Posted by thunder1008 on 11/13/2011 11:19:00 PM (view original):
I agree that Joss and Carter are the only pure cookies in the sense that they are just wrong priced in the SIM. Each should be priced over $1 million higher. There are a lot of players like Bip Roberts, Miguel Dilone, Omar Vizquel, Carney Lansford and HoJo who overperform offensively in the SIM but their defensive shortcomings and/or low number of PA's argue against increasing their price significantly. I don't think anyone believes that Miguel Dilone and Carney Lansford should cost $5.5 million or HoJo $6 million or Willie McGee $8 million unless you want to "tax" them out of popularity as cookies like Pinky May (how quickly we forget) or Tony Phillips, which is a separate discussion.
I have read compelling posts arguing that Mordecai Brown `08 should cost about $1 million more as well, but I don't really know how to do the ERA projections well enough to know whether this is true.
And let's not forget Charlie Hickman and Pinky Hargrave, whose prices should probably be increased by the largest percentage amount in the SIM (50-100%) to reflect their true value.
I used to think '08 Brown was ~$1M underpriced. Now, I am not so sure.
I have actually worked out a way to determine pitcher ERA performance in OLs based on # stats. However I am just now realizing the complexity of WIS salary structure. I can say with some confidence that Joss is among the top 2 pitching bargains in the sim. '09 Morgan is nearly as much of a value, tho obviously not as elite as Joss.