Quote: Originally posted by taz21 on 9/30/2009I'm guessing they look at both, but not all kids are done growing at 17. The only reason scottie pippen was given a shot at Arkansas St (or wherever exactly he played college ball) was because the coach also coached his brother who shot up 6" or so during his first year or 2 of college, and he figured Scottie might do the same.Similar story w/ David Robinson, he didn't enter the Naval academy at 7'-0", I don't think you can even get into the naval academy over 6'-7" or something along those lines. He grew a few inches and developed into a legit NBA prospect.A kid might be 5'-10" as a high school junior when your first scouting them, but you notice dad goes 6'-3" and mom is a solid 5'-9". You can reason the kid might grow another 4+ inches by the time he's draft eligible w/ the potential to grow a bit more before he'd reach the majors. And yes, 4" does make a difference to traditional scouts in terms of your prospect status.
Yeah but...
It seems like it would be such a small factor to consider in regards to future growth.
The possibly apocryphal story about Pippen's brother might be something of use to a scout. A brother having a late growth spurt could be a slightly predictive of a growth spurt for a younger brother.
But looking at parents and trying to determine how tall a kid is gonna be? That would be a very inexact science. There is a correlation, but look at the variance between siblings in families.
Looking at Robinson, Pippen, Rodman, etc... in hindsight and saying "I knew they would grow 6 inches in college!" is one thing. Doing it ahead of time? Another matter entirely