Posted by ozomatli on 7/28/2020 9:51:00 AM (view original):
In your case that's because your overall stats rank considerably worse than your tournament performance rank, and on top of that you've had a couple poor tournament finishes (mixed in with a couple good ones).
This year, you ranked 29th in past tournament results (which counted for 67% of your final "score"), but 54th in your overall stats rank (accounting for 32% of your score), and the final 1% was made up of your results over the last year. You'd find it pretty hard to convince me that 1% is too much of a bump to give someone for recent performance.
Yeah, it is the 54th overall stats rank which is 32% of the ranking that skews my pre-ranking lower than it probably should be each year. But then, I am an outlier to your formula and would be an even bigger one if you made past tournament results worth even less. But that doesn't mean you shouldn't change it. After all, I'm an outlier either way. Besides, pre-rankings are meaningless, it is the end result that counts.
For me, I use my pre-ranking as a baseline of what's the worse I should finish. If I finish at or below my pre-ranking, I know I under-performed expectations and probably drafted poorly. If I make the second round, I know I over-achieved based on my limited playing in the last 10 years not keeping me as sharp as I should be at knowing the best players at the different salary caps levels.
I would judge my true pre-ranking would be closer to 29th instead of 35th but somewhere in between. It is not the 1% from last year that is skewing my ranking but the 54th in overall stats (or the 32%) that causes me to be under-ranked. Over 90% of my overall stats are from over a decade ago. I learned the game, improved, won a couple of world series and stopped playing the game for a few years before jumping back in with a few theme leagues before jumping into the tournament 5-6 years ago. Because, I stopped playing just when I was getting good at the game, I didn't increase my win % over time. Since returning, I have only played a handful of seasons (maybe 5 or 6) outside of the WIS tournament the last 6 years. Since the WIS tournament has a higher level of competition, my overall win % has taken a hit from when I first came back. This is true even when I make the second round, since I struggle to get to .500 in the second round against the best of the best and their level of overall experience. I think when I returned my overall win percentage was about .525 and now it is down to .516 playing nearly exclusively in the tournament. So, my actual overall tournament results pull my rank up (29th) but, my overall tournament win % then pulls my rank down because it lowers my overall win % because I am currently playing exclusively in the WIS tournament. So in my case, and maybe only in my case, the pre-tournament ranking formula you use will under rank me and continue to under rank me, unless I start playing and then significantly play more open and theme leagues to get a truer overall win % against other competition.
7/28/2020 4:34 PM (edited)