Since your posting this Im sure Im wrong.

But I would say team B was stuck at moderate or was at the very edge of the dice roll. 77-23.
IMO I dont think the extra AP gets them into a roll at 2 letter grades down,

My guess is 65-35, advantage for Team A. This seems to me like Team B started recruiting this player from the very beginning of recruiting, where as Team A started recruiting this player later in recruiting.

Shoe - what division is this? I was assuming DI

Posted by mullycj on 7/16/2020 2:12:00 PM (view original):
Shoe - what division is this? I was assuming DI

Correct, D1 battle for a 5-Star player, if that matters to folks.

Uggg please tell me this is VH-Moderate....

Because you posted this, I'm going to say 47 for Team A and 53 for Team B.

Team A, but only by 60-40-ish.

Team A wins unanimously 100%

68/32 team a

I’d say 55-45 Team B, maybe I’m wrong, both VH, but not sure why people are thinking so strongly on Team A, preferences are basically even and the AP advantage for Team B basically evens out the prestige advantage, so I would be really surprised if not close to 50/50 and in slight favor of team B

If 10 HVs = 2 letter grades then this really is coin flip dynasty

Mully gets the chicken dinner. Oregon (A+) vs Washington (C+ at time of signing). Final odds were 75-25 in favor of Oregon. Recruit chose Washington.

I thought this was an interesting case. It shows what a fringe battle looks like when both parties are heavily invested. Kind of confirms the notion that 2 full grades is a little too much for an underdog to overcome with equivalent effort. It took significant AP stacking to keep UW in the game. And even at that point, my own miscalculation prevented me from doing enough to shut them out. I had figured at around 40 AP/cycle they wouldn’t be able to get in the game against my max effort and promises. But I misinterpreted the preferences, failing to notice that despite the IQ showing the Huskies practicing press, Washington was actually *playing* zone all season; so instead of having that extra preference advantage in my pocket, UW actually got some ground back there, enough to stay in with me until the end.

Posted by shoe3 on 7/17/2020 12:06:00 AM (view original):
Mully gets the chicken dinner. Oregon (A+) vs Washington (C+ at time of signing). Final odds were 75-25 in favor of Oregon. Recruit chose Washington.

I thought this was an interesting case. It shows what a fringe battle looks like when both parties are heavily invested. Kind of confirms the notion that 2 full grades is a little too much for an underdog to overcome with equivalent effort. It took significant AP stacking to keep UW in the game. And even at that point, my own miscalculation prevented me from doing enough to shut them out. I had figured at around 40 AP/cycle they wouldn’t be able to get in the game against my max effort and promises. But I misinterpreted the preferences, failing to notice that despite the IQ showing the Huskies practicing press, Washington was actually *playing* zone all season; so instead of having that extra preference advantage in my pocket, UW actually got some ground back there, enough to stay in with me until the end.

Wow, prestige just isn't that meaningful. I'm right assuming this means A+ vs B+ at these numbers would be 62-38 then, right? I'm too tired to really think about whether I'm messing up my logic here.

Thanks for the post shoe.
With the bad preference on defense I still wouldnt have thought they could get into that dice roll.