Quote: Originally posted by girt25 on 6/14/2010There are still way too many extreme results. Here's the home-and-home that just happened with UNC-Miami in Allen, going from a 25-pt win for one team to a 37-pt win for the other. That's right -- a 62-pt swing.Absurd.http://www.whatifsports.com/x.asp?r=343081&u=/hd/GameResults/BoxScore.aspx?gid=5812877http://www.whatifsports.com/x.asp?r=343081&u=/hd/GameResults/BoxScore.aspx?gid=5840604 In that second game you have one team going 2-23 from 3p vs. a fcp and the other going 16-32 from 3p against a +1 m2m. Right now this engine lacks any semblance of consistency, and that is a scary thing.
in the game where UNC wins (which i would expect to be the more abnormal game, in the first half, all 3 of miami florida's starting guards are in foul trouble. 2 have 2 fouls, one has 3. 2 minutes into the second half, one of them picks up #3. 4 minutes later, and the third picks up #3. the only reason foul trouble wasn't worse is because these guys were getting reduced minutes because of their foul trouble.
i wonder how many of the other extreme swings involve serious foul trouble. it is one of the most volatile aspects of the game in general, and maybe it is a little out of proportion in the new engine. these guards are extremely talented - a/a/a- press iqs, avg 89 ath, 97 spd, 92 def.
i see fairly similar issues on my own team, which is easily the fastest d2 team in my world. my 100spd, 80 ath, 42 def, a+ press iq guard seems like he can't stay out of foul trouble against other talented (albeit much slower) teams. the overall foul averages for these players do not seem out of whack, but a couple unlucky fouls in a row and it can totally cripple these teams. maybe an adjustment is needed, which causes a player 1 foul away from fairly serious foul trouble or more to play a little bit worse defense and to reduce the chance of fouling decently, like you might expect from a team playing very tough defense in real life?
the ath and speed of the guards of miami is much better than that of UNC. i would think that would stop serious fouling from the guards, but as with my team in similar situations, i don't see it. even against drastically slower/less athletic teams possibly starting 3 bigs vs starting 3 guards. and its not like it is poor defense ratings in play, or poor iq - these are top notch defensive players across the board.