If I had to wager, I'd say PIT. Your non-con schedule won't be a huge lift to your SOS and could even be a harm with three computer-selected random opponents yet to be added to it (currently there's 5 home and 2 away games...I'd be hoping like mad all three open non-con dates get scheduled on the road if I were you). and there's definitely league teams that will enter the season in much better shape that you will. NT isn't out of the question, but you'll have to win everything you're supposed to and upset the right person or two to get there I think.