MIKEE1 EVALUATION
Executive Summary:
Great draft spot, underperforming expectations. I got the impression you drafted players that based on your experience in regular draft leagues are normally good picks. And if this was a normal draft league you'd have a great team. Wilt (66-67), Marion (06-07), Parish (80-81), Porter (90-91), Marvin Williams (15-16). Those are all great player-seasons. But having to choose 5 seasons deep of these players with seasons you are less familiar with led to some slip ups. You used several lesser quality seasons of several of your draft picks (Parish, Marion) which watered down otherwise good draft picks. Also, several players like Terry Porter, Marvin Williams and Jameer Nelson have one or two standout seasons, but the quality drops off quite a bit in the other seasons.
The DRAFT
1. Wilt Chamberlain - Seems like a no brainer pick at the 2 spot, but which 5 seasons to pick is not a no brainer. Wilt is a hard player to draft around in this league, because depending which seasons you pick, Early Wilt, Middle Wilt, and Late Wilt are different players when it comes to building around usage. The first 3 seasons to pick are clear in '67, '68, and '69 (Middle Wilt)... but after that.. do you decide to go for higher usage lower efficiency with '64 and '65 (Early Wilt), or lower usage higher efficiency with '72 and '73 (Late Wilt)? I wouldn't fault you for either. It's two different strategies that require two different drafting approaches and really depends who you get as scorers in later rounds. It's certainly easier to choose '64 and '65 and get your usage early so you don't have to worry about it later, and if you choose '72 and '73 you have to contend with one position only bringing you 1/2 point of team usage. I think you chose wisely with 64 and 65 because I like to secure my usage early. However, it still poses a drafting challenge because now you have 3 teams with Wilt usage in the 18-20% range and 2 teams with Wilt usage >26%. These would get two different types of complementary players.
2. Shawn Marion - Getting the Matrix this far into the 2nd round is a good pickup. I almost always only play him at SF even if they are 99, 98, or even 97% out of position, which you are doing as well. Instead of the 02-03 season, I would have gone with $6M 07-08 season and played him 97% at SF. 97% is as low as I go for playing players out of position. Less minutes at 97% of 07-08 is still better than more minutes of 02-03 at 100%.
3. Robert Parish - Getting Parish this far into the 3rd round is a good pickup too, especially considering you need scoring in some seasons to fill out some of your lower usage Wilt seasons. However, drafting 89-90 over 88-89 was a mistake. 89-90 has more minutes, better rebounding, and more DEF.
4. Terry Porter - Early 4th round pick is very early for Terry Porter. He really only has one season in 90-91 that is worth drafting in the 4th round. His other seasons are 5th round. His 91-92 season doesn't meet my quality standard and isn't draftable IMO. I would rather draft 99-00 to get 3% more REB, 2.6% more efg% with better and more perimeter shooting and still get 2 points of team usage. Fewer minutes, but better quality.
5. Kemba Walker – You already know this, but this is not a 5th round pick. He only has 2 seasons that I consider usable. ’16 and ’20. If you’re looking for a guard who gives some usage, then Mike Conley was still available who has 3-4 good seasons. As a rule of thumb: By round 5 you should be drafting players who give you between 80 and 130 total minutes. If you’re drafting a player who across 5 seasons is giving you 150-160 minutes, then you probably aren’t drafting a quality player in round 5 because players who give 160 minutes of solid contribution are already gone by round 5.
6. Jonas Valanciunas – I like this pick. 5 seasons totaling 104 minutes…all usable quality minutes. And you chose the right 5 seasons.
7. Marvin Williams – One standout season in 15-16, then it drops off. In this case, the selection doesn’t hurt you because I like him at SG which is how you’re using him in 3 leagues. I only like his 15-16 season at SF so I don’t think I would have used his 17-18 or 18-19 seasons. I would have used ’09 and ’20 instead at SG. And I think I would have gone with ’12 instead of ’14 to help balance out usage better. SIM substitutions that create usage deficiencies are killer.
8. Antonio McDyess – McDyess has 3 good seasons (‘07 at PF) (’09 at PF) (’98 at SF) and then it drops off. You only used one of them (’98) so I guess you were trying to fill SF minutes. The other 4 seasons you used are below my quality standards even for SF. I might have gone for Larry Nance Jr here instead.
9. Chris Gatling – Heavy on fouls, but not a bad pickup for late round 9.
10. Jameer Nelson – Again, one standout season in ’09, then a dropoff in usable quality seasons. There are two other good seasons in ’06, ’08. Those are the only season’s that I would play any significant minutes.
11. Boban Marjanovic – Another good pickup. Limited minutes, but ’16, ’17, and ’19 are quality seasons.
12. Hot Rod Williams – This is a sneaky good pickup for 12th round. He’s a PF that you can play at SF. I don’t really like him at PF because his DREB is too low, but he’s got one really good season ’92 and another pretty good season ’89 both of which can be used at SF.
TEAM STRUCTURE – It looks like you tried to put most of your best players on one team in World 1, but ran into some stiff divisional competition with amerk’s best team and dBKC. ’81 Parish instead of ’82 along with ‘09 Jameer instead of ‘08 might have put this team on top in World 1. However, focusing on 2 or 3 teams with all your best players would be your best strategy, because you can’t win the Savage crown by just winning one league. Try not to focus on drafting guys who have one standout season if you want all 5 teams to make the playoffs.
12/12/2020 2:53 PM (edited)