"Improved" selection does not seem improved at all Topic

Posted by dacj501 on 12/4/2011 12:25:00 PM (view original):
margin of victory is not a very good metric in this game. Teams that can go uptempo are likely to outscore inferior foes by a larger margin than teams with a couple less players who play slow down. Head to head the teams may be very similar, but now the uptempo team has an advantage...
I won the season #45 DIII Naimsith NT, with an margin-of-victory of 2.3 ppg (68.6-66.3).    Including margin-of-victory in the selection criteria is a horrible concept
12/4/2011 2:38 PM
Posted by naturopath on 12/4/2011 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by seble on 12/4/2011 9:45:00 AM (view original):
I'll take a closer look at the logic using the Naismith data.  The move away from just using RPI was intentional though.  It's a limited metric of how good a team really is, and can be very misleading.  To me there's a big difference between winning/losing by 20+ points vs. winning/losing by 3 or 4 points.  Maybe there's a little too much weight on opponent strength.

I'll also see what I can do about spreading out teams from the same conference, but that's not easy to do when some conferences have 7 or 8 teams in.
My RPI 54 team at Cal in Naismith was 19-9. We beat NT-team UCLA twice, and had a better SOS than South Carolina, who at 17-11, had a worse SOS and a 77-RPI and made the national tourney.  I'm sorry seble, but something's wrong with the fix and it seems really $hitty to me, and I think you may have just lost a longtime HD customer in me.
I Agree.  I have 3 teams and I don't know if I want to renew them now.  I really don't like how it was dropped on us without giving us time to prepare for it.  I say scrap it for now ,explain it ,and then set a date when it will be implemented so you canprepare for it.
12/4/2011 2:47 PM
Theres a reason margin of victory is not a factor in real life beyond the impact it may have on the voter polls which do factor in. the transative property does not work in sports.
12/4/2011 2:49 PM
Posted by naturopath on 12/4/2011 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by seble on 12/4/2011 9:45:00 AM (view original):
I'll take a closer look at the logic using the Naismith data.  The move away from just using RPI was intentional though.  It's a limited metric of how good a team really is, and can be very misleading.  To me there's a big difference between winning/losing by 20+ points vs. winning/losing by 3 or 4 points.  Maybe there's a little too much weight on opponent strength.

I'll also see what I can do about spreading out teams from the same conference, but that's not easy to do when some conferences have 7 or 8 teams in.
My RPI 54 team at Cal in Naismith was 19-9. We beat NT-team UCLA twice, and had a better SOS than South Carolina, who at 17-11, had a worse SOS and a 77-RPI and made the national tourney.  I'm sorry seble, but something's wrong with the fix and it seems really $hitty to me, and I think you may have just lost a longtime HD customer in me.
Naturo, I would send a ticket and ask them to explain why SC made it over you.

Keep in mind that under the old system, you probably wouldn't have made it, either at 54 rpi and 3-6 vs the rpi top 50.

Does it look to me at first glance like you were more deserving than SC? Yes. Is this something that I think is even remotely worth quitting HD over? Hardly. But of course everyone has their own opinion and threshold there.
12/4/2011 4:13 PM
Like with potential, I think what may lead to quitting is implementation, not the actual result.
12/4/2011 4:17 PM
Posted by alblack56 on 12/4/2011 12:36:00 PM (view original):
Posted by mduncanhogs on 12/4/2011 10:47:00 AM (view original):
Posted by lwbraun on 12/4/2011 10:20:00 AM (view original):
Posted by rusticity on 12/4/2011 9:59:00 AM (view original):
ACC D1 has 4 in one region.
CAC D3 has 4,2,1,0 spread of it's 7 teams.
Freedom D3 has the 1 and 2 seed in the same region.
All projection report rankings have a predetermined seed and region.  You can look at that rank and figure out exactly where you will be in the bracket.  It appears nothing was changed for conference affiliation.
There has GOT to be something in the seeding logic to keep teams from the same conference from matching up too early in the tourney and there should NEVER be a 1 and 2 seed in the same bracket from the same conference with the only exception being if one conference has all four 1 seeds and at least one 2 seed.  In real life the selection committee does their very best to spread teams from the same conference out as much as they reasonably can.

I understand this can get tough in HD when some conferences get 6-8 teams into the NT, but this happens in real life too and the committee spreads them out.

Agree!  Very simple:  If you have 6 teams in the NT, place the four best in different regions.  Then place the other 2 so they can't meet a conference foe before the Sweet 16 or, preferably, the  Elite Eight.  I don't know how to program this but I don't recall it being an issue before the update.

Disclaimer: I'm the #2 seed in Naismith DIII. My conference mate is the #1 seed.

Very simple:  If you have 6 teams in the NT, place the four best in different regions.  Then place the other 2 so they can't meet a conference foe before the Sweet 16 or, preferably, the  Elite Eight.  I don't know how to program this but I don't recall it being an issue before the update.

This is how the NCAA does it. seble really needs to backout his code. This update is much, much worse.
12/4/2011 4:46 PM
Posted by luckyt on 12/4/2011 2:47:00 PM (view original):
Posted by naturopath on 12/4/2011 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by seble on 12/4/2011 9:45:00 AM (view original):
I'll take a closer look at the logic using the Naismith data.  The move away from just using RPI was intentional though.  It's a limited metric of how good a team really is, and can be very misleading.  To me there's a big difference between winning/losing by 20+ points vs. winning/losing by 3 or 4 points.  Maybe there's a little too much weight on opponent strength.

I'll also see what I can do about spreading out teams from the same conference, but that's not easy to do when some conferences have 7 or 8 teams in.
My RPI 54 team at Cal in Naismith was 19-9. We beat NT-team UCLA twice, and had a better SOS than South Carolina, who at 17-11, had a worse SOS and a 77-RPI and made the national tourney.  I'm sorry seble, but something's wrong with the fix and it seems really $hitty to me, and I think you may have just lost a longtime HD customer in me.
I Agree.  I have 3 teams and I don't know if I want to renew them now.  I really don't like how it was dropped on us without giving us time to prepare for it.  I say scrap it for now ,explain it ,and then set a date when it will be implemented so you canprepare for it.
I'm asking because I really don't know -- how would you have prepared differently for it?
12/4/2011 4:49 PM
Posted by girt25 on 12/4/2011 4:49:00 PM (view original):
Posted by luckyt on 12/4/2011 2:47:00 PM (view original):
Posted by naturopath on 12/4/2011 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by seble on 12/4/2011 9:45:00 AM (view original):
I'll take a closer look at the logic using the Naismith data.  The move away from just using RPI was intentional though.  It's a limited metric of how good a team really is, and can be very misleading.  To me there's a big difference between winning/losing by 20+ points vs. winning/losing by 3 or 4 points.  Maybe there's a little too much weight on opponent strength.

I'll also see what I can do about spreading out teams from the same conference, but that's not easy to do when some conferences have 7 or 8 teams in.
My RPI 54 team at Cal in Naismith was 19-9. We beat NT-team UCLA twice, and had a better SOS than South Carolina, who at 17-11, had a worse SOS and a 77-RPI and made the national tourney.  I'm sorry seble, but something's wrong with the fix and it seems really $hitty to me, and I think you may have just lost a longtime HD customer in me.
I Agree.  I have 3 teams and I don't know if I want to renew them now.  I really don't like how it was dropped on us without giving us time to prepare for it.  I say scrap it for now ,explain it ,and then set a date when it will be implemented so you canprepare for it.
I'm asking because I really don't know -- how would you have prepared differently for it?
Scheduling.   I would of done my schedule different.
12/4/2011 4:56 PM
Posted by luckyt on 12/4/2011 4:56:00 PM (view original):
Posted by girt25 on 12/4/2011 4:49:00 PM (view original):
Posted by luckyt on 12/4/2011 2:47:00 PM (view original):
Posted by naturopath on 12/4/2011 2:32:00 PM (view original):
Posted by seble on 12/4/2011 9:45:00 AM (view original):
I'll take a closer look at the logic using the Naismith data.  The move away from just using RPI was intentional though.  It's a limited metric of how good a team really is, and can be very misleading.  To me there's a big difference between winning/losing by 20+ points vs. winning/losing by 3 or 4 points.  Maybe there's a little too much weight on opponent strength.

I'll also see what I can do about spreading out teams from the same conference, but that's not easy to do when some conferences have 7 or 8 teams in.
My RPI 54 team at Cal in Naismith was 19-9. We beat NT-team UCLA twice, and had a better SOS than South Carolina, who at 17-11, had a worse SOS and a 77-RPI and made the national tourney.  I'm sorry seble, but something's wrong with the fix and it seems really $hitty to me, and I think you may have just lost a longtime HD customer in me.
I Agree.  I have 3 teams and I don't know if I want to renew them now.  I really don't like how it was dropped on us without giving us time to prepare for it.  I say scrap it for now ,explain it ,and then set a date when it will be implemented so you canprepare for it.
I'm asking because I really don't know -- how would you have prepared differently for it?
Scheduling.   I would of done my schedule different.
Right, I get that part. I'm just wondering how you think it would behoove you to change your schedule based on this change.
12/4/2011 6:55 PM
I wonder whether this change means that I should uncheck the use of backups on my game plan - maybe try to run it up a bit more?
12/4/2011 7:06 PM
Posted by metsmax on 12/4/2011 7:06:00 PM (view original):
I wonder whether this change means that I should uncheck the use of backups on my game plan - maybe try to run it up a bit more?
Exactly.  Huge problem.  This really hinders development.  I'm not planning on letting backups play anymore, which means less player will reach their potential.  I can't imagine that was an intended consequence.
12/4/2011 7:11 PM
Posted by isack24 on 12/4/2011 7:11:00 PM (view original):
Posted by metsmax on 12/4/2011 7:06:00 PM (view original):
I wonder whether this change means that I should uncheck the use of backups on my game plan - maybe try to run it up a bit more?
Exactly.  Huge problem.  This really hinders development.  I'm not planning on letting backups play anymore, which means less player will reach their potential.  I can't imagine that was an intended consequence.
Yep, now you have a real decision to make - beat the Sims by seventy?  Or get your backups time?
12/4/2011 7:13 PM
1) Margin of victory should be included, but BARELY.  I don't like the idea of it being included, but it obviously is targeted to include "good losses." Also, this tends to favor press teams or teams that play faster.
2) There should be big bonuses for beating the very good teams, say top 10 or 15 RPI teams, those are the "signature wins" we have in real life.  
3) There should be more emphasis on wins.
4) With a few minor tweaks, this system will be much better than the old system because it will actually encourage good teams to play other good teams as opposed to just playing road games against bad teams.  
12/4/2011 7:21 PM

Does it take into account your margin of victory for the season as a whole or on a pergame basis? Because I really don't want to run up the score too much on guys in my conference who are in rebuild mode when im a Top25 team. I want to give my backups PT and have it a 15-20pt win instead of a 30-50point win.

12/4/2011 7:24 PM
there are too many variables to include margin of victory AT ALL.  not only does it matter what you do as far as not playing your backups and going uptempo, but it will also matter what the other coaches do when you play them...are they playing their backups when the game gets out of hand, or no?  do they go slowdown or no? 

granted if you win all your games, it won't matter, but theres a reason they dont look at margin of victory in the real world.  not that i'm trying to turn this into "WIS needs to mimic real life" because that's not it either, it's just that in this instance there are way too many variables at play that make it a misleading stat that shouldn't have any bearing on whether a team gets into the NT or not.
12/4/2011 7:36 PM
◂ Prev 1|2|3|4|5...7 Next ▸
"Improved" selection does not seem improved at all Topic

Search Criteria

Terms of Use Customer Support Privacy Statement

© 1999-2026 WhatIfSports.com, Inc. All rights reserved. WhatIfSports is a trademark of WhatIfSports.com, Inc. SimLeague, SimMatchup and iSimNow are trademarks or registered trademarks of Electronic Arts, Inc. Used under license. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.