Lloyd Moseby ($6,181,628)
I’ve discovered that waiting until the last few rounds to draft your starting pitchers is kind of a “cheat code” to being able to draft early in the later rounds. We’ll see if this translates into wins. Blyleven’s stats: 245 ip, 2.68 erc#, .224 oav#, 1.13 whip#, 0.60 hr/9#. Once '84 Moseby got taken in round 13 (by footballmm11), '83 Moseby (.314/.377/.489, B/A defense) is the guy I was planning on drafting to be my OF3, but I knew I’d need a fourth OF, so I drafted Reggie Smith first, then got Moseby very late. Did I mention Moseby has a 91 “speed” rating? ’81 Henderson and ’85 Raines are both “94”. That’s a pretty fast outfield.
Round 20, pick 1
1985 Dave Stieb ($7,677,433)
1982 Fernando Valenzuela ($8,106,594)
1988 Dave Leiper ($1,693,7023)
When I decided to blow off starting pitching, I knew I’d end up with one of Dave Stieb’s good seasons. His three seasons ('83, '84, '85) are all very similar. In fact, 1985 is narrowly ranked ahead of the other two (267 ip, 2.68 erc#, .214 oav#, 1.14 whip#, 0.60 hr/9#). Note that ’84 Stieb was drafted in round 11. With my strong defense behind him, I think he’ll be fine. 1982 is Valenzuela’s third best season. His 1985 season (second best) was drafted in round 10. The erc# difference between 1985 and 1982 is only 0.14 points (2.59 vs 2.73). I didn’t really need much else, but I added Dave Leiper (55 ip, 2.26 erc#, 1.14 whip#, 0.17 hr/9#) just to provide a second LH reliever.
EDIT: I never had the first pick in round 20 before. I knew I’d be taking two expensive SPs here but had no feel for how much salary the others would spend this last round. After I posted my pick, I went from the lowest salary to the third highest salary. I anxiously waited to see if I would end up in the AL or NL. Although the salaries are very close, enough people behind me spent $1-2 million more than I did, so I will end up in the AL West. I’m impressed that chewy3344 went from the third highest salary after round 19 to the third lowest salary after the last round. Nicely played.
Ballpark:
Had I taken Boggs instead of Brett in round 2, I probably would have played my home games in a park like the Astrodome. But I do have a few HR hitters (Brett 30, Murray 33, Ripken 27), Other teams have more power than I do and my SPs are a bit HR-prone, so I chose a park with a -2 for HRs to help out my pitching staff. But I also wanted lots of singles, doubles and triples. I selected Jefferson Street Grounds (+2, +2, +1, -2/-2).
Although I have the fewest A+ range guys of any my previous teams, I still think my defense is near the top of the league. My offense should be strong as all my batters are 300-hitters and most are over 310. I have a fast team with great extra base hit potential. My bullpen is solid and if my starting pitching doesn't get torched, I feel like 90+ wins is achievable.