Thoughts on the American League in the 1920s part2 Topic

Thoughts on the American League in the 1920s

We usually think of this as the Ruth-Gehrig era, when the Yankees began their long decades of dominance of the AL. It was, but…the story is much more complicated.
Looking back Yankees dominance seems preordained, but it wasn’t, and for a lot of the 1920s, when the dynasty began, they were not even, and sometimes were far from, the best team in the league.
In fact, I am convinced that, at least for the 1920s, the story of the American League is a story, not mainly of Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig, but of four pitchers: Waite Hoyt, Urban Shocker, Walter Johnson, and Lefty Grove.
We might add Babe Ruth, the pitcher, if we started out story any earlier. Ruth was awesome on the mound In 1916, when he had a league-leading 1.75 ERA and 9 shutouts, winning 23 games, and in 1918, when he won 13 and lost only 7, the Red Sox won the World Series. In 1917, Ruth was arguably even better, but even he couldn’t get them past the best of the White Sox teams of the era. By 1919, the year of the Black Sox, Ruth pitched in only 17 games and was playing outfield pretty much regularly. It is entirely arguable that, for the first years as a batter on both Boston and New York, Babe Ruth was in fact less of a factor in the AL pennant races than he had been as a pitcher.
In 1920, his first year as a Yankee, he didn’t just break records, he made people forget who it was that had ever held them previously. The 54 home runs he hit broke his own record of 29. So for decades “who held the home run record before Babe Ruth” was like asking “who were the Presidents of the United States before George Washington” (There were 12 of them under the Articles of Confederation).
But….the Yankees came in third. To be sure, it was a tight pennant race. The Cleveland Indians won 98 games, but the Chicago White Sox also finished ahead of the Yankees with 96 wins to New York’s 95. The Yankees had a good team: along with Ruth who hit .376, and by the way struck out 80 times in 617 PA, while hitting 54 homers, not 180, not 280, as would not even lead to people blinking an eyelid today, but 80 times, the team also had Bob Meusel, who hit .328 with 11 homers, as good a season as he had in the more famous 1927, Wally Pipp at first and Aaron Ward at third each chimed in with 11 more home runs each. Ping Bodie, once a star in the Pacific Coast League, and second baseman Del Pratt hit .295 and .324 each. And the Yankees had good pitching: Carl Mays won 26, Bob Shawkey won 20, Jack Quinn won 18 and Rip Collins went 14-8 with a 3.22 ERA.
But the White Sox still had all the soon-to-be banned players from 1919. And they had company. Shoeless Joe hit .382 with 12 home runs, Happy Felsch hit .338 with 14 homers. Eddie Collins hit .371 and Buck Weaver hit .331. And the White Sox had four twenty-game winners: Faber, Cicotte, Lefty Williams and Dicky Kerr. But even the Sox fell short of Cleveland that year. The Indians, not the Yankees, White Sox, or Red Sox, start our decade off with the AL pennant. The 1920s will start with the Cleveland Indians winning the AL pennant, and end with the first of three-straight Philadelphia Athletics championships. Not what you would expect from the Ruth-Gehrig, Yankees domination narrative.
The Indians did not just win the AL pennant against such competition as the old dominant White Sox and Red Sox and the soon-to-be reigning New York Yankees, they won the World Series and they won it 5 games to 2. I kind of wish that the Brooklyn team, not only had stayed in Brooklyn, but in any case kept the name of that year, the Robins. Nice name for a team. But I digress. So who were the Cleveland Indians of 1920?
On the mound, they were led by someone named Jim Bagby, who won 31 games for them. He went 21-19 the rest of his career after 1920, which is why he is not one of the Fab Four I mentioned earlier. He mattered for a season, but did not affect the balance of power in the league in any deeper way. Stan Coveleski and Ray Caldwell won 24 and 20 respectively. But pitching-wise, they don’t look like anything their two closest rivals couldn’t handle. The rest of the staff was mediocre at best and that is being generous. But they had a good offense: the only starter not to hit .300 was poor Bill Wambsganss who we all knew growing up because he pulled off baseball’s only unassisted triple play and who apparently was also absent the day they gave out vowels for last names. Tris Speaker hit .388, Elmer Smith hit .316 with 12 homers, catcher Steve O’Neill hit .321 and had a high OBP. But…to tell the truth, I think if you ran a simulation of the season 1000 times, the Indians win it fewer than 50 of those. They sneaked in. They never repeated, not winning a pennant again until 1948.
Still, the Yankees did not finish a game behind them (keep that in mind when we discuss another pennant race that was close just below), but three behind them, with the White Sox two games back and one ahead of the Yankees. The 1920 Yankees, with Babe Ruth added, were still not as good, though by only one game, so maybe we should say, no better, than the outgoing White Sox/Black Sox. Babe Ruth changed the balance of power between Boston (which finished under .500) and New York, but not in the American League. Not yet anyway.

In 1921, the New York Yankees did finally win their first of 40 American League pennants over the next 88 years. They won 98 games and finished 4.5 games ahead of the Indians. So, apparently the Indians, despite looking like a good team to be sure on paper but not quite as superlative as the White Sox and Yankees when they won it a year before, and as I mentioned not getting a 30 win season out of Bagby ever again, nevertheless had something to them after all. They won 94 games and so were in it till very late in the season. We will look at both the AL pennant winners in New York (the Yankees played at the Polo Grounds still at that point, in upper Manhattan, not yet in the Bronx), and the Indians, who came up just a little short, again, showing that important as Babe Ruth’s presence was, it didn’t make New York invincible. But first, I want to draw your attention to two very important also-rans for our story: the teams that came in third and fourth. The St. Louis Browns with a record of 81-73 improved from their fourth place, one game under .500 finish a year before, and the Washington Senators came in one half-game behind them in fourth place at 80-73. This information will prove important going forward.
First the Indians. I am going to be honest, I am not sure how they competed, and competed so well, except actually I think I do. First, they had no dominant starter but had a balanced rotation: Coveleski, an underrated pitcher historically I think, won 23, George Uhle 16, Duster Mails and Jim Bagby each won 14, and Allan Sothoron went 12-4. Still, three of those guys had ERAs around or just over 4.00, so we aren’t talking the 1995 Braves here. Guy Morton out of the bullpen pitched 107 innings though, and had an ERA of 2.76. I still think relief pitchers who throw a lot of innings in a lot of games and pitch really well have been a major source of team success a lot of the time and it is out of fashion now, but I miss it. The 1927 Yankees will have Wilcy Moore a while up the road and he will be a big factor for them too, and Firpo Marberry will do the same for a couple of Washington Senators teams.
Anyway, the other big, and probably more important factor for Cleveland is that they had a whole lineup that got on base. Yes OBP. Cleveland’s TEAM OBP for the year was .383 ! That was second in the league, but to Detroit’s pitching gave up half a run a game more than the Indians’ did. They didn’t hit a lot of long balls: Elmer Smith with 16 was the only one in double-digits, but they had pitchers who kept them in games, if they did not always have the best pitcher in the game on their team, and their batters got on base and that was good enough to be just 4 and a half games worse than the first Babe Ruth Yankees pennant winner.
So now to the AL champs. The Yankees had Ruth, who broke his own record again with 59 homers and Bob Meusel, who hit 24 home runs while batting .318. But the only other OPS+ over 100 player they had was catcher Wally Schang. The rest of the lineup was good to be sure, but not earth-shaking. This was not Murderers’ Row. It was Babe Ruth with Bob Meusel backing him up, and Wally Schang, Wally Pipp and Aaron Ward hitting just under or just over .300 in a hitters/high average era. It looks more like the Barry Bonds Giants with Jeff Kent than it looks like the awesome Yankees lineups of the future. Good, but not insurmountable. But the Yankees had a new factor: their pitching staff still had Carl Mays, who was their best arm that year, going 27-9, and they still had Bob Shawkey and Rip Collins with 29 wins between them. But they had added Waite Hoyt, yet another treasure from the old Red Sox championship teams. Hoyt is one of our Fab Four, and he was good enough, going 19-13 with a 3.09 ERA (ERA+ 136) to be the difference in overtaking the Indians. Waite Hoyt, not Babe Ruth, was the crucial additional factor that made the Yankees pennant winners and the team to beat for the next few years in the American League.
But to fully understand what will happen in the next few years, we will have to take a look at those two newcomer runners-up, the St. Louis Browns and the Washington Senators.

To be continued - part two sometime tomorrow (Monday)

5/16/2021 6:07 PM
Great post, italyprof.

I've always wondered what would have happened in 1920 if the White Sox had won the AL pennant after losing all those players to lifetime bans, including Shoeless Joe, Buck Weaver, Happy Felsch and two of their 20 game winners, Eddie Cicotte and Lefty Williams. According to b-r.com, these five players represented the team's second, third, fifth, seventh and eighth best WARs. Chicago was half a game behind Cleveland when everything hit the fan in the final week of the season, and they finished two games out. What if they'd hung on and made it to the World Series? What if they'd won the World Series? What a wet blanket that would have been for MLB.
5/16/2021 6:59 PM
Part Two, the St. Louis Browns and the soon-to-be Empire Strikes, well, for the first time…

The 1922 St. Louis Browns were the best team in the American League in 1921. They lost out to the Yankees by one game. Hell, this kinda thing happens. The 1953 Dodgers were one of the greatest teams ever but they lost a 7-game Series to the Yankees. Bill James has compared the 1962 Giants to the ’27 Yankees, but they too lost a 7-game Series to the Yankees, and by inches, Willie McCovey’s smash just in reach of Bobby Richardson.
In fact, I think the 1922 Browns MIGHT be the best team in the history of that FRANCHISE, including the 1969-71 Orioles. They just came up a game short.
This is the context in which we must see the 1921 accomplishments of the St. Louis Browns, they were a team on their way. The 1921 Browns had a great, great outfield: Ken Williams who hit 24 home runs and batted .347, Jack Tobin, another PCL star, .352 with 9 homers and a .395 OBP, and Baby Doll Jacobson, .352, 5 homers, 38 doubles and 14 triples. They had George Sisler on first base, who had a George Sisler year, .371, 12 home runs, and Hank Severeid catching and hitting .324 in his spare time in the batter’s box.
Their pitching was pretty good. Dixie Davis, 16-16 and Elam Vangilder (don’t you love baseball names?), 11-12 each had ERAs better than the league average. And they had a bunch of other serviceable starters and relievers.
Oh, and they had Urban Shocker. You are forewarned, the story of Urban Shocker will make you cry and make you angry before this tale is fully told my dear reader. Be forewarned.
Urban Shocker had pitched for the Yankees at the start of his career, but they traded him to St. Louis in 1918. In 1921, he went 27-12 in 38 starts and 47 games pitched all told in 1921, with an ERA of 3.55, which was ERA+ 127 for 1921. Why isn’t this guy remembered more?
Anyway, Shocker, the rest of the staff which more or less broke even, and a really good starting lineup, got the Browns to respectability in 1921. They had company.
One-half game behind them at 80-73, though 18 back of New York were the Washington Senators. Think of this iteration of the Washington Senators like the Denver Broncos of 1995. Terrell Davis has just joined a team that had John Elway all along. Well, the Senators had had the greatest pitcher in baseball all along. Steven Carlton? Walter Johnson did what Steve Carlton did in 1972 his whole career: be the best pitcher ever on the worst team in the league. Until now. In 1921, Johnson was joined in the rotation by George Mogridge, who had pitched for the Yankees from 1915-1920 after they got him from the White Sox. But in 1921 he won 18 games, better than he had ever done before. He won one more than Walter Johnson and had a slightly better ERA as well, 3.00 to the Big Train’s 3.51. Tom Zachary had had a cup of coffee in 1918 with the Athletics, then came to Washington, another cup of coffee there in 1919 but in 1920 won 15 games and then Zachary, mostly remembered today because he gave up Ruth’s 60th homer six years later, went 18-16 with a 3.91 ERA in 1921. Their fourth starter, Eric Erickson, was 8-10 but had a 3.62 ERA, which meant all four starters had ERAs better than the league average, and all under 4 earned runs a game.
This meant Johnson did not have to shoulder the whole burden. Which at that point in his long career was a good thing.
Their hitting couldn’t match the Browns, let alone the Yankees, but 1B Joe Judge, catcher Patsy Garrity, 3B Howie Shanks, and outfielder Sam Rice, who hit .330 all hit over .300 and some of those who came up just short of that mark included players of the quality of 2B Bucky Harris, Bing Miller, yet another PCL star, and Clyde Milan their centerfielder. Indeed, Miller, Milan and Rice were a good, outfield, though not the equal of Detroit, (Heilmann, Cobb and Veach), St. Louis, and New York.
So the field was growing crowded in the AL, and if the Black Sox had not been expelled from baseball, who knows what would have happened? You had a lot of good teams, some improving rapidly from bad positions (NY; St.L, Wash.), some good but about to decline (Chic., Clev.) some declined but who had been powerful until quite recently (Bos) and some that had been formidable in the memorable past and would be again in the near future (Det, Phil.).
Yankee domination of the American League was not a given, not destiny, not inevitable. And indeed, the team that almost prevented their return to the pennant already in year 2 of the new era were the St. Louis Browns.
In 1922, the New York Yankees repeated as League Champions, beating the Browns out by one single game. Some losses to Washington in a late season series was the difference that did in the Browns. But I am convinced that they were actually the best team in the league.
The Yankees went 94-60, and Babe Ruth hit .315 with .35 home runs. Meusel hit .319 with 16 homers. Catcher Wally Schang and Wally Pipp at first both hit over .300 with good OBPs, near .400. Whitey Witt, the third OF also had a .400 OBP. So it was a very good offense, though by the power standards we are used to today, or that we expect from the Yankees of that era, it was pretty modest. No, the Yankees won that year on pitching:
Bob Shawkey 20-12 2.91
Waite Hoyt 19-12 3.43
Sad Sam Jones 13-13 3.67
Carl Mays 13-14 3.60
Bullet Joe Bush 26-7 3.31
That’s a hell of a rotation.
Still, I think that all added up as a team, the Browns were a little better.
St. Louis Browns, 1922 (93-61):
C Hank Severeid .327, 32 doubles
1B George Sisler .420 (you read that correctly), 42 doubles, 8 homers, 18 triples, .467 OBP, 51 SB.
2B Marty McManus, .312, 34 doubles, 11 triples, 11 home runs,
SS Wally Gerber .267
3B Frank Ellerbe .246
OF Ken Williams .332, 39 home runs, 155 RBI, 34 doubles, 11 triples, 37 SB
OF Baby Doll Jacobson .317, 9 HR, 16 triples, 19 steals
OF Jack Tobin .331, 13 home runs, 34 doubles
It’s a much more balanced and well-rounded offense than the Yankees have.
The pitching staff had 7 guys with ERA+ better than 100:
Urban Shocker 24-17 2.97
Elam Vangilder 19-13 3.42
Dixie Davis 11-6 4.08
Ray Kolp 14-4 3.93
Rasty Wright 9-7 2.92 (16 starts, 32 games, 154 IP)
Hub Pruett 7-7 2.33 7 saves, 39 games, 119 IP, 8 starts
Dave Danforth 5-2 3.28 10 starts, 20 games, 79 IP
Plus they had Bill Bayne, who had an ERA+ of 91 which is more than serviceable, and threw over 90 IP for them that year, 4-5 with an ERA of 4.56 and 9 starts and 2 saves.
They had the best team ERA in the league, 3.38 and they had the lineup I described above to back them up. They led the league in batting average, OBP, and Slugging Percentage. They had the most hits, scored the most runs and were second in home runs.
This was, by any analytics, the best team in the league. They lost two games too many.
The Yankees got swept by the Giants, 4-0 with one game tied.
Stay tuned for part 3.
5/17/2021 6:41 PM
My computer is in the shop - the battery died and damaged the hard drive. So I am using a computer that is in use by the whole family right now, limited time.

I will get back to this project soon. Should have my own computer back and working on Tuesday.
5/22/2021 8:36 PM
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5/23/2021 1:09 AM
Posted by bagchucker on 5/23/2021 1:09:00 AM (view original):
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5/25/2021 1:17 PM
Thoughts on the American League in the 1920s part2 Topic

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