http://whatifsports.com/HBD/Pages/Popups/PlayerProfile.aspx?pid=4011779

 A handful of seasons ago, I took over a team that had more than run its course.  It was a complete rebuild and the guy above was 1 of 2 half way decent prospects in the system or in the majors.  I figured w/ his batting eye, he could at least man the position for a few seasons as we started the rebuild.  Well now the prospects I've drafted, signed on the International market or traded for are either in the show or close to it.  I figured this guy would be easy to replace down the road, but the stats he's put up over the last couple of season were better than expected.  He was definently key in our run to the NLCS last season.

His defense is poor, so I can't use him as a defensive replacement, and I have DH manned by 2 guys that I think would work as a better platoon/backup C down the road.  This is his last season prior to arbitration, so he'll cost a couple mil next year I'd imagine and something significantly more the season or 2 after that.  His OBP in relation to his .AVG is right in line.  His power in relation to his .avg is in line w/ my crude way of projecting that (which may not be all that accurate), but his .295 average is way higher than I would have guessed for a guy w/ 50 contact and little speed.  He's had 1210 ML at bats, so the sample size isn't exactly small, but its still only 2 full seasons.  Anyone think he can keep up the pace he's set so far?  What kind of slash line would you project?

Thanks for any observations.

Playing half his games in Cinci, I think he can sustain this, particularly if his 5-10 games off a year come against tough lefthanders (which I bet you're already doing).  The important thing to remember is that playing half your games in Cinci, you may still not want to take him to the second season of arb even with those stats.

Neutral Park:  .251-.336-.455

He's way overproducing.

Posted by moethedog on 9/11/2012 3:58:00 PM (view original):
Neutral Park:  .251-.336-.455

He's way overproducing.

I have him at neutral park/full time:  .265/.360/.470.  Between the GAP and exploiting his relatively large platoon difference I can see him doing what he has.

wow, its because of things like this that makes me shake my head.  I had a player who had insane contact and power, and with low 70s splits, and his eye was quite decent.  But the guy never hit above .270 or so in the time I had him, and he never batted in more then 85-90 ribbies either.  I think his career avg was around .260.  WTH?  I traded him ofcourse, I was hoping that his seemingly awesome batting line would fetch me a good deal, but didnt quite materialize.  :(

Posted by dedelman on 9/11/2012 4:06:00 PM (view original):

Posted by moethedog on 9/11/2012 3:58:00 PM (view original):
Neutral Park:  .251-.336-.455

He's way overproducing.

I have him at neutral park/full time:  .265/.360/.470.  Between the GAP and exploiting his relatively large platoon difference I can see him doing what he has.

I've got him at .277/.369/.470 in a neutral park. 

I could get him to hit 290+ with 20-25HRs in low 400 ABs...almost all of which would be against righties.

-If you play him as a full timer and expect to get 550+ ABs hes going to end up more in the 265 range with high 20 HRs