Savage VIII Rosters/Commentary Topic

Posted by robusk on 7/18/2022 2:12:00 PM (view original):
Figure it takes me roughly 30 seconds to do, so I can save you a half hour or however long it takes you.
7/18/2022 2:41 PM
well at least i can use that to check my work
7/18/2022 2:41 PM
"This was an awesome read I really respect you as a coach, so when you are up I find myself analyzing what to do, as if I was up. This plays out a lot of thoughts I had when your picks came up tbh."

thanks robusk...i know im not the only owner doing the same with your squads


"I’m higher on your team than it sounds you are. I get wanting new builds, been there. I don’t love Bird at SG but with Rodman and lower minute George those could be pretty good teams. You will miss a lot of perimeter shots, but you also have great D and pretty good offensive boards. Not a lot of teams have been able to put together as much 3 and D as you have. Like some of the guys you grabbed later as well. Deron, middleton, some good centers. I think you’ll do well"

definitely makes me feel better knowing you like them better than i do jcred...agree defense could be a strength but im weakest at center in a league full of dominant centers so that makes me nervous


"I like the beginning of your draft better than you do (though I've been personally burned by PG13 too many times to go back to that well) but it's funny that your self-analysis of your draft is basically the opposite of mine of my draft. I think I nailed my first four picks (AD, Erving, Capela, Lowry) but didn't do a great job with the rest of the draft. It will be interesting to see which works better."

i believe your a mookie guy as well tarheel? i loooooved your start as well...capela and davis are such a great paring
7/18/2022 2:56 PM
W4D1 going to be Hell. It is my best team.
7/18/2022 2:58 PM
Posted by robusk on 7/18/2022 2:18:00 PM (view original):
lol, I am not making the playoffs in world 4 or 5. Those are my two worst teams and they are by the numbers the two hardest divisions across worlds.
A bad Rob team…what’s that? 56 …57 wins ?
7/18/2022 3:09 PM
Posted by ashamael on 7/18/2022 1:45:00 AM (view original):
Now that the teams are in, I guess I'll follow suit and explain my rationale. Some of it's going to be VERY boring, and the rest of it is just going to be somewhat boring. Okay, here we go:

1. James Harden - I really wanted to trade into the top 12, as I didn't think he'd make it past that. Honestly, I have him in my top 10. There are many other players with more value overall, but the combination of things he brings with the value he has at the position he plays literally cannot be found anywhere else. The only player that comes close is Steph, and well, Steph is going to be top 5 every season (with good reason - the things he's better at than Harden he's much better at... like, it's not even a comparison). Yeah, I've used Harden before, but unlike DH, I couldn't give less ***** about repeating a player I've used before. Until I actually win this thing, it's all a control experiment. If that ever happens, maybe I could try for variety, but yeah. So anyway, sitting at 16, and I'm two picks away, with both Harden and Rudy Gobert there, and seeing as they were the top two on my list, I was super stoked that I'd get one of them. JH didn't take Rudy, so now I had to face a decision. Gobert rates higher with my metric than Harden, but the thing my metrics really don't do justice are threes, so Harden it was.

Verdict:

I'll fuckin' do it again

2. Tyson Chandler - I really wanted to give Ben Wallace another shot here. I mean, it came down to Kinoa winning a game 7 on the last day to have him eke past me the last time I had Harden, so with what I've learned since then combined with Wallace now having 5x 100 defense seasons, it just made the most sense. He went, along with Russell, Gobert, Jordan - all the guys I really wanted here. I don't particularly love Tyson's inconsistency of seasons (like - he has six really nice ones, but they are just all over the ******* place), but he was by far the best player available with the metric I was looking at. Despite that, there were five other guys I wanted to take here including Whiteside & KAT. I'm not crazy about Whiteside's lack of minutes, and KAT's lack of defense when I hadn't already gotten someone to cover for that, everything just pointed to Tyson despite me wanting to go elsewhere.

Verdict:



3. Shawn Marion - Easily the top player on the board by multiple metrics, yet I still was leaning heavily toward Ewing or Mourning for the usage + nice efg + nice defense. Boards were the thing that bothered me about both of those guys, though, since Marion gave me as many or more while playing the smaller position, and in several seasons gave me some decent threes... easy trigger pull here in what might be the biggest case of thievery in this draft.

Verdict:


4. Penny Hardaway - As mentioned earlier, I had many options and agonized over this for far too long. Ultimately, it came down to this: I regretted passing on him in a previous savage, and at this point, I decided my plan was to pick him up to start 2-3 seasons and try and grab MIkal Bridges before anybody suspected, as at this point Mikal was the top guard on my board when looking at 3-year peaks of lower usage guys. I still almost took MIkal here, but didn't. After messing around with as many builds as I did, I actually don't like this Penny pick at all. I think he has one elite season, one good season, and then a few seasons that are only halfway decent as backup seasons. All in all, I don't think he's worth a top 100 pick and should probably go around the end of round 5 / beginning of round 6.

Verdict:



5. Wes Unseld - I was all geared up to take Derrick Favors, but he went just before me. I almost took MIkal here and rolled the dice on Unseld making it back to me, and with his adp (especially recent adp), it looked like he would. However, as I learned the past two Savages I played in and in this Savage, dontburnearl seems to pick the guy I desperately want, as he has done with Jerry Lucas at least twice and another guy later in this very draft. By the five-year metrics, I had Unseld as easily the best player available (weird, huh?) when adjusting for usage, and he was desperately everything my team needed (with the exception of his **** defense). I pulled the trigger and have zero regrets - dude is going to play around 16k minutes for me. I was also looking really hard at Mitchell Robinson & Robert Williams, as they had better value per minute but over fewer seasons with waythefuck less minutes.

Verdict:


6. MIkal Bridges - It was time to pull the trigger here. His best two seasons are absurdly good value per minute, and his third is still really solid, yet after doing the amount of team builds I did, I wouldn't pick him again this early. His limited usage & assist at the guard spot felt incredibly restrictive when putting it all together. Still, he will give me exactly what I drafted him for, so there's that. Still, I almost passed him here and grabbed either Andrew Bynum, Bob McAdoo, or Bob Lanier, but since all three of them still existed + several other bigs I was happy with (see next pick), I went this way, much to future Ash's chagrin.

Verdict:

7. Dale Davis - So both Bobs went, but Davis was someone I was considering when I took Unseld, so it was kind of a no-brainer. At this point, he's starting on one squad and fills in beautifully behind Tyson Chandler on the other four. That would go down to three by the end of the draft, but still, this dude gives great value per minute, and getting him round seven felt really nice. I was starting to get scared about usage at this point, though, so I knew the next two picks had to give me solid usage behind Harden.

Verdict:


8. Terrell Brandon - By this point, I had a good idea how my players were falling together, and i knew that if I wanted to have even a chance at respectable assists on the two Mikal teams, I needed someone with a decent amount to back up the two big Harden assist seasons (which naturally paired with Mikal). I've always loved that one season - maybe the best tov% for a point guard in the entire season combined with decent defense, assists, and respectable 50.7% efg? - and he had several others that could fit here or there to fill a hole. I considered starting that aforementioned season, but I really needed it behind the 2500 minute Harden season, and I filled that hole later anyway.

Verdict:


9. Alex English - Other than progs, I have never used this guy before. I picked him because at this point, what I was lacking was usage & defense, specifically on 2 squads. I wrestled between him, Gervin, and Tobias here for longer than I care to admit. I went with English because a) he had the higher per-minute value & b) he had more assists - something I was glad I took. I like the one Tobias season more than any English season, and honesty, I liked 4 of Gervin's seasons to English's 3, but English just fit my team needs better while having the superior value per minute... it was really a no-brainer, even though I really can't stand using such a mid-focused scoring option, even if it's just for like 4500 minutes spread over three teams.

Verdict:


10. Hot Rod Williams - I hadn't picked a backup for Marion yet, and though there were guys available with slightly higher value per minute, none of them gave me the tier 4 usage Hot Rod did. He's not playing many minutes for me, but he 100% fit on every team and made every team better. I wanted to wait till round 11 and pick either Mel Daniels or Walt Bellamy here to maybe replace an Unseld season here or there / sure up depth, but when I looked at the last couple of Savages, people seemed to be picking up on Hot Rod, so I went ahead with it. I don't think the guy is honestly better than a 10th round pick, but he's an absofuckinglutely beautiful late 10th round pick for what he gives.

Verdict:


11. Fat Lever - Well, there went Mel Daniels, so that plan is gone. The more I looked at things, the more I thought that I could just wait and sure up those big minutes in round 12 with a player who had one or two decent seasons (and boy was I right, there were like seven dudes available to me in round 12 I could have went with but yeah), and Fat just gives so much value, albeit at a sacrifice of efg%. His elite season is starting one season for me, and another one that is close is playing major rotation minutes. Two more versions can come in if I need to switch things up to get more boards (when can't you use more boards?), but man, I was just super glad to welcome him back to the fold.

Verdict:


12. Gheorghe Muresan - I wanted Bellamy here (remember what I said about dontburnearl? I swear that guy is looking at the same **** I am) but he was long gone. There were several dudes that worked here, but that one season of Gheorghe just gave me so much of what I needed, and so yeah.

Verdict:



Conclusion: I'm winning this whole damn thing.
awesome stuff ash

completely agree about marion...hes a late 2nd rounder imo...just wish they would make him 100% at SF for all his seasons

shhhhh...stop praising unseld...i liked him so much better when i could get in the 7th

i wonder where dale davis would go if he had dreb closer to 25 than 20...such great value

youre wading into that gerry/price territory with hot rod haha
7/18/2022 3:09 PM
Posted by robusk on 7/18/2022 10:02:00 AM (view original):
After seeing the teams, I have ben, tarheel, chewy, and ncm ranked pretty highly, with ash earl, and jcred in a tier below them followed by dh and dbkc.
just what I needed, unrealistic expectations
7/18/2022 3:12 PM
This was supposed to be my best squad ever by the things that I measure. Now I feel like I have to sweat out even getting to the top ten.
7/18/2022 3:16 PM
Posted by dBKC on 7/18/2022 10:24:00 AM (view original):
I drafted a little differently than I normally do.
I decided I’d trade into the middle of the draft and just draft whoever falls every round for the first ~4 rounds, and then after drafting the BPA for 4 rounds, I’d draft for need for the next 8.

So BPA for 4 rounds, draft for need and make it work with the next 8.

1 (14th) - Karl Malone. This guy has been drafted as high as 3rd before (granted that was when the big 3 were banned, but that would still make him 6th) and usually goes around 10th or 12th. He provides 5 opportunities at the playoffs, and one really good season (96-97) that I feel good about winning a chip with. Good usage, good D, low TO/Fouls. High minutes. He can pass sometimes. Good building block.

2 - D Wade. I don’t love the fit with K Malone, but he’s way too good to still be around in the middle of the 2nd. Now I have the basis of a good defense, and Wade is flexible in being able to play PG or SG, which I can figure out later.

3 - Nash. Just like with my first two picks, he shouldn’t be around this late. The assists nerf didn’t affect non-state farm teams very much, his stock shouldn’t drop any if at all. Nash and Wade are a great pairing. This gives me a good source of 3s. I’m glad he dropped to me. I think I can make this work.

4 - Joakim Noah. This guy was the big faller this round and honestly he fits what I’m doing perfectly, so I get BPA and need here. I have PG/SG/PF, so I need SF and C. Here’s a guy who plays SFs 2 seasons and C 3. His high passing seasons will allow me to start Wade at PG (Nash 6th man) for a couple of seasons. His high D and rebounding (well, high when he’s a SF) are welcome additions. He has a 100 D season which means he and Wade will make life tough for opponents in one world…

Okay time to switch gears and draft for need.

PG: No need. I decided to draft no more PGs. Nash will get his full minutes in all 5 worlds and Wade will get the remainder of the PG minutes, sometimes as a starter at PG.

SG: medium need. Wade is great but will only play 2/3rds of his minutes at SG so I only have about 50% of my SG minutes.

SF: big need. I have 2 good Noah seasons, so I have about ~ 25% of my SF mins covered.

PF: small need. Malone plays about 38 minutes per game in all 5 worlds. Just need a good backup with usage.

C: big need. I have 3 Noah seasons, so I have about 40% of my C minutes covered.

Stats: I do not need usage. I do need 3s. I want as many rebounds and as much D as possible. Would like passing from C to help in my Wade at PG worlds when Noah is on the bench.

The result:

5 - Bogut. Felt like a reach but he and Noah combine to make a great C rotation that gives me passing and D. Bogut’s high FG% also makes me feel better about Noah’s low FG%

6 - Boucher. Low minutes but wowwwww he’s good when he’s on the court in a couple of seasons. I feel like if you were able to make a player out of Boucher’s seasons plus Noah’s 2 SF seasons, it’d be a late 2nd/early 3rd type of guy. Same with Bogut + Noah’s C seasons. So I feel like I traded my 4/5/6 for a late 2nd + early 3rd in a way.

recalibrate: now I have full minutes at PG and (mostly) C. Good minutes at SG/SF/PF. Time to draft an actual backup for the first time. Might as well get a 5 season guy to backup my first round pick.

7 - Kevin Love. He’s gonna play about 10 minutes per game as Karl’s backup in 4 seasons and….start at SF in one world with his new 100% SF 21-22 season. High usage Bucks Bogut will be Malone’s backup in that world. Love also helps with 3s and I can play with him at backup C if some of my teams aren’t winning. Always like the ability to tinker.

recalibrate: now I really just need a bunch of SG/SF minutes and maybe a C to play a few minutes in a few worlds.

8 - Jamario Moon
9 - James Johnson
10 - Bill Bridges
11 - Miles Bridges
12 - Joel Przybilla (sp?)

Boom.
PG: Wade/Nash
SG: Wade/JJ/Moon/M Bridges
SF: Boucher/Noah/B Bridges/Love
PF: Karl Malone/Love/Bogut
C: Noah/Bogut/Joel P
loved the recap format here dbkc

nash is right up there with marion as biggest steals of the 3rd...i should have picked him

i always forget noah plays sf...what a great flexible pick that was for your team

7/18/2022 3:17 PM
With the benefit of seeing schedule strength now, my new top 10:
1. benhoidal
2. tarheel1991
3. dh555
4. jcred5
5. dontburnearl
6. dbkc
7. ashamael
8 chewy3344
9. ncmusician
10. robusk

Bottom 4 in that list just have far too brutal of schedules. NotoriousJ and 20ks also look like they have pretty hardcore draws at a glance. amerk1180 might be a bit of a sleeper... decent draft and weak divisions. 24kpyrite always does well in Savage and has an absolute cakewalk division draw. he could easily work his way towards the top. Midge got a nice draw and is always underestimated. jhsukow right there. raggedclaws has been a terror to deal with always.
7/18/2022 3:28 PM (edited)
Posted by dh555 on 7/18/2022 3:17:00 PM (view original):
Posted by dBKC on 7/18/2022 10:24:00 AM (view original):
I drafted a little differently than I normally do.
I decided I’d trade into the middle of the draft and just draft whoever falls every round for the first ~4 rounds, and then after drafting the BPA for 4 rounds, I’d draft for need for the next 8.

So BPA for 4 rounds, draft for need and make it work with the next 8.

1 (14th) - Karl Malone. This guy has been drafted as high as 3rd before (granted that was when the big 3 were banned, but that would still make him 6th) and usually goes around 10th or 12th. He provides 5 opportunities at the playoffs, and one really good season (96-97) that I feel good about winning a chip with. Good usage, good D, low TO/Fouls. High minutes. He can pass sometimes. Good building block.

2 - D Wade. I don’t love the fit with K Malone, but he’s way too good to still be around in the middle of the 2nd. Now I have the basis of a good defense, and Wade is flexible in being able to play PG or SG, which I can figure out later.

3 - Nash. Just like with my first two picks, he shouldn’t be around this late. The assists nerf didn’t affect non-state farm teams very much, his stock shouldn’t drop any if at all. Nash and Wade are a great pairing. This gives me a good source of 3s. I’m glad he dropped to me. I think I can make this work.

4 - Joakim Noah. This guy was the big faller this round and honestly he fits what I’m doing perfectly, so I get BPA and need here. I have PG/SG/PF, so I need SF and C. Here’s a guy who plays SFs 2 seasons and C 3. His high passing seasons will allow me to start Wade at PG (Nash 6th man) for a couple of seasons. His high D and rebounding (well, high when he’s a SF) are welcome additions. He has a 100 D season which means he and Wade will make life tough for opponents in one world…

Okay time to switch gears and draft for need.

PG: No need. I decided to draft no more PGs. Nash will get his full minutes in all 5 worlds and Wade will get the remainder of the PG minutes, sometimes as a starter at PG.

SG: medium need. Wade is great but will only play 2/3rds of his minutes at SG so I only have about 50% of my SG minutes.

SF: big need. I have 2 good Noah seasons, so I have about ~ 25% of my SF mins covered.

PF: small need. Malone plays about 38 minutes per game in all 5 worlds. Just need a good backup with usage.

C: big need. I have 3 Noah seasons, so I have about 40% of my C minutes covered.

Stats: I do not need usage. I do need 3s. I want as many rebounds and as much D as possible. Would like passing from C to help in my Wade at PG worlds when Noah is on the bench.

The result:

5 - Bogut. Felt like a reach but he and Noah combine to make a great C rotation that gives me passing and D. Bogut’s high FG% also makes me feel better about Noah’s low FG%

6 - Boucher. Low minutes but wowwwww he’s good when he’s on the court in a couple of seasons. I feel like if you were able to make a player out of Boucher’s seasons plus Noah’s 2 SF seasons, it’d be a late 2nd/early 3rd type of guy. Same with Bogut + Noah’s C seasons. So I feel like I traded my 4/5/6 for a late 2nd + early 3rd in a way.

recalibrate: now I have full minutes at PG and (mostly) C. Good minutes at SG/SF/PF. Time to draft an actual backup for the first time. Might as well get a 5 season guy to backup my first round pick.

7 - Kevin Love. He’s gonna play about 10 minutes per game as Karl’s backup in 4 seasons and….start at SF in one world with his new 100% SF 21-22 season. High usage Bucks Bogut will be Malone’s backup in that world. Love also helps with 3s and I can play with him at backup C if some of my teams aren’t winning. Always like the ability to tinker.

recalibrate: now I really just need a bunch of SG/SF minutes and maybe a C to play a few minutes in a few worlds.

8 - Jamario Moon
9 - James Johnson
10 - Bill Bridges
11 - Miles Bridges
12 - Joel Przybilla (sp?)

Boom.
PG: Wade/Nash
SG: Wade/JJ/Moon/M Bridges
SF: Boucher/Noah/B Bridges/Love
PF: Karl Malone/Love/Bogut
C: Noah/Bogut/Joel P
loved the recap format here dbkc

nash is right up there with marion as biggest steals of the 3rd...i should have picked him

i always forget noah plays sf...what a great flexible pick that was for your team

Yeah, I was going to comment earlier. This format provides incredible insight.
7/18/2022 3:26 PM
My strength of schedule: 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, and 20th hardest divisions.

****.
Me.
7/18/2022 3:47 PM
Posted by ashamael on 7/18/2022 3:47:00 PM (view original):
My strength of schedule: 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, and 20th hardest divisions.

****.
Me.
How about:
1
2
3
7
8

I'll trade you.
7/18/2022 3:51 PM
Posted by robusk on 7/18/2022 3:51:00 PM (view original):
Posted by ashamael on 7/18/2022 3:47:00 PM (view original):
My strength of schedule: 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, and 20th hardest divisions.

****.
Me.
How about:
1
2
3
7
8

I'll trade you.
how are we in two of the hardest three divisions together? Fate is so cruel.
7/18/2022 3:58 PM
Regarding, SOS, I think just looking at the avg amount of wins in it doesn't tell the whole story. It doesn't look at the actual teams in it, and most importantly, one of the main reasons Robusk's divisions have a high win total is because of his success in savage - but he doesn't have to play himself.
7/18/2022 4:14 PM
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