Rank the Following Draft Prospects Topic

I have 20/20 budget and here are the three I'm debating:
Health Dur Mk Stm Ctrl vL vR Vel GB P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
Pitcher 1 100 16 99 88 94 92 74 93 84 82 75 62
Pitcher 2 97 28 74 84 95 82 79 39 61 91 62 60 63 56
Pitcher 3 68 20 66 99 71 82 80 91 77 95 68 68
The durability has me a little nervous on Pitcher 1 and 3, so I think I'm leaning pitcher 2, but Pitcher 3 has some nice Velo and GB and a better P1, so I'm torn. Thanks for the advice!
4/21/2020 11:50 AM
Not 3. The 24 points lower control drowns out everything else compared to the other 2.

I think 1 and 2 are close enough per inning that I would take the extra IP that 2 gives you.
4/21/2020 12:11 PM
2
4/21/2020 12:51 PM
Yep 2

4/21/2020 1:51 PM
Got to with 2. I’ve been burned by some 3 pitch starters, so I pretty much avoid them altogether. Maybe just a personal preference, but those guys always seem to be worse than they should be.

aside from that, I don’t like the 16 durability for number 1, and the control for 3 is weak, as someone mentioned above.
4/21/2020 11:55 PM
#1
4/22/2020 11:24 AM
2, 1, 3
4/22/2020 12:13 PM
2,1,3, but if you go with #1 use him in the bullpen you can maximize his innings that way
4/22/2020 5:54 PM
You think a guy with 16 DUR works best in the pen? How would you set up his preferences to max his innings that way?
4/23/2020 7:02 PM
Does Velocity have any effect on performance?
4/23/2020 10:38 PM
To give you a non-answer to your question, velocity directly relates to strikeouts.
4/23/2020 11:11 PM
I think lefties in this game must have velocity to be consistent. I find it rare that any lefty that has a low velocity to consistently put together back to back to back good seasons. I think the programming discounts the lefty pitchers too much in this game.
4/25/2020 10:55 PM
It's not intuitive, but I have run a few different models with ERA as the outcome and they have all said that velocity is associated with higher ERA (p = 0.09 !!). My model is not perfect, but my explanation is that velocity (a) causes pitch counts to increase and (b) causes more walks because balls aren't being put in play as much.

I did not use interaction terms, so there could be some combinations of attributes that are less optimal (like you said, perhaps lefties need velo for whatever reason).

FWIW - my model says that being lefty is associated with a 0.07 point increase in ERA. The confidence interval is (-0.26, 0.40) though.
4/30/2020 12:03 PM
Rank the Following Draft Prospects Topic

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