It just doesn't make sense. A sim Ai with 72 RPI and 272 SOS making it before a human with much better resume..(I had no chance ot make it this season by the way. I just got to looking and was dumbfounded at the last four in/out...






https://plus.google.com/photos/112733341954538356962/albums/6078565671317839745/6078565674213689986?pid=6078565674213689986&oid=112733341954538356962

not enough info provided to comment

link the teams

http://whatifsports.com/hd/TeamProfile/Ratings.aspx?tid=12450

http://whatifsports.com/hd/TeamProfile/Ratings.aspx?tid=12566

i agree, damon.... seems odd,  i cant really make a case for gordon.

thier conf schedules to me seemed fairly similar,   
monty st (who got left out)   was 1-2 vs in conf NT teams
gordon (who snuck in) was also 1-2 vs in conf NT teams

monty st did not have any in conf bad losses, but didnt have any other games vs top100 teams in conf and had a bunch vs 300+ teams
gordon DID have a bad cofn loss to a 220 rpi team,  but also was 2-0 vs PIT teams in conf.

i guess id give a slight edge to gordon just based on conference results.

non con, monty st played an insanely tough schedule... whihc i thought usually helped in projection report.  they played 8 NT teams and went 2-6.  they also beat the two weaker teams , so no bad losses.

gordon had a very easy non con.   they lost to the only NT team they played (and that team was not really a powerhouse at rpi 34),  and beat a couple of PIT teams.


so,  here is what is important to me:
Monty St was 3-9 vs NT teams.   and had no bad losses.  kinda what id expect a nt one and done team to do... they beat all the teams that werent NT teams,  and lost three to reallllly good NT teams and went 3-6 vs decent NT teams

gordon was 1-3 vs NT teams,  and had a bad loss.  they proved they could beat PIT teams.. but that jsut means they are a good PIT team

gordon only showed once int he entire year that they could beat an NT team,   monty showed it 3 times.


usually i think the projection report does a great job of picking the right teams... and usually i thought it hinged on ability to beat good teams... but i think they whiffed this time

To me they got it correct.  Montclair, although they had the better rpi and tougher sos, they only won 3 games against decent teams.  They went 3-8 (.273) versus rpi 1-100 teams.  You just can't play them, you have to win some of them--winning only 3 games against rpi 1-100 teams just isn't going to get it done.  Gordon had 6 quality wins, going 6-3 (.667) in games against rpi 1-100.  As Herm Edwards said, you don't play to play.  You play to win.