Posted by tkimble on 11/28/2010 3:55:00 PM (view original):
Posted by pedroia on 11/28/2010 2:57:00 PM (view original):
My question is...how high of a recruiting value do you place on potential over everything else. If you have a non scouted pf with 80 lp 80 def good we and a scouted pf with 50 lp, 50def. Would the potential trump the superior numbers. Not all high potential areas will reach the 30 points it would take player a to reach 80 lp or def since there is a cap. High potential does not mean they keep improving to 100.
I'll take the 80-80 everytime and it's not close. The other guy probably won't get there and if he does get there it will be in his jr or sr season while i
ll have the 80s from the first guy his whole career. When trying to figure out who to recruit, I project out the ratings of the recruits based on potential. If the guy is low potential, I won't assign any improvement. If the guy has average potential, I'll give him 12 points of improvement, and if he's high potential, I'll assign 25 points of improvement (unless I get a scouting visit message that says he has high-high potential, in which case I'll assign him 30 points of improvement). I thinks that's what you're asking...
Agreed, and I don't know anyone who would argue with that. That's why I don't think it's an apt or relevant example.
It becomes a debate when the starting rankings are in the same stratosphere. I don't really think many/any people are out there trying to take guys who are 50/50 high potential over guys who are 80/80 with unknown potential. A real question would be 50 with high potential vs. maybe 60 w. unknown.
And tkimble, exactly what you said -- try and project where the guy will end up based on his potential. If you haven't done evals it may not be 100% perfect, but you have a very good idea.