Before battling a sim-considered recruit, I always wait until that first 'Word on the Street' (WOTS) messages comes out. There are basically 3 levels of these messages, roughly indicating how much effort the sim has dumped into the kid. If it's a medium or higher level message and I'm at D3, I tread lightly knowing it's gonna cost at least $4K to get ahead.
I'm not sure when you tried to battle the sim, but it's possible considering credit kicked in while you were dumping effort into the kid. Basically, the sim may have gotten a little "boost" to their initial recruiting efforts because they were on the kid from the onset of recruiting.