My catcher
Haywood Adkins in the last year of his contract had a mutual option and declined his end. During rollover while waiting for the world to fill, I checked my FA status page and he said he was willing to resign with me, which made me happy because I wanted to keep him. However, once the world filled and budgets were set, he told me he was going to free agency no matter what.
I was told this is a common thing. His overall dropped by one point during rollover, which, if anything, should have changed his demands in my favor since I wanted to keep him and at the cheapest price possible. But for some reason, he changed from willing to resign, to no way Jose. I let him walk as a Free Agent and figured the bidding would be out of control for him and I didn't think I'd have enough money to be able to meet his escalated demands, so I never offered him a contract the first day and a half of free agency.
This morning, I figured I'd give it a whirl. I offered him a deal at his asking price, but changed the last year of the contract to Team Options and threw in a $4 million signing bonus. Not only was my bid the highest, but HE SIGNED THE CONTRACT IMMEDIATELY. No "you're the best offer, but your rival is knocking on the door." No "I've got to wait and see if anybody offers more." One offer, and he signed it, with 2 full days of Free Agency remaining.
I've never seen a player, especially of his caliber, sign a contract without considering other offers so early in the free agency signing period. Does this happen often, and if so, is there a way to predict it will happen?