Posted by robusk on 6/5/2020 12:27:00 AM (view original):
So my assessment of my teams is above average ODL teams with a really good bench, but not quite as good as a DH52 team. Does that sound about right to everyone or do my teams suck?
Hard to say for me personally, having been out of the draft leagues for so long, but I think there's more prog element here than draft league element. I mean, those core elements from the draft league are the same, but I think the overall champ is going to be the person who build the best five teams, not the owner who built one (or even two) amazing teams but the rest ****.
Since we're near the end of the draft, here was where my head was at in classic Ash-bullet point format (ie starts short & succinct, ends in paragraphs):
1) Have one really high minute guy through all five seasons so I didn't have to worry about finding multiple backups - one guy at end of the draft. [
Oscar]
2) Get high efg% + high usg% + low tov% + tons of 3s + solid D at SG to start
[Klay] and get the best two guys possible to back him up at all of those cats (except for defense).
[Redd & Rice] work perfectly for this. Originally I wanted one high efg%, low tov%, **** defense guy & one medium efg%, low tov%, solid defense guy. Peja (or Redd, Rice, etc) for first guy, Oladipo (or VC) for the other, but Peja, VC, and Oladipo all went the round I planned on nabbing my two Klay backups, so I just doubled up on the high efg%/low tov%/**** defense plan.
3) Spend
seven picks on guys with decent positional flexibility for all three front court positions that gave me solid to elite defense & decent drb%, but more importantly low tov% & pf48 that I could piece together into five individual fantastic front courts.
Sanders & Humphries really are there for just one season each;
Muresan for two.
Webber has one outstanding season that will start and several others that are good for depth. He works really well with
Brand & Silas at SF, and they all work at PF and C to defend the Shaqs & Kareems of the league; All five
Okafor seasons I'm using are really nice combos of efg%, crb%, and tov%, 100% at PF & C and around 90% at SF (so can hide his mediocre to bad defense for those seasons against weakest front court offensive player while I'm getting that 80/90 defense from Silas & Brand against the stronger two); Humphries also works in the same way for the one season I plan on using. Muresan is pretty much center only, buuuut with the other 6... I have lots of options for positional depth.
This could bite me in the ***. Every time I took one of these guys, I almost took somebody else that had better boards (Buck, Boerwinkle, Dalembert, Ray, Przybilla, etc) or defense (Tree comes to mind but there were others) but higher tov% and/or much higher pfs. My decline in draft leagues really came when I started deciding I could put off getting boards from my bigs till the end of the draft where I took guys that gave big boards but high turnovers & fouls, so I decided to try 85-90 ish drb% with 10-13 (for most part; I have a few seasons that are closer to 15) tov% instead of forcing myself to grab 95-110 drb% & 15-20% tov%.
4) Usage. There's no salary cap, so the only negative for having more usage than you normally need is taking away shots from your best efg% guys. Most of my efg% is solid, with the only poor efg% guy being lowest usage on squad. Having run into the issue of not having enough usage on prog teams has been frustrating in the past (already hearing at least one owner talking about making that mistake here), so I made sure I was basically going for tier 4+ usage guys
for the most part across the board. The result is my potential SL for each squad is ranging from 105-110 cumulative usage, which is actually where I typically shoot for/run my teams anyway, with backups never taking it below 100 or above 115, and the team possession penalty will absolutely never come into play (Oscar 4 + three of the other four positions being 2+ = 10).
As usual, I tried to aim for higher efg% for the higher usg%, but that isn't always possible.
Speculative Analysis: I think I'll be on the good end of the middle of the pack when it comes to fg% differential, but closer to the middle than the top. I suspect that I'll be below the middle of the pack when it comes to rebound differential, but I hope that will be balanced by my relatively low tov%. Even Oscar, a turnover machine, is actually pretty decent for a point guard (15-15.5% for the seasons I'm using) and is the highest tov% guy on the squad (with exceptions of the seasons of the front court guys I'm not using in the rotation for that season). Concerning though is the lack of forced turnovers; I don't have any stl% monsters, though it's not something I've ever focused on (it just always happens with guys like CP3). I think I should be near the top of the league every season in fewest personal fouls, an area I used to focus greatly on but got further and further away from, and as I did, my W-L suffered.
Optimistically I think I could win 50-55 games a season; more realistically 45-50. I could absolutely be in the 30-35 range though, as it's hard to really judge all of these teams at a glance, especially since I've spent hours & hours tweaking & diddling with my own. Regardless, I will be disappointed if I finish below .500 though any season and overjoyed if I get 60+ and/or a championship.
This has been the most fun I've had on this website in at least five years & has really renewed my interest in this site. Good luck to everybody!
6/5/2020 6:34 AM (edited)