Standings thru 75 games

Rk	Lg#	Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	Exp.%
-----	-----	-----	-----	-----	-----	-----
1	1	Ash Burning on the Sisler	emanes10	47-28	0.627	0.649
2	1	Seven Edds and The Babe	footballmm11	47-28	0.627	0.542
3	2	Paint It Black	pedrocerrano	46-29	0.613	0.562
4	1	Babe Adams & Associates	schwarze	45-30	0.600	0.620
5	2	Range Factor	Bill_James47	43-32	0.573	0.628
6	1	Walter Johnson & Associates	schwarze	43-32	0.573	0.586
7	1	Big Ed Walsh & The Smokey Spuds	ronthegenius	43-32	0.573	0.583
8	2	Stocked with Trout	SteveIzzy	42-33	0.560	0.560
9	2	Sudden Death	ybjsports	42-33	0.560	0.514
10	2	Some Dingers, Mostly Whiffs	redcped	41-34	0.547	0.581
11	2	Sheff & Nomah	Dougsdawgs13	41-34	0.547	0.532
12	1	Red Rocks	ejstockman	41-34	0.547	0.525
13	2	Thome's Homies	toysboys	40-35	0.533	0.506
14	1	Tiny, Heinie Get Kiki in the Boudreau	redcped	39-36	0.520	0.590
15	2	Our one and only hope	BeAllEndAll	39-36	0.520	0.558
16	2	5 Alberts and Todd	kstober	39-36	0.520	0.551
17	2	The RAMS	richiebrown6	39-36	0.520	0.523
18	1	Five Robin Roberts Means Goodbye	SteveIzzy	39-36	0.520	0.491
19	1	Jimmies, Willies, Eddies, and an Arky	footballmm11	38-37	0.507	0.544
20	2	Vote for Pedro	footballmm11	38-37	0.507	0.541
21	1	Christy Mathewson & Associates	schwarze	38-37	0.507	0.531
22	2	Purple Haze	pedrocerrano	38-37	0.507	0.472
23	1	Dazed and Confused	pedrocerrano	37-38	0.493	0.556
24	1	The Wrong Lombardi	ybjsports	37-38	0.493	0.464
-----	-----	-----	-----	-----	-----	-----
25	2	That Guy in the Geico Commercials	redcped	36-39	0.480	0.512
26	2	Vida Blue & Associates	schwarze	36-39	0.480	0.487
27	1	The Ches-bros	barracuda3	36-39	0.480	0.470
28	2	Chico's Bail Bonds	barracuda3	36-39	0.480	0.464
29	2	Big Hurts and a Dinelson	footballmm11	36-39	0.480	0.453
30	2	Bob Gibson & Associates	schwarze	35-40	0.467	0.488
31	1	Stan the Man , Tris and Mr. Howell	kstober	35-40	0.467	0.479
32	2	Swing and a Miss	DarthDurron	35-40	0.467	0.465
33	1	Pistol Pete and the deadball dreamers	glowguy	35-40	0.467	0.452
34	1	Hypnotized	pedrocerrano	35-40	0.467	0.441
35	1	Karma Camillians	toysboys	35-40	0.467	0.439
36	1	Five Babes and Four Noodles	redcped	35-40	0.467	0.419
37	2	This Team Is All Right!	thejuice6	35-40	0.467	0.417
38	1	Honus Wagner & Associates	schwarze	34-41	0.453	0.491
39	2	Ron Guidry & Associates	schwarze	34-41	0.453	0.484
40	2	Jacob deGrom & Associates	schwarze	34-41	0.453	0.464
41	1	Into the Cryptic Mist	pedrocerrano	34-41	0.453	0.439
42	2	Sutton in the Seventies	barracuda3	34-41	0.453	0.433
43	2	Errors and Mistakes	Chisock	33-42	0.440	0.450
44	1	Alexander's Ragtime Band	barracuda3	33-42	0.440	0.414
45	1	Whirlpools & Eddies (Cicotte & Collins)	njbigwig	32-43	0.427	0.523
46	1	Lou, Charlie and Ducky	kstober	32-43	0.427	0.416
47	1	This Team Is (Fill In The Blank)	thejuice6	30-45	0.400	0.372
48	2	Diamond Juice	calhoop	28-47	0.373	0.354

Some notes:
- There are 22 teams above .500 and 2 more teams at 37-38. All those teams would advance as of now.
- There are 23 teams above .500 in Exp.% and 21 of those currently would advance. redcped has a .512 Exp.% but is currently the first team out at 36-39. njbigwig did something to upset the sim gods and is just 32-43 despite a .523 Exp.%. He's just 8-15 in 1-run games.
- Schwarze is correct on his bad luck so far. Just 45% in 1-run games and he's 2% lower in Actual Win% vs Exp. Given his 8 teams, that's over 12 wins below expectation. njbigwig is 7 wins below just with his one team. redcped is also 2% below expectation with 4 teams.
- Usually 1-run % is mostly luck, but my Seven Edds and The Babe team is clearly clutch and has figured out how to win close games. Our league-best 15-6 1-run record will not regress to the mean at all!
- Special shout out to emanes10 (Ash Burning on the Sisler), Bill_James47 (Range Factor) and schwarze (Babe Adams & Associates). All 3 are winning a lot (43+ wins) but also well clear of the field in Exp.% at .620 or better. Nobody else is above .590 Exp.%.
- Four more teams are between .580 and .590 and redcped has two of those (and another teams for schwarze in there too).

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	DraftPick	Record	Exp Win%	Playoff
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	---------------	----------	---------	----------	---------
1	Ash Burning on the Sisler	1	emanes10	10	56-34	0.653	1
2	Paint It Black	2	pedrocerrano	2	56-34	0.569	1
3	Seven Edds and The Babe	1	footballmm11	9	56-34	0.543	1
4	Babe Adams & Associates	1	schwarze	20	53-37	0.624	1
5	Walter Johnson & Associates	1	schwarze	2	52-38	0.590	1
6	Range Factor	2	Bill_James47	10	51-39	0.606	1
7	Sheff & Nomah	2	Dougsdawgs13	7	51-39	0.566	1
8	Tiny, Heinie Get Kiki in the Boudreau	1	redcped	16	50-40	0.611	1
9	Big Ed Walsh & The Smokey Spuds	1	ronthegenius	1	50-40	0.555	0
10	Some Dingers, Mostly Whiffs	2	redcped	16	49-41	0.565	1
11	The RAMS	2	richiebrown6	20	49-41	0.545	1
12	Sudden Death	2	ybjsports	8	49-41	0.506	1
13	Hypnotized	1	pedrocerrano	19	48-42	0.502	1
14	Vote for Pedro	2	footballmm11	1	47-43	0.521	0
15	Red Rocks	1	ejstockman	17	47-43	0.506	0
16	Jimmies, Willies, Eddies, and an Arky	1	footballmm11	23	46-44	0.551	1
17	Stocked with Trout	2	SteveIzzy	23	46-44	0.541	1
18	Thome's Homies	2	toysboys	9	46-44	0.496	0
19	Purple Haze	2	pedrocerrano	14	46-44	0.474	1
20	Our one and only hope	2	BeAllEndAll	6	45-45	0.547	0
21	Christy Mathewson & Associates	1	schwarze	5	45-45	0.518	1
22	Chico's Bail Bonds	2	barracuda3	4	45-45	0.477	0
23	Dazed and Confused	1	pedrocerrano	8	44-46	0.541	0
24	5 Alberts and Todd	2	kstober	18	44-46	0.530	0
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	---------------	----------	---------	----------	---------
25	Vida Blue & Associates	2	schwarze	22	44-46	0.525	0
26	Stan the Man , Tris and Mr. Howell	1	kstober	22	44-46	0.486	0
27	Big Hurts and a Dinelson	2	footballmm11	21	44-46	0.477	0
28	Five Robin Roberts Means Goodbye	1	SteveIzzy	4	44-46	0.458	0
29	Bob Gibson & Associates	2	schwarze	3	43-47	0.506	0
30	Into the Cryptic Mist	1	pedrocerrano	24	43-47	0.483	0
31	Swing and a Miss	2	DarthDurron	19	43-47	0.468	0
32	The Ches-bros	1	barracuda3	14	43-47	0.464	0
33	Karma Camillians	1	toysboys	6	43-47	0.454	0
34	Sutton in the Seventies	2	barracuda3	15	43-47	0.433	0
35	The Wrong Lombardi	1	ybjsports	13	42-48	0.451	0
36	Pistol Pete and the deadball dreamers	1	glowguy	18	42-48	0.441	0
37	This Team Is All Right!	2	thejuice6	24	42-48	0.423	0
38	Whirlpools & Eddies (Cicotte & Collins)	1	njbigwig	12	41-49	0.532	0
39	That Guy in the Geico Commercials	2	redcped	5	40-50	0.475	0
40	Ron Guidry & Associates	2	schwarze	11	40-50	0.463	0
41	Jacob deGrom & Associates	2	schwarze	17	40-50	0.446	0
42	Lou, Charlie and Ducky	1	kstober	11	40-50	0.426	0
43	Five Babes and Four Noodles	1	redcped	7	40-50	0.415	0
44	Honus Wagner & Associates	1	schwarze	21	39-51	0.463	0
45	Errors and Mistakes	2	Chisock	13	39-51	0.453	0
46	Diamond Juice	2	calhoop	12	38-52	0.391	0
47	Alexander's Ragtime Band	1	barracuda3	3	37-53	0.390	0
48	This Team Is (Fill In The Blank)	1	thejuice6	15	35-55	0.372	0

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	DraftPick	Record	Exp Win%
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	---------------	----------	---------	----------
1	Ash Burning on the Sisler	1	emanes10	10	66-38	0.648
2	Babe Adams & Associates	1	schwarze	20	62-42	0.629
3	Seven Edds and The Babe	1	footballmm11	9	62-42	0.521
4	Paint It Black	2	pedrocerrano	2	61-43	0.543
5	Range Factor	2	Bill_James47	10	60-44	0.615
6	Sheff & Nomah	2	Dougsdawgs13	7	59-45	0.565
7	Walter Johnson & Associates	1	schwarze	2	58-46	0.559
8	Big Ed Walsh & The Smokey Spuds	1	ronthegenius	1	58-46	0.555
9	Tiny, Heinie Get Kiki in the Boudreau	1	redcped	16	57-47	0.603
10	The RAMS	2	richiebrown6	20	57-47	0.544
11	Vida Blue & Associates	2	schwarze	22	55-49	0.558
12	Red Rocks	1	ejstockman	17	55-49	0.512
13	Sudden Death	2	ybjsports	8	55-49	0.487
14	Thome's Homies	2	toysboys	9	54-50	0.506
15	Purple Haze	2	pedrocerrano	14	54-50	0.473
16	Our one and only hope	2	BeAllEndAll	6	53-51	0.554
17	Jimmies, Willies, Eddies, and an Arky	1	footballmm11	23	53-51	0.548
18	Stocked with Trout	2	SteveIzzy	23	53-51	0.548
19	Dazed and Confused	1	pedrocerrano	8	52-52	0.548
20	Some Dingers, Mostly Whiffs	2	redcped	16	52-52	0.529
21	Bob Gibson & Associates	2	schwarze	3	52-52	0.518
22	Vote for Pedro	2	footballmm11	1	52-52	0.506
23	Into the Cryptic Mist	1	pedrocerrano	24	52-52	0.495
24	Big Hurts and a Dinelson	2	footballmm11	21	52-52	0.488
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	---------------	----------	---------	----------
25	Hypnotized	1	pedrocerrano	19	52-52	0.478
26	Whirlpools & Eddies (Cicotte & Collins)	1	njbigwig	12	51-53	0.560
27	Christy Mathewson & Associates	1	schwarze	5	51-53	0.518
28	Jacob deGrom & Associates	2	schwarze	17	51-53	0.492
29	Five Robin Roberts Means Goodbye	1	SteveIzzy	4	51-53	0.449
30	5 Alberts and Todd	2	kstober	18	50-54	0.523
31	Stan the Man , Tris and Mr. Howell	1	kstober	22	50-54	0.489
32	Swing and a Miss	2	DarthDurron	19	50-54	0.462
33	This Team Is All Right!	2	thejuice6	24	50-54	0.442
34	That Guy in the Geico Commercials	2	redcped	5	49-55	0.494
35	Chico's Bail Bonds	2	barracuda3	4	49-55	0.456
36	Pistol Pete and the deadball dreamers	1	glowguy	18	49-55	0.449
37	The Ches-bros	1	barracuda3	14	49-55	0.446
38	Honus Wagner & Associates	1	schwarze	21	48-56	0.485
39	Five Babes and Four Noodles	1	redcped	7	48-56	0.455
40	The Wrong Lombardi	1	ybjsports	13	48-56	0.446
41	Ron Guidry & Associates	2	schwarze	11	47-57	0.455
42	Sutton in the Seventies	2	barracuda3	15	47-57	0.420
43	Lou, Charlie and Ducky	1	kstober	11	46-58	0.427
44	Karma Camillians	1	toysboys	6	45-59	0.409
45	Diamond Juice	2	calhoop	12	44-60	0.413
46	Alexander's Ragtime Band	1	barracuda3	3	44-60	0.412
47	Errors and Mistakes	2	Chisock	13	42-62	0.418
48	This Team Is (Fill In The Blank)	1	thejuice6	15	41-63	0.385

There is very little correlation between draft pick and wins. The correlation coefficient is only +0.07. The difference in projected wins between pick #1 and pick #24 is 82.0 vs 80.0.

DraftPick	Wins	Losses	Rd 7	Winning%	Group of 4
-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
1	110	98	2	0.529	0.511
2	119	89	2	0.572
3	96	112	1	0.462
4	100	108	0	0.481
5	100	108	0	0.481	0.495
6	98	110	1	0.471
7	107	101	1	0.514
8	107	101	2	0.514
9	116	92	2	0.558	0.517
10	126	82	2	0.606
11	93	115	0	0.447
12	95	113	0	0.457
13	90	118	0	0.433	0.469
14	103	105	1	0.495
15	88	120	0	0.423
16	109	99	2	0.524
17	106	102	1	0.510	0.512
18	99	109	0	0.476
19	102	106	0	0.490
20	119	89	2	0.572
21	100	108	1	0.481	0.496
22	105	103	1	0.505
23	106	102	2	0.510
24	102	106	1	0.490

Scoring is about the same between the two leagues..
.

League	Seasons	Avg Runs	Rd 7
----------	--------------------	--------------	----------
1	1898-1960	5.48	10
2	1960-2023	5.55	14
----------	--------------------	--------------	----------
Average		5.51	24

I have 3 teams right on the edge of .500 and this is going to be a nervewracking last 50+ games.

Through 118 games, there is a negative correlation between 2+ run winning% and 1-run winning%. For every 25 points of 2+ run winning%, your expected 1-run win% drops by 5 points.

I'm sure that my eight teams have a big part of that, since my 2+ run record is 370-347 and my 1-run record is 105-122.

Among those with 2+ teams, here are the 1-run game W-L differentials.

pedrocerrano +14 (79-64)
thejuice6 +9 (34-25)
footballmm11 +8 (54-46)
ybjsports +4 (32-28)
kstober -1 (44-45)
toysboys -2 (23-25)
barracuda3 -2 (61-63)
SteveIzzy -3 (29-32)
redcped -10 (61-71)
schwarze -17 (105-122)

pedro is currently a perfect 5-for-5 with advancing his teams. He does hold the two very last spots and also has the two lowest Exp% among advancing teams currently, so we'll see if he can hold on!

This has been a very competitive round. Only 12 teams are at 7+ games above .500. There are 24 teams between 61 and 56 wins. Three of those 56-win teams are schwarze's and all have much better Exp%'s and 2-run G records, so we all know to watch out for him.

The top and bottom teams in 1-run win-loss difference. Note that the average Exp Win% of the best 1-run teams is .486 and the average Exp Win% of the worst 1-run teams is .503.
.

Rank	Team Name	Owner	Record	Act Win%	Exp Win%	1-Run W-L	1-Run Diff
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------------	---------	------------	----------	---------	---------
24	Dazed and Confused	pedrocerrano	58-60	0.492	0.541	12-20	-8
34	Honus Wagner & Associates	schwarze	56-62	0.475	0.485	11-19	-8
32	Christy Mathewson & Associates	schwarze	56-62	0.475	0.501	16-23	-7
22	Chico's Bail Bonds	barracuda3	59-59	0.500	0.485	11-17	-6
28	Some Dingers, Mostly Whiffs	redcped	57-61	0.483	0.517	11-17	-6
21	Jimmies, Willies, Eddies, and an Arky	footballmm11	59-59	0.500	0.548	9-14	-5
12	The RAMS	richiebrown6	62-56	0.525	0.532	12-16	-4
17	That Guy in the Geico Commercials	redcped	60-58	0.508	0.519	15-19	-4
37	Stan the Man , Tris and Mr. Howell	kstober	54-64	0.458	0.471	13-17	-4
48	Errors and Mistakes	Chisock	49-69	0.415	0.428	11-15	-4
	.
25	Our one and only hope	BeAllEndAll	58-60	0.492	0.529	13-9	4
29	Swing and a Miss	DarthDurron	57-61	0.483	0.459	14-10	4
44	Lou, Charlie and Ducky	kstober	52-66	0.441	0.426	19-15	4
46	This Team Is (Fill In The Blank)	thejuice6	51-67	0.432	0.415	19-15	4
1	Ash Burning on the Sisler	emanes10	77-41	0.653	0.647	14-9	5
19	Vote for Pedro	footballmm11	60-58	0.508	0.499	14-9	5
20	Into the Cryptic Mist	pedrocerrano	60-58	0.508	0.499	22-17	5
31	The Ches-bros	barracuda3	57-61	0.483	0.448	14-9	5
35	This Team Is All Right!	thejuice6	56-62	0.475	0.440	15-10	5
23	Hypnotized	pedrocerrano	59-59	0.500	0.464	16-9	7
15	Purple Haze	pedrocerrano	61-57	0.517	0.471	16-7	9
3	Seven Edds and The Babe	footballmm11	70-48	0.593	0.539	22-12	10

Rank	Team Name	League	Owner	DraftPick	Record	Exp Win%	Home
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	---------------	----------	---------	----------	---------
1	Ash Burning on the Sisler	1	emanes10	10	84-50	0.614	0.591
2	Babe Adams & Associates	1	schwarze	20	82-52	0.645	0.603
3	Seven Edds and The Babe	1	footballmm11	9	79-55	0.547	0.614
4	Big Ed Walsh & The Smokey Spuds	1	ronthegenius	1	78-56	0.586	0.586
5	Sheff & Nomah	2	Dougsdawgs13	7	77-57	0.567	0.609
6	Tiny, Heinie Get Kiki in the Boudreau	1	redcped	16	74-60	0.598	0.543
7	Vida Blue & Associates	2	schwarze	22	73-61	0.593	0.544
8	Range Factor	2	Bill_James47	10	73-61	0.590	0.515
9	Paint It Black	2	pedrocerrano	2	73-61	0.505	0.545
10	Purple Haze	2	pedrocerrano	14	72-62	0.489	0.530
11	The RAMS	2	richiebrown6	20	71-63	0.536	0.574
12	Walter Johnson & Associates	1	schwarze	2	71-63	0.512	0.561
13	Stocked with Trout	2	SteveIzzy	23	70-64	0.541	0.543
14	Thome's Homies	2	toysboys	9	70-64	0.527	0.471
15	Chico's Bail Bonds	2	barracuda3	4	70-64	0.506	0.514
16	Our one and only hope	2	BeAllEndAll	6	69-65	0.551	0.529
17	Sudden Death	2	ybjsports	8	69-65	0.495	0.456
18	Hypnotized	1	pedrocerrano	19	69-65	0.465	0.578
19	Dazed and Confused	1	pedrocerrano	8	68-66	0.529	0.515
20	Red Rocks	1	ejstockman	17	68-66	0.516	0.456
21	That Guy in the Geico Commercials	2	redcped	5	68-66	0.497	0.453
22	Swing and a Miss	2	DarthDurron	19	68-66	0.479	0.515
23	Whirlpools & Eddies (Cicotte & Collins)	1	njbigwig	12	67-67	0.548	0.531
24	Jimmies, Willies, Eddies, and an Arky	1	footballmm11	23	67-67	0.529	0.545
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	---------	---------------	----------	---------	----------	---------
25	Into the Cryptic Mist	1	pedrocerrano	24	67-67	0.506	0.486
26	Christy Mathewson & Associates	1	schwarze	5	66-68	0.507	0.500
27	Honus Wagner & Associates	1	schwarze	21	66-68	0.500	0.515
28	Vote for Pedro	2	footballmm11	1	66-68	0.476	0.500
29	Five Robin Roberts Means Goodbye	1	SteveIzzy	4	66-68	0.466	0.486
30	Some Dingers, Mostly Whiffs	2	redcped	16	65-69	0.522	0.514
31	Big Hurts and a Dinelson	2	footballmm11	21	65-69	0.493	0.516
32	Jacob deGrom & Associates	2	schwarze	17	64-70	0.455	0.438
33	Sutton in the Seventies	2	barracuda3	15	64-70	0.450	0.561
34	The Ches-bros	1	barracuda3	14	64-70	0.446	0.471
35	This Team Is All Right!	2	thejuice6	24	63-71	0.447	0.439
36	5 Alberts and Todd	2	kstober	18	62-72	0.511	0.438
37	Five Babes and Four Noodles	1	redcped	7	62-72	0.471	0.547
38	Diamond Juice	2	calhoop	12	62-72	0.459	0.500
39	Stan the Man , Tris and Mr. Howell	1	kstober	22	61-73	0.465	0.547
40	Pistol Pete and the deadball dreamers	1	glowguy	18	61-73	0.440	0.484
41	Bob Gibson & Associates	2	schwarze	3	60-74	0.485	0.439
42	The Wrong Lombardi	1	ybjsports	13	60-74	0.453	0.455
43	Ron Guidry & Associates	2	schwarze	11	58-76	0.425	0.400
44	Alexander's Ragtime Band	1	barracuda3	3	57-77	0.434	0.379
45	Karma Camillians	1	toysboys	6	57-77	0.421	0.453
46	This Team Is (Fill In The Blank)	1	thejuice6	15	57-77	0.413	0.424
47	Lou, Charlie and Ducky	1	kstober	11	57-77	0.413	0.338
48	Errors and Mistakes	2	Chisock	13	56-78	0.406	0.386