Posted by schwarze on 12/18/2024 12:40:00 PM (view original):
FYI - footballmm11 is crushing round 1. Thru 151 games, he is projected to have all 18 teams qualify to round 2. Of course, the max is 16, so the bottom two will be replaced. I would like him to spill the secret in how to be a collective 50 games over .500 in 1-run games.
.
| Rank |
Owner |
Franchise |
Year |
Pick |
W-L |
Win% |
Exp W% |
Playoff |
Rd 2 |
1-Run |
| --------- |
------------------- |
------------------- |
-------- |
-------- |
----------- |
--------- |
----------- |
---------- |
---------- |
---------- |
| 6 |
footballmm11 |
Athletics |
1987 |
15 |
98-53 |
0.649 |
0.622 |
1 |
1 |
20-13 |
| 20 |
footballmm11 |
Braves |
2001 |
7 |
93-58 |
0.616 |
0.653 |
1 |
1 |
22-15 |
| 21 |
footballmm11 |
Giants |
1998 |
22 |
93-58 |
0.616 |
0.628 |
1 |
1 |
22-19 |
| 24 |
footballmm11 |
Cubs |
2004 |
2 |
92-59 |
0.609 |
0.604 |
1 |
1 |
24-16 |
| 25 |
footballmm11 |
Dodgers |
2022 |
18 |
92-59 |
0.609 |
0.603 |
1 |
1 |
17-17 |
| 46 |
footballmm11 |
Red Sox |
1942 |
23 |
89-62 |
0.589 |
0.526 |
1 |
1 |
19-11 |
| 50 |
footballmm11 |
Reds |
1978 |
6 |
88-63 |
0.583 |
0.585 |
1 |
1 |
17-12 |
| 58 |
footballmm11 |
Tigers |
2013 |
2 |
87-64 |
0.576 |
0.624 |
1 |
1 |
16-17 |
| 78 |
footballmm11 |
Senators/Twins |
2005 |
12 |
86-65 |
0.570 |
0.526 |
1 |
1 |
26-19 |
| 83 |
footballmm11 |
White Sox |
2022 |
24 |
85-66 |
0.563 |
0.561 |
1 |
1 |
26-16 |
| 86 |
footballmm11 |
Phillies |
2019 |
9 |
84-67 |
0.556 |
0.590 |
1 |
1 |
17-24 |
| 90 |
footballmm11 |
Pirates |
1991 |
8 |
84-67 |
0.556 |
0.562 |
1 |
1 |
18-18 |
| 138 |
footballmm11 |
Indians |
1950 |
24 |
80-71 |
0.530 |
0.511 |
0 |
1 |
16-16 |
| 130 |
footballmm11 |
Yankees |
2021 |
22 |
80-71 |
0.530 |
0.538 |
0 |
1 |
25-19 |
| 157 |
footballmm11 |
Braves |
1966 |
21 |
78-73 |
0.517 |
0.512 |
1 |
1 |
15-18 |
| 158 |
footballmm11 |
Browns/Orioles |
1966 |
19 |
78-73 |
0.517 |
0.509 |
1 |
1 |
22-13 |
| 164 |
footballmm11 |
Senators/Twins |
1928 |
21 |
77-74 |
0.510 |
0.548 |
0 |
1 |
13-21 |
| 194 |
footballmm11 |
Cardinals |
2007 |
16 |
75-76 |
0.497 |
0.511 |
0 |
1 |
20-21 |
| |
Total |
|
|
|
1539-1179 |
0.566 |
0.567 |
14 |
18 |
355-305 |
It is definitely not a pattern that I outperform expectations in 1-run games. I just checked last Juice tournament, I was around .500 in 1-run games in Rounds 1, 3, and 4. In Round 2, I was well BELOW .500.
So I'm going to go with the "pure luck" explanation.