If it's a do-or-die game, I'd still go with the tandem.
TPC for your starter (tandem-A) at 40, MPC at his regular number, and bump the pull rating up by 1 or even 2. If you have another decent LR or SP available at close to 100% who you can somewhat trust, set him as tandem-B with similar MPC and TPC targets with a pull rating of 5. Otherwise, put your ace in as tandem-B with a 40/40 PC. If you don't tandem with your ace, put him in the 'pen as SuA with 10/15 PC, and everybody else as SuB with short leashes.
Either way, make all of your other pitchers available with short leashes (pull ratings). In an elimination game, it's always "all hands on deck". Unless you want to pull a Crump.