Well, not really ... But can anyone think of a reason a team would, year after year, have their opponents always shoot poorly on free throws that I'm not thinking of? Because no matter how well or poorly my team shoots free throws, my aggregate opponents always seem to shoot them poorly.

I noticed this too and was going to make a similar thread. At first iwas thinking home court adv. but I play most of my games on the road so I guess maybe if you play teams with low grade home courts could that be a possible explanation?

Posted by arssanguinus on 8/16/2012 7:36:00 PM (view original):
Well, not really ... But can anyone think of a reason a team would, year after year, have their opponents always shoot poorly on free throws that I'm not thinking of? Because no matter how well or poorly my team shoots free throws, my aggregate opponents always seem to shoot them poorly.

You are facing alot of sim teams on your schedule. They have sub-optimal practice plan, leading to lower aggregate FT grade. They also have weaker teams, leading to foul trouble and fatigue. Furthermore, they have inefficient substitution plan, reinforcing the fatigue point. Fatigue leads to inefficient performance on the court, which affects ft%. 

This is the same reason for why year after year, your team's fg% is always higher than your opponent's fg%. If you play a full human schedule, this wouldn't be the case. 

To see this more clearly, just look at the teams with the top 10 SOS in your world. Their opponents' ft% is generally over .700.

Um ... No? I've played only one sim out of twelve games so far this year. And I hardly think coaches like sharrow and oldresorter tend to have poor substitution plans.

Posted by arssanguinus on 8/16/2012 7:56:00 PM (view original):
Um ... No? I've played only one sim out of twelve games so far this year. And I hardly think coaches like sharrow and oldresorter tend to have poor substitution plans.

You are also not playing tremendous teams in nonconf, or just happened to find a few terrible FT shooting teams. And my post was referring to your upcoming schedule in conf which is filled with sims. 

Below are D3 top 10 SOS in Naismith, which just completed its NT, and their opponents ft%:

Salisbury, .719
Frostburg State, .685
Mary Washington, .717
Marymount, .698
Chapman, .704
John Jay, .703
Wilkes, .740
York, .731
Catholic, .717
Gaulladet, .707

In fact, until this last game, _I_ was one of the teams with the top ten SOS in the world.

Posted by arssanguinus on 8/16/2012 8:00:00 PM (view original):
In fact, until this last game, _I_ was one of the teams with the top ten SOS in the world.

Look at SOS by end of season, not 2 games after conf play. Your level of competition is the biggest determinant in aggregate numbers.

O ... K. If you want to say that a weak non conference schedule with only three opponents over an RPI of 30 then I guess I'll just have to agree to disagree with you.

I brought up Naismith because it has a full seasons worth of games to go by. Phelan only has played 12 games, where 1 or 2 poor shooting games can greatly affect the overall number.

I'm simply giving you an explanation for how aggregate numbers for your opponents greatly depends on your SOS. If you don't believe me, just generate an excel file with SOS against opponent ft% once the season is completed. 

Edit: And it looks like sample size is indeed a factor for your current case, with 3 teams accounting for 25 of the 60 missed free throws against you. 

Doesn't change the fact that his current OFT% is based on a fairly strong SOS, the sims he didn't actually play yet are entirely irrelevant to his OFT% at this point, so your original point didn't hold.  Probably just random luck, the year after year thing may have a lot to do with the sims.

Posted by dahsdebater on 8/16/2012 8:12:00 PM (view original):
Doesn't change the fact that his current OFT% is based on a fairly strong SOS, the sims he didn't actually play yet are entirely irrelevant to his OFT% at this point, so your original point didn't hold.  Probably just random luck, the year after year thing may have a lot to do with the sims.

Again, looking at aggregate numbers for 12 games is pointless. His first post says "think of a reason a team would, year after year, have their opponents always shoot poorly on free throws that I'm not thinking of?"

I'm providing him the long term (year after year) reason for why his opponents' ft% is always terrible.

I do usually check where things stand after noncon and then later ... And besides, it's not the only team I've noticed it with, and my Drury team plays in a strong, nearly full conference year after year. And I get the same thing,

Posted by a_in_the_b on 8/16/2012 8:24:00 PM (view original):
I do usually check where things stand after noncon and then later ... And besides, it's not the only team I've noticed it with, and my Drury team plays in a strong, nearly full conference year after year. And I get the same thing,

You have a team in wooden which just completed the CT. Check out the full D2/D3 conf. Their opp ft% are all hovering around .700. 

Absolutely true with caltech. Not so much with Drury. Which is odd, if anyone had opponents shooting poorly on free throws you would think perhaps the fast break press team might get the result by tiring people out.

Posted by a_in_the_b on 8/16/2012 8:29:00 PM (view original):
Absolutely true with caltech. Not so much with Drury. Which is odd, if anyone had opponents shooting poorly on free throws you would think perhaps the fast break press team might get the result by tiring people out.

Do you mean you are running fb/fcp? If so, then not quit true because fb/fcp tires your team out, not your opponent's team. If you face a bunch of fb/fcp teams, then sure. 

Or your entire conf disregards ft in recruiting.