Quote: Originally Posted By zhawks on 12/21/2009
LOL I love it dalt!
That said colonels you should know that judging anything based on overall is very misleading at best.
I think you are overanalyzing. He's saying ratings and settings are 100% responsible for an outcome and that all things equal higher rated team is tougher to beat. Take that to mean overall or core ratings, it doesn't matter, but what he's saying is that it's tougher, all other things equal, to beat a team with guards who have 99 speed rather than 85 speed, irrespective of what their RPI numbers are. He's saying the outcome is math.
That said, since there are so many rating systems out there (Sagarin, Pomeroy, RPI and others) why not plug the formula's in for several and let us see them all--kind of like how CBB has various polls (RPI, Pomeroy, Sagarin, coaches poll, AP and USA Today).
And most definately, more than in real life, margin of victory should be taken into account because there are no subjective factors that come into play in HD. IRL there are factors like "letting up" when a team has a big lead---or if a team has already clinched and isn't playing for anything. In HD, it's a bunch of numbers and 2+2 always adds up to 4 when there is no human factors at work.