Debunking the pitch-calling myth Topic

That would just reinforce one of the original points of this thing. There's obv a whole lot more that goes into CERA than just Pitch Calling.

10/1/2021 8:07 AM
I will add my little bit to this: As last season in Capra began I did a bit of looking back at previous teams. I didn’t look at all 46 of my seasons but 30 or 35 of them. I looked only at PC and cERA over those seasons, comparing my two most frequently used catchers. I have generally considered PC as an important attribute and have very rarely played a C with a PC below 60. I only considered seasons where there was at least a 10 pt difference in PC between my two C’s, figuring anything closer just generated noise. It worked out that in something like 50% of the seasons the higher PC catcher had the lower cERA; in 25% the difference was negligible, and in 25% the lower PC catcher performed better. On the whole, adding up all seasons, a difference of 10 pts worked out to something like .08 runs in cERA, which was close to Mike’s long term study. In any one season there was a 50% chance that there was no PC advantage, but over time the difference existed.

Flip a coin three times and you get little accurate data. Flip it 103 times and the data is relevant.

I had a 79 PC “main” C last season….but the study made me more comfort going with a guy with 67 as my vL platoon. He hit something like .339/.945 vL with a cERA of 3.60. My main guy had a 3.40 cERA.

it’s just one season, but in this case my vL guy hit way more well enough than to cover the .2 cERA difference.

I am a believer in catcher arm strength, btw.
10/9/2021 8:41 AM
My pitchers last season were

PT Pena with pitches rated 92, 62, 65, 48, 53
Pedro Owen with pitches rated 94, 77, 39, 64
Yasiel Padilla with pitches rated 84, 60, 37, 53
Heath Mariot with pitches rated 80, 81, 44, 58
Deivi Villar with pitches rated 71, 84, 47, 49

And to the concerns about Savage putting up that sterling CERA (3.49) in the OKC ballpark, my team also had a 3.51 ERA on the road with Savage catching pretty much every inning

11/4/2021 8:21 AM
Posted by tlowster on 9/29/2021 6:39:00 PM (view original):
I probably won't use a premium infielder as a C. Not because it's a bad idea, but because typically a C is easier to find than an infielder. In fact, I think I've only ever had one team that had an abundance of infielders and when I do, I usually just throw him out in CF. It's nice to know that if im short on C's, but over on infielders, I can likely throw one at C and be okay, but it will likely be a rare occurrence. Nonetheless, as stated above, it's nice to know and thank you for posting.
Yeah, like I said this was a bit of a roster crunch season where I had enough high end infielders that I wanted to get in the lineup and I'd already thrown one in CF and one in RF. 90% of the time, you'd want to play someone like Savage at 3B. But it made sense for me this season.
11/4/2021 8:25 AM
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Debunking the pitch-calling myth Topic

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