Posted by bigal888 on 3/7/2011 5:33:00 PM (view original):
I was just thinking the same thing...but then asked myself "are there really 'true' projections, or is there no real ceiling for guys and they develop based on a number of factors that ADV scouting takes into account which in turn makes up a projected rating?"
I ask that because I rarely see a guy develop into his projections no matter how high ADV is and I've also seen guys into their mid 30's still gain points.
There really needs to be a "true" projection, i.e. a "ceiling" for a player . . . otherwise, that opens up a big risk for a bug to lead to runaway progression, such as what we saw with the old training bug. Plus, a "true" projection provides a baseline for all the "fuzzy" projections provided by the scouting budgets to work from.