Posted by bheid408 on 11/3/2022 1:38:00 PM (view original):
I'm torned between a left-handed batter like Mathews who has poor range defensively verses a player who hits right-handed but had plus range. Does the lefty bat make up the difference for poorer defense?
I get a little hung up on L/R in these drafts, too. I just looked and approximately 1/4 of the P1-4 are lefties, and I'm not sure if that's about average or not but it gives us some point of reflection. If you were facing 50-50 pitching, it wouldn't matter who you drafted (skipping over switch hitters, obviously). If it's 75-25, then in approximately half your games you're facing what you'd get anyway in an even split, but now in the other half it's 100% righties instead of 50% as you'd get in an even split. So to me, it's only that 40 or so "extra" games against righties that tilt the scale, and I'm only talking about starters anyway. So that's maybe 120-150 PA extra that come into play. Do we know how many of those outcomes will be different because of handedness? Is it as high as 20%? Are we looking at maybe 10-20 extra or fewer hits over the course of the season? I really don't know, but it's one way of trying to look at it.
At the end of the day, I prefer a balanced lineup if possible. Sometimes in these drafts, it's just not. Does it change the course of your season? My instinct says it matters some, enough to weigh it in my decisions, but probably not enough to let it make me crazy either.