Hi All, I have observed an interesting dynamic in the projection report over the last few days and I thought others might be interested in the findings -- I believe playing (and winning) against 150+ RPI teams may hurt you in the projection report far more than I had anticipated. Perhaps the answer is games against RPI 51-100 matters more than I anticipated? Open to suggestions here, but this didn't fit my priors for which team would be ahead on the proj report.
Below is the case study of two teams as currently stands in Tark -- Team 1 is 25-0 and Team 2 is 23-2, which makes comparing a bit easier.
Team 1 is the #2 on the proj repot and Team 2 is #1 on the proj report.
| Record vs |
Team 1 (#2 on proj report) |
Team 2 (#1 on proj report) |
| RPI top 50 |
11-0 |
10-1 |
| RPI 51-100 |
5-0 |
8-1 |
| RPI 100-150 |
1-0 |
3-0 |
| RPI 150+ |
8-0 |
2-0 |
| Team 1, 25-0 (RPI of 2) |
Team 2, 23-2 (RPI of 1) |
| Wins (# denotes RPI) |
Wins (# denotes RPI) |
Losses (# denotes RPI) |
| 3 |
13 |
34 |
| 8 |
13 |
87 |
| 8 |
21 |
|
| 10 |
21 |
|
| 10 |
23 |
|
| 14 |
26 |
|
| 18 |
35 |
|
| 20 |
42 |
|
| 30 |
46 |
|
| 31 |
48 |
|
| 33 |
52 |
|
| 61 |
52 |
|
| 77 |
59 |
|
| 84 |
70 |
|
| 91 |
81 |
|
| 97 |
93 |
|
| 126 |
93 |
|
| 151 |
100 |
|
| 151 |
117 |
|
| 198 |
121 |
|
| 241 |
138 |
|
| 262 |
197 |
|
| 267 |
208 |
|
| 267 |
|
|
| 283 |
|
|
Note: Bold denotes road game.
4/14/2021 1:42 PM (edited)