**READ** Home Field Advantage! Topic

Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 7/20/2009Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.
They do that in GD and it sucks. I think it is more like 60-40 there.

We'll put you in the column with swamp, wanting a HFA that you do nothing to earn. At least he is now not in a minority of one.
7/21/2009 12:06 AM
schuyler101, you make a good point.

I would counter by saying that any discernable HFA in RL is based on TRAVEL and not a straight "HFA".

Teams in MLB travel; night game goes extra innings, road team has to shower, change, board the bus, drive to the airport, get on a flight, fly, get off a flight, get back on the bus, check in to the hotel....all between the hours of 11PM and 4 AM. Human beings, as demonstrated by science, function best on a regular sleep schedule.

In HBD, there is no travel penalty. If there were, then you might be able to ID a HFA simply because the road team's plane was delayed because of bad weather at O'Hare.

Crowd effects are almost impossible to measure and quantify. I have no idea how to make that "real" and a part of the game. I can see a travel penalty that has an effect on fatigue...I would not support the incorporation of such a change, but I can see how it might work.

The problem with this thread is that it calls for "HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE" without bothering to break down what a HFA actually is, or how it works.
7/21/2009 9:12 AM
Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 7/20/2009I think the big problem in this thread is that alot of people don't really believe that there is a real HFA in RL MLB, one that goes beyond tailoring a team to it's home park and getting last bats.

I find that level of ignorance a little shocking

Or is there just a very ignorant and vocal minority?

Real life MLB teams do not place that high a priority on tailoring teams to their ballpark. Not enough to result in the HFA that we see.

The facts are this:

HBD teams regularly have better records on the road than at home (13 out of 32 in my world, I welcome others to look at other worlds, I promise you no world comes close to replicating real life)

RL MLB teams almost never do (1 in the last 2 seasons)

RL MLB home winning % has been between 52% and 55% for 19 of the the last 20 years

http://cyrilmorong.com/HomeRoad.htm

This is not a fact but my hunch is that the HBD home winning % cannot be much more than 1% away from 50.

Because of these factors a team that works hard for HFA throughout the playoffs has it negated because it is a negligible advantage, if at all.


Please provide your sources.
7/21/2009 9:20 AM
There is already a home field adavantage. It's called BATTING LAST!
7/21/2009 10:45 AM
Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 7/20/2009A generic HFA would be consistent with how HBD has handled other feature of this game.

In some ways they encourage parity so it doesn't become impossible to draw owners to perennial losers and trashed teams. The HFA couldn't be something in which better teams or cities accumulate a significant advantage.

Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.

That way the advantage is negated in the regular season (equal number of home/away) and really only comes into play in the postseason when one team has earned HF


Why bother simming the games if you're doing that?
7/21/2009 10:49 AM
I like it. Every team goes 45-36 (.555) at home and 36-45 (.445) on the road. Players don't matter, owner's skill at the game doesn't matter, decisions don't matter.
7/21/2009 11:26 AM
swamphawk,

What is the home winning percentage in the history of HBD?

What is the home winning percentage in, say, the last 30 years of real-life MLB?
7/21/2009 11:30 AM
Quote: Originally Posted By tecwrg on 7/21/2009
I like it. Every team goes 45-36 (.555) at home and 36-45 (.445) on the road. Players don't matter, owner's skill at the game doesn't matter, decisions don't matter.

Swamp would love it. Throw in some additional randomness and he would be ecstatic.
7/21/2009 1:04 PM
Quote: Originally posted by tecwrg on 7/21/2009I like it.  Every team goes 45-36 (.555) at home and 36-45 (.445) on the road.  Players don't matter, owner's skill at the game doesn't matter, decisions don't matter.

What a stupid mis-statement of the argument.

Are you deliberately lowering yourself to swamp's level of pseudo-logic?
7/21/2009 1:07 PM
Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 7/20/2009
Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.




7/21/2009 1:09 PM
Quote: Originally Posted By MikeT23 on 7/21/2009
Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 7/20/2009
Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.






The key here is "about" 55% of the time. Not exactly. So some teams will randomly win 56% of their home games, and others will win only 54%.

That will make those ugly tie-breakers a little easier to calculate at the end of the season.
7/21/2009 1:23 PM
Quote: Originally posted by MikeT23 on 7/21/2009
Quote: Originally Posted By schuyler101 on 7/20/2009A generic HFA would be consistent with how HBD has handled other feature of this game.

In some ways they encourage parity so it doesn't become impossible to draw owners to perennial losers and trashed teams. The HFA couldn't be something in which better teams or cities accumulate a significant advantage.

Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.

That way the advantage is negated in the regular season (equal number of home/away) and really only comes into play in the postseason when one team has earned HFAWhy bother simming the games if you're doing that?


The World home winning % would be 55

Not every team
7/21/2009 1:31 PM
That's not what you said:Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.
7/21/2009 1:34 PM
Quote: Originally posted by soxfan121 on 7/21/2009schuyler101, you make a good point.

I would counter by saying that any discernable HFA in RL is based on TRAVEL and not a straight "HFA".

Teams in MLB travel; night game goes extra innings, road team has to shower, change, board the bus, drive to the airport, get on a flight, fly, get off a flight, get back on the bus, check in to the hotel....all between the hours of 11PM and 4 AM. Human beings, as demonstrated by science, function best on a regular sleep schedule.

In HBD, there is no travel penalty. If there were, then you might be able to ID a HFA simply because the road team's plane was delayed because of bad weather at O'Hare.

Crowd effects are almost impossible to measure and quantify. I have no idea how to make that "real" and a part of the game. I can see a travel penalty that has an effect on fatigue...I would not support the incorporation of such a change, but I can see how it might work.

The problem with this thread is that it calls for "HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE" without bothering to break down what a HFA actually is, or how it works.


What I would call a potential HFA in HBD would incorporate travel, in a generic way, such that remote teams aren't penalized more than more geographically central teams.

Umpire home bias, crowd effects and travel would be all wrapped up into the generic concept of HFA in how I would envision it.
7/21/2009 1:34 PM
Quote: Originally posted by tecwrg on 7/21/2009That's not what you said:Basically give every team the same HFA, one that results in the home team winning about 55% of the time.

It can be read both ways, sorry for the confusion. I would hope to get the benefit of the doubt, because what you think I meant is impossibly stupid.
7/21/2009 1:36 PM
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