I've got too much time on my hands...

Just went through the latest list (32 games) and if my computations are correct, this is what I figured as far as where each franchise was sitting at that time:

If you picked the 1800's Orioles team, the Marlins team or the Diamondbacks team, you did well - they are 1 for one as far as being above the 360 cut-off.

If you picked a Padres or Expos/Nationals team, you did VERY well - all five of the Padres teams and all seven of the Expos/Nationals teams are above the cut-off.

Other than those, the top five franchises at the point were:

The Chicago White Sox - 17 of 19 are above the cut-off (89%)
The Chicago Cubs/Orphans/Colts/White Stockings - 20 of 24 are above the cut-off (83%)
The Houston Astros/Colt .45's - 9 of 11 are above the cut-off (82%)
The Cleveland Indians/Naps/Blues/Guardians - 21 of 26 are above the cut-off (81%)
The Seattle Mariners - 4 of 5 are above the Cut-off (80%)

Also above the cut-off and slightly below the above teams, you have:

The Brooklyn/Los Angeles Dodgers - 31 of 39 are above the cut-off (79%)
The St. Louis Cardinals/Perfectos/Browns - 30 of 39 are above the cut-off (77%)
The Philadelphia Phillies/Blue Jays/Quakers - 18 of 24 are above the cut-off (75%)
The Boston Red Sox/Americans - 30 of 41 are above the cut-off (73%)
The Baltimore Orioles/St. Louis Browns - 10 of 14 are above the cut-off (71%)
The New York/San Francisco Giants - 31 of 45 are above the cut-off (69%)

The next ten, just below the threshold:

The Pittsburgh Pirates/Allegheny's (67%)
The Kansas City Royals (67%)
The Milwaukee Brewers/Seattle Pilots (67%)
The Minnesota Twins/Washington Senators (64%)
The Toronto Blue Jays (63%)
The Detroit Tigers (62%)
The Boston/Milwaukee/Atlanta Braves/Bees/Doves/Beaneaters (59%)
The Cincinnati Reds/Red Stockings (58%)
The New York Yankees/Highlanders (51%)
The Los Angeles/California/Anaheim Angels (50%)

The bottom six franchises:

The Oakland/Kansas City/Philadelphia Athletics (47%)
The Texas Rangers/Washington Senators (40%)
The New York Mets (29%)
The Colorado Rockies, The Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Spiders each have one team in the tournament and all three are below the threshold.


If you selected a Chicago-area team in this round, you should be sitting pretty good. The surprise to me are the Yankees and the Athletics - who would've figured?

I'm surprised that the Padres are doing so well. They're not a franchise that I would've considered, but looking at the teams they're legit so that shows what I know...

Thru the 39-game mark, there have been 12 games of interleague played. The NL is 1666-1502 for a winning percentage of .526.

I checked my 31 teams.

Intraleague
22 NL teams went 338-256 vs other NL teams (.569)
10 AL teams went 148-95 vs other AL Teams (.609)

Interleague
22 NL teams went 156-108 vs AL teams (.591) --> a difference of +.022
10 AL teams went 58-50 vs NL Teams (.537) --> a difference of -.072

So, there is clearly a trend starting to show.

We're only 50% thru the interleague games.

Here's another table that might be of some interest. I recorded how many years each team got to pull from. For example, the 1964-83 White Sox had 20 years. The 2015-20 Dodgers had only 6 years. The average team got 16.5 years to work with. Instead of showing every possible number of years between 6 and 61, I grouped them, somewhat arbitrarily. It's pretty clear from this chart that the more seasons to choose from, the better the team.
.

Years	Teams	Win%
---------------	----------	------------
6	77	0.465
7-8	59	0.478
9-10	62	0.482
11-13	66	0.527
14-16	55	0.495
17-19	53	0.506
20-24	52	0.509
25-30	46	0.526
31-40	35	0.521
41-61	23	0.538

Here are the partial standings (teams with winning% of .667 or better). You can see that only one team with 6 years cracks the top 28.
.

Rank	Team Name	Leag	Owner	Pick#	Years	W-L	Exp Win%
--------	-----------------------------------------------------	-------	-------------------	----------	----------	-------------	------------
1	1964-83 Chicago White Sox (Horlen)	12	schwarze	19	20	30-9	0.722
2	1980 - 2014 Royals (Brett)	16	pedrocerrano	5	35	30-9	0.718
3	1971 - 1996 Cardinals	14	thejuice6	1	26	29-10	0.686
4	1989-2001 Giants	18	barracuda3	17	13	29-10	0.650
5	Juice 4 Cubs 1909-18	4	joerat1	23	10	28-11	0.656
6	1981-01 Houston Astros (Bagwell)	16	schwarze	1	21	27-12	0.748
7	.L07 1929-69 phil/kc/oak a's	7	3dayrotation	11	41	27-12	0.706
8	1887 - 1899 Browns/Perfectos (O'Neill)	1	pedrocerrano	7	13	27-12	0.688
9	San Francisco Giants (2000-2009)	20	darny10	2	10	27-12	0.688
10	1942-1949 New York Yankees	9	glowguy	6	8	27-12	0.687
11	2005-2022 Verlander and the Blastros	21	d_rock97	5	18	27-12	0.670
12	Juice 22 Dodgers 2006-16	22	joerat1	4	11	27-12	0.670
13	2009-17 Red Sox	22	nocomm999	23	9	27-12	0.651
14	1981-12 Double Raines Expos/Nats	16	ronthegenius	2	32	27-12	0.647
15	1950 - 1978 Philadelphia Phillies	10	kstober	12	29	27-12	0.626
16	1978-94 Kansas City Royals (Brett)	15	schwarze	1	17	27-12	0.622
17	1994-2017 Expos/Nats at Olympic	19	spinaldog	9	24	27-12	0.583
18	1906-1918 Napping Naps with an extra Nap	3	d_rock97	10	13	26-13	0.698
19	1903-15 Boston Americans (Speaker)	3	schwarze	22	13	26-13	0.665
20	1931 - 1971 Athletics	7	thejuice6	1	41	26-13	0.659
21	Bigwig's - Athletics (1928-1948)	6	njbigwig	6	21	26-13	0.656
22	1967-1992 Twin City Cupcakes	13	bigsteve12	24	26	26-13	0.648
23	1985 - 1995 Reds	17	thejuice6	22	11	26-13	0.646
24	1956 - 1977 Red Sox (Yastrzemski)	11	pedrocerrano	15	22	26-13	0.642
25	1907-19 CLEVELAND NAPS/INDIANS	3	oldtimer59	14	13	26-13	0.626
26	1903-08 Pittsburgh Pirates (Wagner)	2	redcped	22	6	26-13	0.621
27	1921-1939 Indians	6	barracuda3	15	19	26-13	0.593
28	1938-72 Cubs	8	nocomm999	11	35	26-13	0.561

Here is a chart that shows the average runs per team, per game... for each league. Not surprisingly, league 1 easily has the most scoring. And league 22 has the least.
.

League	Median Yr	Avg Runs	Rank
----------	--------------	-------------	----------
1	1896	7.32	1
2	1907	5.27	17
3	1911	5.16	18
4	1920	5.55	12
5	1928	5.76	6
6	1930	6.45	2
7	1936	5.83	4
8	1944	5.71	7
9	1950	5.59	10
10	1956	5.98	3
11	1962	5.42	14
12	1969	4.90	21
13	1975	4.93	20
14	1979	5.09	19
15	1983	5.61	9
16	1991	5.55	11
17	1994	5.31	16
18	1998	5.43	13
19	2002	5.65	8
20	2007	5.79	5
21	2010	5.34	15
22	2016	4.87	22
Average		5.57

Thru 40 games, a record of 19-21 would be good enough to advance to round 2. Only a few 18-22 records would advance. Remember, 68.2% of the teams advance (360 / 528). Here is the number of teams at each win total.
.

Wins	Teams	%Total	Cumul%
-----------	-----------	----------------	------------
31	2	0.4%	0.4%
30	1	0.2%	0.6%
29	2	0.4%	0.9%
28	7	1.3%	2.3%
27	12	2.3%	4.5%
26	12	2.3%	6.8%
25	24	4.5%	11.4%
24	39	7.4%	18.8%
23	51	9.7%	28.4%
22	43	8.1%	36.6%
21	54	10.2%	46.8%
20	47	8.9%	55.7%
19	56	10.6%	66.3%
18	42	8.0%	74.2%
17	34	6.4%	80.7%
16	29	5.5%	86.2%
15	28	5.3%	91.5%
14	17	3.2%	94.7%
13	14	2.7%	97.3%
12	4	0.8%	98.1%
11	2	0.4%	98.5%
10	5	0.9%	99.4%
9	3	0.6%	100.0%

The interleague play really took a toll on the AL teams...
.

Pick#	Wins	Losses	Rd 2	Win%	Division
-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
1	499	381	19	0.567	0.516
2	463	417	17	0.526
3	429	451	16	0.488
4	424	456	13	0.482
5	470	410	21	0.534	0.501
6	419	461	11	0.476
7	451	429	15	0.513
8	424	456	14	0.482
9	444	436	17	0.505	0.507
10	427	453	14	0.485
11	472	408	18	0.536
12	440	440	14	0.500
13	450	430	17	0.511	0.507
14	450	430	17	0.511
15	455	425	16	0.517
16	431	449	16	0.490
17	413	467	12	0.469	0.483
18	432	448	14	0.491
19	437	443	12	0.497
20	418	462	15	0.475
21	434	446	16	0.493	0.486
22	434	446	12	0.493
23	441	439	13	0.501
24	403	477	11	0.458

Thru 40 games, here is the expected wins table, using the regression formula (correlation coefficient now +0.10). This chart shows that the difference between NL and AL is about 2.6 wins over the course of 162 games. And the difference between picking first and last in the respective league is worth about 4.6 wins.
.

Pick		ExpWins___	Per162
1		20.9	84.6
2		20.8	84.1
3		20.7	83.7
4		20.6	83.3
5		20.5	82.9
6		20.4	82.5
7		20.3	82.0
8		20.2	81.6
9		20.1	81.2
10		19.9	80.8
11		19.8	80.4
12		19.7	80.0
13		20.3	82.0
14		20.2	81.6
15		20.1	81.2
16		19.9	80.8
17		19.8	80.4
18		19.7	80.0
19		19.6	79.5
20		19.5	79.1
21		19.4	78.7
22		19.3	78.3
23		19.2	77.9
24		19.1	77.4

Top 25 owners (min 3 teams), using actual wins over expected wins (given pick#).
.

Owner	Teams	Wins	Win%	ExpWins	Diff/Tm
-----------------------	-------------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
pedrocerrano	12	284	0.592	241	3.6
barracuda3	13	298	0.573	257	3.2
d_rock97	7	162	0.579	140	3.2
schwarze	31	721	0.581	633	2.8
nocomm999	7	157	0.561	140	2.5
beallendall	12	263	0.548	243	1.7
redcped	10	213	0.533	197	1.6
crazyamos	3	63	0.525	59	1.4
njbigwig	7	151	0.539	142	1.3
ybjsports	6	127	0.529	120	1.2
kstober	20	424	0.530	402	1.1
dougsdawgs13	4	82	0.513	78	0.9
footballmm11	16	328	0.513	313	0.9
ribbentrop	11	228	0.518	219	0.8
emanes10	4	81	0.506	78	0.8
nordawg	5	101	0.505	97	0.7
joerat1	10	209	0.523	202	0.7
ronthegenius	5	105	0.525	102	0.6
jtpsops	8	161	0.503	157	0.4
oldtimer59	13	263	0.506	257	0.4
toysboys	18	367	0.510	360	0.4
farleyfustle	3	61	0.508	60	0.4
steveizzy	7	142	0.507	140	0.3
thejuice6	30	612	0.510	607	0.2
mllama54	14	280	0.500	281	0.0

Same chart, but for those win 1-2 teams...
.

Owner	Teams	Wins	Win%	ExpWins	Diff/Tm
-----------------------	-------------	-----------	-----------	-----------	-----------
bagchucker3	1	25	0.625	20	5.1
spinaldog	2	49	0.613	40	4.4
dufferman	2	46	0.575	39	3.5
pubdog	1	22	0.550	20	2.3
tokerbob42	1	22	0.550	20	2.2
darny10	2	42	0.525	41	0.7

Posted by schwarze on 11/22/2022 7:47:00 PM (view original):
Here's another table that might be of some interest. I recorded how many years each team got to pull from. For example, the 1964-83 White Sox had 20 years. The 2015-20 Dodgers had only 6 years. The average team got 16.5 years to work with. Instead of showing every possible number of years between 6 and 61, I grouped them, somewhat arbitrarily. It's pretty clear from this chart that the more seasons to choose from, the better the team.
.

Years	Teams	Win%
---------------	----------	------------
6	77	0.465
7-8	59	0.478
9-10	62	0.482
11-13	66	0.527
14-16	55	0.495
17-19	53	0.506
20-24	52	0.509
25-30	46	0.526
31-40	35	0.521
41-61	23	0.538

This one is NO surprise to me at all and in fact why I picked the team I did. If a team was really good for 6-10 years, it probably had 3-4 core guys that were solid year over year. When you have a spread of 25 years...the chances of getting 3-4 ELITE player years are much better. I may not Win but having nearly 30 Cubs years has many MVP caliber years. Sosas monster HR year (no I am not expecting 60 hrs against 60s/70s pitchers) but Dawson, Kingmans huge years, along w/ Billy Williams, Sandbergs, Sutter prime, a lot of stars. I just do not think the 80s/90s match up well with the workhorses of 60s and early 70s,...otherwise, a monster. Im just hoping to finish .500, Another odd stat, Im 22-21 but have already been swept 4 times amounting to 12 losses against you guessed it 60/70s pitching strong teams like Dodgers/Orioles and even the 70s Yankees...haha.

I have 11 Teams and am enjoying every Box Score Frame of it (when I have the time to read such) ... Thought I would mention my Team Notes as with time as the essence I have what seems to be important at the moment ...

1979–2014 Pittsburgh Pirates Bank One

Theme

MLB135801

15-28

3rd Place

I click on the W-L Column for my now ridiculous 27 Teams with Pembroke Country Day 115 waiting for the Division Series to Begin in the New Open ...

1979–2014 Pittsburgh Pirates Bank One

is my worst and Notes Read : --- 11/24 AM --- !!! Have 1982 Larry McWilliams as Long A 10 95 "5" and Bibby and DeLeon Long B ... All 5 SP Now TPC 60 "5" ... Watch Stolen Bases ... 1688.7 IP per 162 Games ... $131,944,956 ... MLB135801 League 16 1979–2014 Pittsburgh Pirates

I always use exclusively RHS and LHS for Relief but when I have a non-performing SP I might stick him as Long A or B as may be the case here with abundant IP/162 ... What is interesting is that you are not really supposed to mix RHS and LHS with anything else but MopUp ... Invariably Long A comes in Second to Pitch so purposely do this to experiment or "wing" it ... Micawber Esquire etc ...